Herron
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #99
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #29
Noblesville Regional Rank: #12
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #12
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.7%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Bishop Chatard Invitational Avon Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Scecina Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Indianapolis City Meet Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional
Date 8/31 9/3 9/10 9/13 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15
Team Rating 927 1,183 1,151 976 1,206 989 1,180 966
Team Adjusted Rating 904 956 839 1,019 901 971 946
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Bishop Chatard Invitational Avon Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Scecina Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Indianapolis City Meet Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional
413  Morgan Watkins 11 21:05 21:32 20:40 21:12 20:35 20:54 21:00 21:22 21:14 21:21
536  Rachel Bowling 10 21:31 22:20 21:32 21:23 21:07 22:44 21:26 21:53 21:24 21:23
1,056  Bekah Williams 10 22:46 23:14 22:11 23:15 22:28 22:55
1,110  Colbie Cook 12 22:52 22:53
1,176  Gabriela Galarza 12 23:02 23:05 23:12 22:51
1,334  Carrie Arnold 11 23:23 22:03 23:24
Chakyria Davis 9 23:44 23:47
Maya Guevara 11 23:48 27:25 25:31 25:07 25:26 24:10 23:09 23:24
Lily Gilmor-Flint 12 25:01 24:48 24:45 25:57 25:00 24:42
Joanna Thuesen 11 25:16 25:27 25:33 24:48 24:56 25:36
Izzy Pippen 10 25:43 25:40 25:15 26:14 26:42 24:49
Zoe StapletonDeno 11 26:23 27:52 25:54 26:38 26:04
Jazlynn Darden 10 26:36 26:21 26:36 25:54 26:53 27:03




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.7% 10.0 297 0.0 0.7
Sectionals 100% 6.0 170 0.7 99.1 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Watkins 0.2% 89.8 0.2% 0.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Watkins 100% 56.6 100.0% 100.0%
Rachel Bowling 100% 66.5 100.0% 100.0%
Bekah Williams 99.7% 86.0 99.6% 99.6%
Colbie Cook 98.9% 86.8 98.9% 98.8%
Gabriela Galarza 95.6% 88.0 95.6% 95.3%
Carrie Arnold 58.2% 89.3 57.9% 57.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Watkins 16.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.9 3.1 4.8 6.0 7.8 8.8 9.9 9.3 9.4 7.7 6.6 5.8 4.9 3.6 3.1 2.2
Rachel Bowling 24.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.9 3.3 4.1 5.2 5.9 6.6 7.8 7.9 8.7
Bekah Williams 41.6
Colbie Cook 42.3
Gabriela Galarza 43.3
Carrie Arnold 44.8