All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Huntington North Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Bruin Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northrop Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/20 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
171 | |
128 |
167 |
220 |
207 |
220 |
213 |
229 |
183 |
155 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
128 |
167 |
220 |
207 |
220 |
213 |
213 |
183 |
155 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Huntington North Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Bruin Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northrop Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 11 |
Madison Distelrath |
12 |
18:34 |
19:39 |
18:32 |
18:32 |
18:54 |
18:53 |
18:58 |
19:17 |
18:43 |
19:14 |
18:26 |
| 13 |
Katherine Walther |
9 |
18:36 |
|
19:08 |
19:06 |
19:08 |
19:00 |
19:16 |
19:02 |
19:25 |
19:05 |
18:28 |
| 80 |
Kelsey Batt |
12 |
19:35 |
19:22 |
18:55 |
19:39 |
20:14 |
20:08 |
19:48 |
19:46 |
19:32 |
19:21 |
19:36 |
| 101 |
Julia Eifert |
11 |
19:45 |
|
20:10 |
19:30 |
19:43 |
19:45 |
19:56 |
19:44 |
20:11 |
20:03 |
19:37 |
| 108 |
Julia Dvorak |
9 |
19:48 |
|
|
20:38 |
20:38 |
20:26 |
20:30 |
19:55 |
|
19:37 |
19:39 |
| 119 |
Saige Norris |
11 |
19:51 |
19:39 |
19:21 |
19:36 |
19:50 |
19:44 |
19:53 |
20:07 |
20:10 |
19:43 |
19:57 |
| 137 |
Evie Bultemeyer |
12 |
19:57 |
19:56 |
19:24 |
19:50 |
20:17 |
|
19:56 |
19:54 |
|
19:54 |
20:19 |
| 224 |
Izabella Henschen |
10 |
20:26 |
20:39 |
|
20:07 |
20:15 |
20:31 |
20:49 |
|
|
|
|
| 238 |
Skylar Kiess |
9 |
20:30 |
|
|
21:03 |
20:38 |
20:26 |
20:25 |
|
20:12 |
|
|
| 296 |
Hannah Johanningsmeier |
12 |
20:40 |
20:19 |
20:56 |
20:56 |
20:34 |
20:04 |
20:32 |
|
21:05 |
|
|
| 307 |
Rhyah Jones |
9 |
20:41 |
|
|
21:01 |
20:45 |
20:32 |
20:32 |
|
|
|
|
| 322 |
Jie-Ling Arata |
11 |
20:44 |
21:21 |
|
21:04 |
20:24 |
20:44 |
20:50 |
|
|
|
|
| 356 |
Abby Smith |
10 |
20:50 |
20:34 |
|
20:38 |
21:00 |
20:42 |
21:00 |
|
|
|
|
| 663 |
Chalaina Saine |
10 |
21:52 |
|
|
22:25 |
21:43 |
21:24 |
22:07 |
|
|
|
|
| 755 |
Rhylee Jones |
9 |
22:07 |
|
|
22:17 |
22:24 |
21:43 |
22:08 |
|
|
|
|
| 791 |
Kaitlyn Mueller |
10 |
22:14 |
|
|
|
22:32 |
21:54 |
22:17 |
|
|
|
|
| 796 |
Kara Davis |
10 |
22:14 |
|
|
22:15 |
22:28 |
22:11 |
22:08 |
|
|
|
|
| 858 |
Holly Kiess |
12 |
22:23 |
|
|
22:30 |
|
22:27 |
22:14 |
|
|
|
|
| 971 |
Elizabeth Swink |
12 |
22:35 |
22:50 |
|
21:59 |
|
22:37 |
22:58 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,009 |
Angelina Sedlaczek |
9 |
22:39 |
|
|
|
22:40 |
|
22:38 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,035 |
Emily Mclaughlin |
9 |
22:43 |
|
|
22:36 |
22:42 |
22:30 |
23:07 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,252 |
Sarah Carter |
12 |
23:13 |
|
|
23:14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Grace McGuire |
10 |
23:31 |
|
|
|
23:21 |
23:17 |
24:00 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chloe Johnson |
9 |
23:33 |
|
|
|
23:04 |
23:45 |
23:42 |
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Vogelsong |
12 |
23:36 |
|
|
|
23:07 |
23:40 |
23:54 |
|
|
|
|
|
Aneka Moore |
9 |
23:39 |
|
|
|
23:46 |
23:24 |
23:47 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
4.3 |
197 |
0.0 |
10.9 |
25.0 |
30.0 |
14.6 |
8.1 |
4.7 |
2.8 |
1.7 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
1.9 |
74 |
17.0 |
75.3 |
7.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.8 |
52 |
16.8 |
83.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.8 |
42 |
16.2 |
83.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Madison Distelrath |
100% |
11.9 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
5.5 |
5.4 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Katherine Walther |
100% |
13.5 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
5.2 |
5.0 |
4.8 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Kelsey Batt |
