All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
NIC Stomp |
Marion Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Northern Indiana Conference |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/20 |
9/3 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
243 | |
250 |
207 |
988 |
312 |
224 |
199 |
367 |
565 |
341 |
279 |
262 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
250 |
207 |
243 |
266 |
224 |
199 |
308 |
239 |
281 |
279 |
262 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
NIC Stomp |
Marion Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Northern Indiana Conference |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 19 |
Lauren Frank |
11 |
18:47 |
19:01 |
18:57 |
19:02 |
|
19:20 |
18:42 |
18:50 |
19:40 |
|
19:29 |
19:01 |
18:39 |
| 71 |
Emma Jankowski |
12 |
19:32 |
19:12 |
18:43 |
18:55 |
|
|
19:31 |
19:12 |
20:24 |
|
|
20:01 |
19:33 |
| 128 |
Lorena Daugherty |
12 |
19:55 |
19:54 |
19:57 |
19:23 |
|
19:55 |
19:54 |
19:38 |
|
|
20:08 |
20:04 |
20:04 |
| 133 |
Ellie Jankowski |
10 |
19:56 |
19:20 |
19:43 |
19:46 |
|
19:53 |
19:33 |
19:44 |
19:56 |
|
20:10 |
20:07 |
20:25 |
| 185 |
Dani Spring |
11 |
20:14 |
21:36 |
21:26 |
20:43 |
|
20:25 |
20:13 |
19:53 |
|
|
20:09 |
20:10 |
20:10 |
| 318 |
Elli Mott |
12 |
20:43 |
21:25 |
21:25 |
20:38 |
|
|
20:49 |
20:37 |
20:45 |
20:08 |
|
20:44 |
21:10 |
| 343 |
Hannah Selis |
12 |
20:47 |
21:07 |
21:01 |
20:24 |
|
20:38 |
21:00 |
20:35 |
20:39 |
20:59 |
|
20:49 |
21:14 |
| 385 |
Stella Dimarzio |
10 |
20:57 |
20:37 |
20:55 |
20:54 |
|
20:38 |
20:45 |
21:12 |
21:08 |
21:13 |
20:51 |
|
|
| 398 |
Riley Keppler |
9 |
21:02 |
|
21:03 |
20:49 |
|
20:39 |
21:04 |
20:39 |
20:58 |
21:28 |
21:32 |
|
|
| 504 |
Sybil Kurian |
11 |
21:24 |
20:05 |
|
21:39 |
|
21:47 |
21:14 |
21:08 |
21:27 |
21:18 |
21:28 |
|
|
| 671 |
Ashlyn Johnson |
9 |
21:54 |
|
22:09 |
|
21:31 |
21:52 |
22:39 |
21:47 |
22:00 |
21:38 |
|
|
|
| 706 |
Aislynn Alkire |
9 |
21:59 |
|
22:10 |
|
22:10 |
22:00 |
21:51 |
22:11 |
21:51 |
21:55 |
|
|
|
| 1,122 |
Anne Loughran |
10 |
22:54 |
|
22:33 |
|
21:53 |
22:19 |
23:03 |
23:20 |
23:38 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,180 |
Kendra Laidig |
11 |
23:02 |
|
22:37 |
|
23:18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,200 |
Alex Blosser |
12 |
23:04 |
21:47 |
23:14 |
|
23:22 |
23:32 |
22:27 |
22:51 |
23:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gwynyth Gates |
9 |
23:36 |
|
24:09 |
|
23:26 |
23:27 |
23:27 |
23:28 |
24:00 |
|
|
|
|
|
Paige Barnes |
9 |
23:43 |
|
24:24 |
|
23:58 |
24:11 |
23:39 |
23:11 |
23:32 |
|
|
|
|
|
Adriana Juarez |
9 |
23:46 |
|
24:01 |
|
23:40 |
23:57 |
23:15 |
23:37 |
24:15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Payton Holland |
11 |
23:54 |
|
24:19 |
|
23:48 |
23:47 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Olivia Boverhuis |
9 |
23:56 |
|
23:59 |
|
23:43 |
24:04 |
23:41 |
24:11 |
24:02 |
|
|
|
|
|
Emma Halicki |
9 |
24:18 |
|
24:57 |
|
23:42 |
23:46 |
24:06 |
|
25:50 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
99.9% |
10.1 |
311 |
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
2.9 |
5.9 |
7.9 |
9.5 |
9.6 |
10.7 |
10.1 |
9.4 |
8.4 |
6.5 |
5.2 |
3.9 |
2.8 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
3.1 |
120 |
0.3 |
7.5 |
81.4 |
8.8 |
1.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
27 |
92.4 |
7.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
17 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lauren Frank |
100.0% |
20.6 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
87.5% |
100.0% |
| Emma Jankowski |
99.9% |
72.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0% |
71.0% |
| Lorena Daugherty |
99.9% |
109.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
19.4% |
| Ellie Jankowski |
99.9% |
110.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
16.7% |
| Dani Spring |
99.9% |
135.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
2.2% |
| Elli Mott |
99.9% |
169.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Hannah Selis |
99.9% |
173.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lauren Frank |
100% |
6.6 |
0.1 |
2.2 |
5.8 |
8.6 |
11.2 |
13.2 |
15.0 |
13.3 |
10.5 |
7.8 |
5.0 |
3.4 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emma Jankowski |
100% |
18.7 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.7 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
6.0 |
6.3 |
6.7 |
6.6 |
6.1 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Lorena Daugherty |
100% |
33.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Ellie Jankowski |
100% |
34.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Dani Spring |
100% |
46.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Elli Mott |
100% |
67.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
| Hannah Selis |
100% |
70.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lauren Frank |
100% |
1.0 |
98.3 |
1.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emma Jankowski |
100% |
2.2 |
0.1 |
44.7 |
29.8 |
13.4 |
5.8 |
3.0 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Lorena Daugherty |
100% |
5.6 |
|
1.8 |
9.2 |
15.7 |
15.4 |
13.8 |
11.7 |
8.9 |
6.9 |
4.9 |
3.6 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ellie Jankowski |
100% |
5.9 |
|
1.2 |
7.0 |
13.8 |
16.3 |
13.6 |
12.5 |
9.1 |
7.2 |
5.7 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Dani Spring |
100% |
11.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
2.7 |
4.8 |
6.1 |
7.9 |
8.8 |
9.5 |
9.1 |
8.6 |
7.9 |
7.2 |
6.3 |
5.1 |
4.4 |
3.5 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Elli Mott |
100% |
20.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
5.1 |
5.8 |
7.3 |
8.2 |
9.1 |
9.3 |
9.6 |
9.4 |
8.3 |
6.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Hannah Selis |
100% |
21.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
5.0 |
5.7 |
6.8 |
8.4 |
9.4 |
10.2 |
9.7 |
10.1 |
9.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lauren Frank |
1.0 |
100.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emma Jankowski |
1.6 |
0.1 |
85.4 |
11.2 |
2.6 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lorena Daugherty |
3.3 |
|
5.5 |
35.8 |
31.6 |
15.5 |
7.0 |
3.5 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ellie Jankowski |
3.4 |
|
4.1 |
31.5 |
32.5 |
17.3 |
9.1 |
4.2 |
1.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Dani Spring |
5.7 |
|
0.1 |
2.2 |
7.3 |
24.0 |
23.8 |
21.4 |
17.3 |
3.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Elli Mott |
8.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
2.4 |
5.9 |
14.0 |
33.1 |
28.6 |
11.8 |
2.8 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Hannah Selis |
9.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.4 |
3.6 |
9.5 |
25.6 |
34.6 |
18.4 |
4.7 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
