Marian
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #93
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #25
Elkhart Central Regional Rank: #8
Riley Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 6.0%
Advance to Regional 96.7%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp Manchester Invitational Indiana All-Catholic Championship New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 869 787 911 995 860 864 979 906 892
Team Adjusted Rating 787 849 995 860 864 827 906 892
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp Manchester Invitational Indiana All-Catholic Championship New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
566  Hannah Stein 11 21:36 21:02 21:46 21:38 22:07 21:39 21:29 21:08 21:42 21:30 21:49
620  Hannah Majewski 11 21:45 21:14 21:30 21:58 22:10 22:23 21:30 21:19 22:09 21:31
724  Emma Kearns 11 22:01 21:39 21:45 21:42 22:41 21:34 22:13 22:13 22:05 21:57
760  Karen Hunckler 10 22:08 21:42 21:36 21:52 22:02 21:49 22:26 22:21 22:27
1,067  Maddie McTigue 12 22:47 21:10 22:17 23:21 22:43 22:34 22:37 23:15
Charlotte Voor 11 23:37 23:45 24:07 23:49 23:37 23:31 24:37 23:05 23:33 23:28
Claire Fewell 12 24:07 23:46 23:25 23:49 23:27 23:58 26:13 24:08 24:24
Sarah Majewski 10 25:02 24:33 25:00 25:22
Mary Rice 10 25:03 24:19 25:22 25:21 25:17 24:41
Olivia Frick 11 26:11 24:46 26:30 26:55 26:10 26:11




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 6.0% 17.2 423 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.8 3.0 0.0
Regionals 96.7% 7.7 191 0.3 5.7 13.0 20.6 27.2 20.9 9.1
Sectionals 100% 4.1 103 0.8 27.1 40.5 28.4 3.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Stein 63.0% 101.4 60.6% 61.9%
Hannah Majewski 38.1% 106.3 34.2% 35.9%
Emma Kearns 11.4% 114.2 5.8% 6.9%
Karen Hunckler 7.9% 117.7 2.0% 2.6%
Maddie McTigue 6.0% 142.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Stein 100% 31.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 100.0% 100.0%
Hannah Majewski 100% 35.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 100.0% 100.0%
Emma Kearns 100% 42.7 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Karen Hunckler 100% 46.4 100.0% 100.0%
Maddie McTigue 100% 67.2 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Stein 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 3.5 12.0 16.0 17.9 16.1 11.8 8.2 5.4 3.4 2.2 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
Hannah Majewski 15.7 0.1 0.1 0.9 4.5 8.3 12.1 14.6 14.4 12.6 9.7 7.4 5.6 4.0 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.6
Emma Kearns 19.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.5 4.5 7.2 9.1 11.1 11.2 11.0 10.2 9.5 7.4 5.9 3.8
Karen Hunckler 20.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.8 5.3 7.7 9.8 10.5 10.9 10.6 10.2 9.4 7.1
Maddie McTigue 29.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.9 4.6