Lake Central
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #19
New Prairie Semi-State Rank: #5
Crown Point Regional Rank: #2
Gavit Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 18th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 2.7%
Advance to State Finals 73.4%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Harrison Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Gavit Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 318 304 260 1,018 261 819 311 373 307 382 426
Team Adjusted Rating 304 260 318 261 318 311 373 307 382 426
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Harrison Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Gavit Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
6  Sarah Hunsley 12 18:27 19:12 18:37 18:34 17:59 18:29 18:48 18:33 18:53 18:52 18:19
107  Gabrielle DeVries 10 19:47 19:14 20:51 19:29 19:41 19:55 20:51 20:01 20:31 19:39
225  Hannah Roth 9 20:26 21:13 20:08 20:04 19:46 19:59 20:30 20:11 20:57 23:21
239  Jenny Crague 12 20:30 19:30 20:47 19:52 19:54 20:19 20:26 20:37 20:32 20:40 21:12
336  Kelly Shelton 12 20:46 20:16 21:14 21:29 20:28 20:57 20:52 20:25 20:33 20:49
393  Lillian Zubeck 9 21:00 21:02 20:47 20:38 20:48 20:45 21:03 21:40 21:39
407  Rachel Kujawa 9 21:03 21:13 20:13 20:51 20:47 21:03 20:48 21:09 21:22 22:21
506  Samantha Dittrich 11 21:24 21:34 21:42 21:41 21:07 21:18
770  Madison BeDuhn 9 22:09 22:24 22:21 22:20 22:01 21:57
801  Emily Blink 11 22:15 21:14 22:04 22:15 23:07 21:56 22:15
811  Anna Olivero 9 22:17 22:35 23:14 22:11 22:00 22:06
851  Anna McCuaig 10 22:22 22:14 22:28 22:10 22:26 22:37
855  Ellie Keith 12 22:23 21:46 22:57 22:41 22:23 21:34
1,000  Rachel Eder 11 22:38 21:51 23:16 22:43 22:18 22:25 22:51
1,012  Nova Olejnik 11 22:40 21:57 22:17 24:28 22:27 22:52 22:27
1,183  Kelly DeMichael 10 23:02 23:14 23:09 22:52
1,283  Lilly Rizzo 9 23:17 22:59 23:26 23:30 23:26 23:10
Kelley Williams 9 23:34 23:55 23:31 23:20 24:22 23:10




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 73.4% 16.8 409 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.9 3.2 4.5 5.8 6.7 8.1 7.9 8.3 7.6 6.4 5.1 3.5 1.6 0.4
Semi-State 100% 5.2 168 2.6 6.9 13.3 16.3 17.9 16.4 12.9 8.3 4.4 1.0 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.0 68 32.5 40.2 20.2 7.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.2 33 84.1 15.9 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Hunsley 100% 8.8 0.9 3.3 6.0 6.6 7.3 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 5.7 6.2 4.9 4.6 3.5 3.2 2.7 2.5 2.3 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.7 100.0% 100.0%
Gabrielle DeVries 76.2% 92.3 0.0 10.5% 36.8%
Hannah Roth 73.4% 145.7 0.0% 0.6%
Jenny Crague 73.4% 150.3 0.0% 0.2%
Kelly Shelton 73.4% 168.6 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Zubeck 73.4% 180.6 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Kujawa 73.4% 182.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Hunsley 100% 1.3 42.2 27.3 15.3 7.3 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Gabrielle DeVries 100% 22.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.6 4.2 4.7 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 4.8 4.9 100.0%
Hannah Roth 100% 51.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Jenny Crague 100% 55.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Kelly Shelton 100% 75.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lillian Zubeck 100% 91.6 100.0%
Rachel Kujawa 100% 95.4 99.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Hunsley 100% 1.0 53.6 39.3 5.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Gabrielle DeVries 100% 7.9 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.4 14.0 16.0 15.0 12.6 11.5 9.7 6.4 4.1 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Hannah Roth 100% 16.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.3 4.0 6.1 8.3 9.2 9.9 10.1 8.9 8.6 7.8 6.6 5.0 3.8 2.3 1.7 100.0%
Jenny Crague 100% 17.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.5 4.3 6.2 7.2 8.6 9.1 9.6 9.4 9.2 7.6 6.9 5.6 3.7 2.6 100.0%
Kelly Shelton 100% 22.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.1 3.2 4.1 5.6 7.0 8.4 9.7 10.1 10.0 8.3 100.0%
Lillian Zubeck 100% 26.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.1 3.2 4.4 6.2 7.1 8.5 100.0%
Rachel Kujawa 100% 27.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.3 2.2 3.2 4.5 6.1 8.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Hunsley 1.0 97.3 2.7
Gabrielle DeVries 3.4 2.8 38.1 20.6 15.4 19.0 3.0 1.0 0.1 0.0
Hannah Roth 7.9 0.1 1.3 2.9 5.8 21.7 20.5 21.6 15.6 7.1 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jenny Crague 8.5 0.0 1.0 1.8 3.6 14.8 19.3 20.7 20.5 12.0 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
Kelly Shelton 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.4 9.7 14.8 25.8 22.0 11.4 5.8 2.3 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Lillian Zubeck 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.9 9.8 18.8 23.7 19.8 9.7 5.2 3.4 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.0
Rachel Kujawa 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 6.2 15.3 23.2 22.5 11.6 7.4 4.6 2.7 1.6 0.8 0.0