North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #62
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #21
Noblesville Regional Rank: #10
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 99.9%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Marion Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference Marion County Championship North Central JV Invitational Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/4 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 682 611 731 597 792 771 752 664
Team Adjusted Rating 611 674 597 792 771 742 664
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Marion Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference Marion County Championship North Central JV Invitational Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
260  Jane Hirschman 9 20:35 20:57 21:35 20:57 21:00 21:39 21:07 20:14 20:33
403  Grace Hanley 10 21:02 20:34 20:43 20:32 22:21 20:55 21:14 20:59
630  Maddie Scarpone 12 21:47 22:12 21:26 21:41 21:24 21:59 21:49 22:15 21:45
656  Holle Guntz 10 21:51 20:58 21:18 21:30 21:18 21:54 22:12 22:31 21:54
680  Virginia Wilhelm 11 21:55 21:12 21:35 21:13 21:34 22:32 22:27
690  Gabby Green 9 21:56 21:33 22:00 22:21
720  Rachel Barnack 12 22:00 23:06 21:49 21:38 22:14 22:16 22:01 21:55
728  Caleigh Brewer 9 22:02 22:21 21:39 22:10 22:05 22:04 21:52
777  Aliyah Hohl 10 22:11 22:22 22:10 22:12 21:42 22:04 22:49
816  Emma Burris 11 22:17 21:48 22:24 22:59 22:03 22:08
884  Breytn Minor 12 22:26 22:17 22:01 22:46 21:52 23:20
995  Annie Cumming 11 22:38 21:09 22:24 22:54
Katarina Amstutz 10 23:53 24:38 23:51 23:19 23:51 23:59
Avi Senefeld 12 24:18 23:05 23:46 25:14 24:12
Zoe Branaman 9 25:27 25:58 25:08 23:10 27:57




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 99.9% 9.4 274 0.0 0.4 54.1 45.3
Sectionals 100% 4.4 117 0.1 0.5 60.2 39.1 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jane Hirschman 7.4% 72.2 7.4% 7.4%
Grace Hanley 0.3% 86.0 0.3% 0.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jane Hirschman 100% 47.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Grace Hanley 100% 55.8 100.0% 100.0%
Maddie Scarpone 100.0% 71.7 93.3% 100.0%
Holle Guntz 100.0% 73.4 80.0% 100.0%
Virginia Wilhelm 100% 74.7 100.0% 100.0%
Gabby Green 100.0% 75.1 80.0% 100.0%
Rachel Barnack 100.0% 76.6 80.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jane Hirschman 10.9 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.6 4.0 6.5 9.1 12.0 13.7 11.2 10.0 9.0 6.6 4.1 2.7 1.9 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Grace Hanley 16.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.1 4.1 5.8 7.2 8.5 9.9 10.2 9.7 8.2 7.7 6.3 4.9 4.0 3.1 2.6 1.8
Maddie Scarpone 29.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.2 2.8 3.8 5.3
Holle Guntz 30.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.5 2.6 3.3
Virginia Wilhelm 31.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.0
Gabby Green 32.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.9
Rachel Barnack 33.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3