Floyd Central
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #15
Brown County Semi-State Rank: #3
Crawford County Regional Rank: #1
Crawford County Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 14th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 13.4%
Advance to State Finals 99.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Bulldog Classic St. Xavier Run Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Hoosier Hills Conference Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/8 10/15 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 291 376 314 258 294 337 320 332 348 335 281
Team Adjusted Rating 352 314 258 294 337 320 293 348 335 281
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Bulldog Classic St. Xavier Run Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Hoosier Hills Conference Brown County Semi-State State Finals
68  Faith Barba 11 19:31 20:00 20:06 20:02 19:15 19:38 20:17 19:59 20:34 20:39 19:22
69  Kyley Sorg 11 19:31 19:54 20:11 19:36 19:27 19:20 19:45 19:34 19:35 19:52 19:17 19:35
171  Erica Batliner 11 20:10 20:33 20:21 19:52 20:07 20:04 20:01 20:23 20:17 20:06 20:19 20:10
177  Lillian Pearce 10 20:12 21:31 20:32 20:51 20:31 20:36 20:11 20:01 20:29 19:57 20:05
200  Chloe Loftus 9 20:21 20:42 20:19 20:12 20:18 20:21 20:19 20:21 20:18 20:35 20:16
308  Jacqueline Owings 11 20:41 20:59 21:31 20:28 21:01 20:26 20:29 20:43 20:43 20:25 20:36 21:08
359  Morgan Paul 12 20:51 20:48 20:24 21:54 19:53 21:53 21:01 20:30 20:51 20:56 21:02
430  Sydney Wallace 9 21:07 21:22 21:03 21:23 21:08 20:53
783  Lexie Scarber 9 22:13 22:59 22:05 22:02 22:23 22:02
843  Isabella Knable 11 22:21 21:58 21:49 22:00 22:24 22:10 23:19
1,212  Kyleigh Leslie-Holt 9 23:06 24:04 23:59 22:51 22:32 23:02
1,228  Shania Woods 9 23:08 23:40 23:50 23:39 22:30 22:38




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.9% 15.3 389 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 2.4 3.4 4.4 5.8 7.0 7.9 9.3 8.7 8.5 7.5 6.9 6.5 5.2 4.9 3.9 3.1 1.3
Semi-State 100% 3.1 109 5.3 17.2 43.1 30.4 3.2 0.7 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 26 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 24 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Faith Barba 99.9% 71.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 18.2% 92.5%
Kyley Sorg 99.9% 77.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 27.3% 88.8%
Erica Batliner 99.9% 130.3 0.0% 17.4%
Lillian Pearce 99.9% 134.2 0.0% 12.7%
Chloe Loftus 99.9% 143.5 0.0% 5.7%
Jacqueline Owings 99.9% 167.2 0.0% 0.3%
Morgan Paul 99.9% 179.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Faith Barba 100% 13.8 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.6 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.1 6.3 6.9 7.1 7.9 7.5 7.1 6.0 5.3 4.7 3.9 3.4 2.7 2.3 1.7 1.3 100.0%
Kyley Sorg 100% 15.4 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.6 3.6 3.9 4.5 5.3 6.5 6.8 7.6 6.9 6.9 6.7 5.6 5.4 4.7 3.7 3.3 2.6 1.9 100.0%
Erica Batliner 100% 29.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.8 3.0 3.5 4.8 100.0%
Lillian Pearce 100% 31.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.8 100.0%
Chloe Loftus 100% 35.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 2.0 100.0%
Jacqueline Owings 100% 50.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Morgan Paul 100% 59.3 99.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Faith Barba 100% 1.7 24.8 36.8 25.5 8.4 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Kyley Sorg 100% 2.1 15.3 30.6 33.0 12.9 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Erica Batliner 100% 6.7 0.0 0.2 1.2 8.0 12.9 15.6 16.5 16.6 13.9 8.8 4.0 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Lillian Pearce 100% 7.4 0.1 0.8 5.5 9.1 12.2 15.3 18.0 16.7 12.3 6.0 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Chloe Loftus 100% 8.7 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.2 7.0 9.8 14.2 17.3 19.9 13.6 7.0 3.2 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Jacqueline Owings 100% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.6 3.9 8.1 17.8 20.7 17.8 11.8 7.2 4.3 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Morgan Paul 100% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.5 5.1 9.8 15.4 16.1 15.2 11.6 9.0 5.9 4.2 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Faith Barba 1.7 25.1 37.8 26.1 8.6 2.4 0.1 0.0
Kyley Sorg 2.1 15.1 31.1 35.7 13.6 4.1 0.4 0.0
Erica Batliner 5.5 0.0 0.2 1.5 11.8 21.0 30.2 21.4 12.3 1.6 0.1 0.0
Lillian Pearce 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 7.6 15.6 25.9 28.2 18.5 2.8 0.4 0.1
Chloe Loftus 7.0 0.0 0.2 2.5 7.1 15.0 26.6 38.0 8.8 1.5 0.3 0.0
Jacqueline Owings 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.9 11.5 53.9 21.6 6.6 2.0 0.3 0.1
Morgan Paul 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.8 15.7 45.1 23.3 10.3 2.7 0.6 0.1 0.0