LaPorte
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #18
New Prairie Semi-State Rank: #4
New Prairie Regional Rank: #2
Chesterton Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 17th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 3.3%
Advance to State Finals 76.2%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 313 270 262 290 307 329 325 321 379 336 392
Team Adjusted Rating 270 262 290 307 329 325 321 379 336 392
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
14  Shelby Riehle 10 18:37 18:48 18:33 18:36 19:05 18:41 18:35 18:48 19:10 18:59 19:01 18:29
143  Katerina Shuble 11 19:59 19:34 19:55 19:45 19:47 19:59 20:34 19:50 19:45 20:07 20:04 20:17
205  Jenny Noll 11 20:22 19:25 20:17 20:10 20:02 20:10 20:20 20:35 20:14 20:24 20:19 21:49
245  Maureen Troy 11 20:31 20:21 20:08 20:02 20:16 20:17 20:23 20:35 20:27 21:30 20:50 20:53
254  Katie Pickford 12 20:33 19:39 21:04 20:43 20:31 20:34 20:44 20:20 20:25 20:24
513  Rachel Gerick 10 21:25 20:04 20:03 20:13 20:29 21:23 21:21 21:16 22:10 22:17 22:32
525  Roby Rogers 12 21:29 21:37 21:40 21:36 21:38 21:23 21:58 21:04 22:01 21:20
624  Riley Tuerff 10 21:46 21:20 21:52 21:54 21:51 21:26 22:25
631  Sierra Beach 10 21:47 21:47 21:42 21:46 21:59 21:44
645  Nikki Parsons 11 21:50 21:31 22:06 22:43 21:31 21:50 21:36
657  Nichole Flowers 11 21:52 21:40 21:38 21:41 22:25 22:02
779  Courtney Dickman 12 22:12 21:40 21:46 22:43 22:11 22:10
935  Joile Martinez 11 22:32 22:07 22:54
977  Jade Yacconi 12 22:36 22:43 22:54 22:35 22:40 22:22
993  Joliet Simpson-Martinez 11 22:38 22:40
1,008  Izzi Applegarth 11 22:39 23:44 23:13 22:11 22:40 22:19
1,179  Sarah Schoof 11 23:02 22:34 22:37 22:46 23:36 23:41
Kali Podgorski 10 23:31 23:14 23:38 23:42 24:08 23:06
Maria Castedo 12 24:00 23:29 24:36 23:58




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 76.2% 17.0 413 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.2 3.1 4.2 5.3 6.1 7.7 8.3 7.7 7.3 7.1 5.9 4.5 2.8 0.7
Semi-State 100% 4.9 165 4.4 8.9 14.2 17.3 17.3 14.0 11.0 7.7 3.8 1.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.1 58 13.1 68.5 18.2 0.3
Sectionals 100% 2.0 48 16.5 63.0 20.1 0.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Riehle 100% 13.9 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.5 3.0 3.9 4.7 4.0 4.8 5.1 5.0 4.7 4.8 5.2 4.4 4.5 3.7 3.6 3.3 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.3 1.8 1.6 100.0% 100.0%
Katerina Shuble 76.5% 110.5 1.5% 14.3%
Jenny Noll 76.2% 140.8 0.0% 0.7%
Maureen Troy 76.2% 152.5 0.0% 0.1%
Katie Pickford 76.2% 154.2 0.0% 0.1%
Rachel Gerick 76.2% 193.9 0.0% 0.0%
Roby Rogers 76.2% 195.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Riehle 100% 2.4 16.6 23.1 24.1 13.2 9.0 5.2 3.4 2.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Katerina Shuble 100% 28.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.3 3.1 3.5 3.4 4.0 3.8 4.1 100.0%
Jenny Noll 100% 46.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 100.0%
Maureen Troy 100% 57.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 99.9%
Katie Pickford 100% 59.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.9%
Rachel Gerick 100% 119.8 48.1%
Roby Rogers 100% 123.1 41.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Riehle 100% 1.0 71.3 17.1 11.0 0.6 0.0 100.0%
Katerina Shuble 100% 7.7 0.0 0.1 2.5 5.8 10.5 16.7 19.4 14.5 9.3 6.7 4.7 3.5 2.1 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jenny Noll 100% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.6 6.8 8.5 8.1 9.3 8.8 8.8 8.2 7.4 5.9 5.1 4.3 3.7 2.9 1.9 1.3 1.0 0.8 100.0%
Maureen Troy 100% 16.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.0 3.4 4.4 4.9 6.1 6.9 7.3 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.0 6.4 5.8 5.2 4.3 3.4 2.5 100.0%
Katie Pickford 100% 17.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.7 3.6 5.0 5.4 6.2 6.8 7.4 7.9 8.0 7.4 7.1 6.2 5.5 4.5 3.6 2.8 100.0%
Rachel Gerick 100% 36.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.1 100.0%
Roby Rogers 100% 37.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Riehle 1.0 72.2 16.6 10.9 0.3 0.0
Katerina Shuble 5.7 0.0 0.2 9.3 22.1 24.9 16.1 9.5 6.4 4.8 2.7 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jenny Noll 10.5 0.2 1.4 4.3 7.8 10.3 9.9 10.8 10.8 9.5 8.1 6.9 5.2 4.3 3.5 2.4 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1
Maureen Troy 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.6 4.5 6.0 6.7 8.2 9.0 9.5 9.2 8.0 7.7 6.6 6.1 5.0 3.9 2.5 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.3
Katie Pickford 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.3 3.7 4.8 5.9 7.4 8.4 8.9 9.2 8.6 8.0 8.0 6.6 5.4 4.0 3.1 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.5
Rachel Gerick 27.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.9 2.8 4.1 5.9 8.2
Roby Rogers 27.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 2.0 3.0 4.6 6.3