Hamilton Southeastern
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #5
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #3
Noblesville Regional Rank: #2
Noblesville Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 6th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 21.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 80.5%
Advance to State Finals 95.5%
Advance to Semi-State 95.6%
Advance to Regional 95.8%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County Championships Marion Invitational IWU Wildcat Invitational Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/30 9/3 9/10 9/17 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 211 954 296 243 192 234 311 321
Team Adjusted Rating 211 217 243 192 234 244 226
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County Championships Marion Invitational IWU Wildcat Invitational Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
20  Lulu Black 10 18:47 19:05 18:32 18:39 18:18 18:48 19:29 18:45 18:34 19:30
21  Sabrina Bippus 12 18:49 19:08 19:50 19:28 19:37 19:21 19:20 19:02 18:42
59  Lillian Cummins 10 19:24 19:35 19:27 19:46 18:58 19:25
163  Madealine Mirro 10 20:08 19:45 19:49 19:56 20:33 20:15 20:07 20:04 20:12
198  Ellie Pedersen 9 20:19 20:46 20:10 20:38 20:05 20:12 20:24
344  Abbie Lohman 11 20:47 20:31 20:47 20:35 20:19 20:39 20:54 21:21
433  Katie Murhling 9 21:08 21:09 20:27 19:45 21:38 21:08 21:43
477  Kayleigh Witt 9 21:18 21:38 21:24 20:53 21:01 21:09 21:51
554  Allison Everidge 10 21:35 21:34 22:26 21:04
588  Sam Alphin 9 21:40 21:36 21:35 21:17 22:07
766  Abby Jones 11 22:09 22:20 21:45 21:46 22:48
920  Caroline Shumaker 10 22:30 22:02 22:34 23:40 22:16
951  Rachel Simmonds 11 22:33 21:55 22:02 22:39 23:01 22:34
962  Stephanie Clark 11 22:34 21:51 21:36 22:45 22:34 23:04 22:37
989  Marni Myers 9 22:37 21:44 22:58 23:00 23:13 22:11
1,007  Chaise Richards 11 22:39 21:37 23:39 22:32 23:09 21:50
1,149  Katie Kleinhelter 10 22:58 23:11 23:03 22:48
1,163  Maddie Myers Madis 11 23:00 23:01
1,185  Maddie McNarney 9 23:03 22:57 23:25 22:44 23:13 23:07
1,240  Anna Miller 11 23:10 23:04 23:02 23:48 23:05
1,284  Lucy Bailey 11 23:18 22:24 23:51 23:24
Allie Geis 9 23:49 25:02 24:02 22:52
Olivia Recker 12 23:50 23:18 24:10 23:52
Margaux Rasp 12 23:59 23:28 23:51 25:20 23:52




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 95.5% 7.6 269 0.5 2.2 6.7 12.6 15.5 14.0 12.5 9.4 7.2 5.8 3.7 2.7 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 95.6% 4.2 135 4.6 23.2 31.0 24.4 12.3 0.1
Regionals 95.8% 3.5 92 18.9 29.8 31.0 15.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.4 90 24.8 33.9 25.7 11.4 4.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lulu Black 99.9% 21.7 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.1 2.8 3.1 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.3 98.2% 99.7%
Sabrina Bippus 99.9% 23.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.1 3.4 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.2 97.8% 99.7%
Lillian Cummins 96.4% 61.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 19.1% 67.9%
Madealine Mirro 95.5% 126.8 0.0% 1.3%
Ellie Pedersen 95.5% 140.8 0.0% 0.2%
Abbie Lohman 95.5% 172.6 0.0% 0.0%
Katie Murhling 95.5% 187.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lulu Black 100% 9.6 0.2 1.2 2.2 3.0 4.2 6.3 8.3 8.7 9.6 10.3 9.2 7.6 7.5 5.7 4.1 3.2 2.6 1.9 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Sabrina Bippus 100% 10.0 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.7 5.1 7.8 8.7 9.7 10.1 9.1 8.5 7.2 6.1 4.9 4.0 3.1 2.0 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Lillian Cummins 100.0% 22.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.4 2.1 3.0 3.7 4.6 5.4 5.4 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.2 5.0 99.3% 99.9%
Madealine Mirro 97.0% 56.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 31.5% 66.2%
Ellie Pedersen 95.9% 64.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.8% 39.9%
Abbie Lohman 95.6% 88.6 0.0% 2.8%
Katie Murhling 95.6% 104.6 0.0% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lulu Black 100% 6.9 0.4 2.0 3.1 5.4 8.1 14.4 17.8 16.8 13.0 9.6 5.5 2.3 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Sabrina Bippus 100% 7.2 0.3 1.7 2.9 4.4 7.4 13.0 16.9 17.1 14.1 10.8 6.7 2.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Lillian Cummins 100% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.7 5.7 9.8 15.6 13.4 11.0 8.8 6.6 5.6 4.2 3.4 2.5 2.2 1.6 1.4 1.1 0.9 100.0% 100.0%
Madealine Mirro 100% 33.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.0 1.9 2.4 2.6 3.1 100.0% 100.0%
Ellie Pedersen 100% 39.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 100.0% 100.0%
Abbie Lohman 100% 50.3 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Katie Murhling 100% 57.9 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lulu Black 6.9 0.3 2.1 3.5 5.3 8.1 14.3 17.4 17.1 13.1 9.2 5.5 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Sabrina Bippus 7.2 0.3 1.7 2.8 4.3 7.6 13.0 17.2 17.1 14.4 10.9 6.3 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Lillian Cummins 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.6 5.6 10.2 15.0 14.2 11.6 8.9 7.7 5.2 4.7 3.4 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.6
Madealine Mirro 28.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.3 2.1 2.3 2.7 3.7 4.0 4.7 5.1
Ellie Pedersen 32.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.5
Abbie Lohman 38.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Katie Murhling 40.4