Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #6
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #4
Noblesville Regional Rank: #3
Noblesville Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 5th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 28.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 79.8%
Advance to State Finals 92.2%
Advance to Semi-State 92.4%
Advance to Regional 92.6%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Harrison Invitational Hamilton County Championships Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Flashrock Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/23 8/30 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 219 281 994 251 368 168 253 287 233 212 214 222
Team Adjusted Rating 249 219 251 284 168 250 264 233 212 214 205
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Harrison Invitational Hamilton County Championships Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Flashrock Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
17  Abigail Little 11 18:45 18:38 18:42 18:29 18:31 19:02 19:05 18:47 18:53 18:50 18:37
76  Kat Dombroski 12 19:33 20:18 20:26 20:17 19:15 19:53 19:56 19:34 19:54 19:19 19:26
94  Susanna Sharples-Gordon 12 19:40 19:24 20:02 19:23 20:09 19:22 19:40 19:53 19:38 19:32 19:39
111  Sophie Reichard 9 19:49 20:43 20:28 20:50 19:32 20:03 20:10 19:51 19:36 19:46 19:40
145  Aubrie Deal 10 19:59 20:20 19:57 19:41 19:50 19:42 20:09 20:04 19:42 21:02
170  Abbie Klinker 12 20:10 20:13 20:17 20:38 22:59 20:48 20:04 20:26 19:49 20:14 20:25
271  Katherine Sandys 10 20:36 21:15 20:48 20:50 20:49 19:59 20:34 20:17 20:27 20:36 21:25
316  Aubrey Swart 10 20:42 20:15 20:35 20:38 20:23 20:23 21:11 20:14 20:45 20:49 21:14
339  Taylor Gregory 9 20:47 20:22 20:42 20:24 21:03 21:03
547  Anna Hazelrigg 9 21:33 21:18 21:00 22:59 21:02 21:45
632  Maria Anderson 10 21:47 21:20 20:42 21:21 21:25 22:28 21:58 22:17
648  Grace Judy 9 21:50 21:27 21:15 21:57 22:57
703  Brynn Eaton 9 21:58 21:28 21:16 22:34 21:49 22:17 22:08
881  Kilah Kuiper 12 22:26 22:48 21:35 22:34 22:09 22:52 22:42
985  Ashley Britton 12 22:37 22:32 22:20 22:23 23:10 22:58 22:33
1,191  Grace Miller 9 23:03 22:32 23:09 23:57 22:59 22:57
1,194  Sophie Kenndey 12 23:04 22:44 23:17 22:41 24:48 22:51 23:01
1,281  Rachel Glasner 9 23:17 23:10 24:28 22:59 23:13
1,301  Madison King 9 23:19 24:49 22:28
Kaylah Keating 9 23:47 23:43 23:41 24:11 25:07 23:36 23:08
Savannah Congrove 11 24:06 22:52 23:17 23:40 25:00 24:05 24:27 24:03




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 92.2% 7.3 262 0.6 3.4 9.2 15.6 14.2 12.3 10.2 8.0 6.2 4.5 3.1 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 92.4% 4.0 132 7.0 29.1 24.5 21.0 10.7 0.1 0.0
Regionals 92.6% 3.0 85 36.2 27.2 19.6 9.4 0.2
Sectionals 100% 3.3 89 34.7 25.8 21.4 10.8 7.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Abigail Little 100.0% 19.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.8 3.9 4.2 3.9 4.0 3.6 3.9 3.2 3.2 2.9 3.1 2.8 99.9% 99.9%
Kat Dombroski 93.0% 74.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 10.2% 43.2%
Susanna Sharples-Gordon 92.7% 84.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8% 29.8%
Sophie Reichard 92.3% 97.1 0.0 0.0 0.9% 15.0%
Aubrie Deal 92.2% 113.8 0.0% 4.2%
Abbie Klinker 92.2% 135.8 0.0% 0.5%
Katherine Sandys 92.2% 160.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Abigail Little 100% 8.6 0.6 2.4 3.3 4.6 6.0 7.4 9.6 9.7 10.0 9.1 8.0 6.9 6.0 4.7 3.3 2.5 1.8 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Kat Dombroski 99.8% 28.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.8 2.2 2.7 3.4 3.6 3.9 4.4 4.4 4.4 97.5% 99.5%
Susanna Sharples-Gordon 99.2% 32.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.7 2.3 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.4 89.5% 98.3%
Sophie Reichard 98.3% 38.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.9 77.3% 94.5%
Aubrie Deal 95.8% 47.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 45.5% 82.8%
Abbie Klinker 92.9% 62.2 0.0 0.0 6.8% 48.8%
Katherine Sandys 92.4% 78.0 0.1% 11.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Abigail Little 100% 6.3 0.8 3.8 4.7 7.6 10.3 17.7 15.3 13.9 11.0 7.3 4.3 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Kat Dombroski 100% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.6 6.3 8.4 9.6 9.9 9.2 8.3 7.1 5.9 4.8 4.3 3.4 3.2 2.7 2.3 100.0% 100.0%
Susanna Sharples-Gordon 100% 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.7 5.5 6.5 7.5 8.1 7.9 7.3 6.4 5.8 5.3 4.7 4.1 3.7 3.4 100.0% 100.0%
Sophie Reichard 100% 22.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.9 4.9 5.9 5.5 6.1 5.8 5.8 5.6 5.1 4.9 4.9 100.0% 100.0%
Aubrie Deal 100% 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.5 3.7 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.8 100.0% 100.0%
Abbie Klinker 100% 37.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.5 100.0% 100.0%
Katherine Sandys 100% 45.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Abigail Little 6.4 0.7 3.6 4.8 7.5 10.7 17.2 15.3 14.1 11.1 7.7 4.5 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kat Dombroski 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.8 7.4 9.3 10.3 11.1 9.6 8.8 7.3 6.1 5.2 4.3 3.6 2.9 2.0 1.6
Susanna Sharples-Gordon 17.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.7 3.6 5.5 7.6 8.7 8.9 9.2 8.1 7.5 6.3 6.0 5.2 4.6 3.9 3.0
Sophie Reichard 20.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.1 1.9 3.2 4.1 6.0 6.7 7.2 7.3 7.2 6.7 6.8 6.4 6.3 5.2
Aubrie Deal 25.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.5 3.3 4.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 6.0 6.3 6.9
Abbie Klinker 31.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.2 1.4 2.2 2.6 3.2
Katherine Sandys 35.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3