100% |
83.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
55.1% |
| Julia Eifert |
100% |
93.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
39.5% |
| Julia Dvorak |
100% |
98.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
33.7% |
| Saige Norris |
100% |
103.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26.0% |
| Evie Bultemeyer |
100% |
112.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16.3% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Madison Distelrath |
100% |
4.2 |
1.2 |
8.5 |
17.2 |
19.7 |
17.7 |
13.8 |
8.9 |
5.8 |
3.3 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Katherine Walther |
100% |
4.7 |
0.8 |
6.1 |
13.2 |
17.8 |
18.1 |
15.8 |
10.9 |
7.2 |
4.5 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kelsey Batt |
100% |
22.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
4.5 |
5.0 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Julia Eifert |
100% |
26.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Julia Dvorak |
100% |
28.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Saige Norris |
100% |
30.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Evie Bultemeyer |
100% |
34.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
|
99.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Madison Distelrath |
100% |
3.9 |
1.1 |
9.4 |
18.7 |
22.6 |
22.2 |
14.9 |
6.9 |
2.6 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Katherine Walther |
100% |
4.2 |
0.9 |
6.7 |
14.9 |
22.2 |
22.5 |
18.4 |
7.7 |
4.2 |
1.9 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kelsey Batt |
100% |
14.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
4.5 |
7.3 |
9.1 |
10.2 |
10.6 |
10.0 |
8.9 |
7.9 |
6.6 |
5.5 |
4.4 |
3.4 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Julia Eifert |
100% |
16.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
3.9 |
5.5 |
6.8 |
8.5 |
8.4 |
9.1 |
8.5 |
8.4 |
8.0 |
6.9 |
6.2 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Julia Dvorak |
100% |
17.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
4.1 |
5.6 |
6.8 |
7.7 |
8.4 |
8.6 |
8.9 |
8.2 |
7.3 |
7.2 |
6.3 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
2.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Saige Norris |
100% |
18.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
6.9 |
7.9 |
7.9 |
8.9 |
9.3 |
8.1 |
8.0 |
7.5 |
5.8 |
4.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Evie Bultemeyer |
100% |
20.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
4.5 |
5.6 |
6.4 |
7.8 |
8.7 |
8.9 |
9.0 |
9.4 |
9.2 |
8.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Madison Distelrath |
2.5 |
11.0 |
24.1 |
31.4 |
21.8 |
7.3 |
3.1 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Katherine Walther |
2.8 |
7.4 |
19.6 |
29.6 |
26.1 |
10.4 |
4.6 |
1.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kelsey Batt |
10.7 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
3.0 |
6.0 |
13.2 |
15.6 |
15.2 |
12.2 |
9.4 |
7.9 |
5.5 |
4.2 |
2.8 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Julia Eifert |
12.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
3.3 |
6.8 |
10.4 |
12.2 |
12.2 |
12.2 |
10.5 |
8.2 |
7.6 |
5.8 |
4.5 |
2.8 |
1.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
| Julia Dvorak |
13.1 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
4.8 |
7.7 |
10.3 |
11.7 |
11.4 |
10.8 |
10.2 |
8.3 |
7.6 |
6.2 |
4.3 |
2.6 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Saige Norris |
14.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
3.2 |
5.1 |
6.9 |
9.2 |
10.6 |
11.4 |
11.1 |
10.9 |
9.2 |
8.1 |
6.3 |
4.6 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
| Evie Bultemeyer |
15.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
3.9 |
5.4 |
7.5 |
9.9 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
11.6 |
11.0 |
11.5 |
8.8 |
2.9 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
