Riley
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #117
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #33
Elkhart Central Regional Rank: #11
Riley Sectional Rank #11
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 11.6%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp South Bend City Meet Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional
Date 8/20 9/1 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15
Team Rating 1,027 928 980 957 1,024 993 1,122 1,145 1,127
Team Adjusted Rating 928 980 957 1,024 993 1,122 1,072 1,026
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp South Bend City Meet Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional
764  Rose Coman 9 22:09 21:33 22:07 21:32 22:06 21:56 22:33 22:30 22:21
787  Nicole Hipskind 11 22:13 22:02 22:31 22:27 22:12 22:33 22:17 21:56 21:57
999  Abby Crothers 11 22:38 22:21 22:46 22:14 22:44 22:19 22:36 23:19
1,115  Madison Allison 12 22:53 22:29 22:28 22:38 23:09 22:25 22:56 24:55
1,174  Gina Waweru 11 23:01 23:01 22:24 22:49 22:24 23:06 22:52 23:24 23:37 23:03
1,340  Citlali Alcaraz 10 23:23 24:05 23:45 23:24 22:59 23:06
1,373  Sarah Thompson 11 23:26 23:37 23:21 23:22
Kaylee Kenney 11 24:15 24:42 24:25 24:42 24:09 24:35 23:57 23:51 24:12




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 11.6% 9.4 220 0.1 0.4 1.1 3.5 6.6
Sectionals 100% 5.9 136 0.2 1.7 9.6 88.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rose Coman 4.0% 117.3 4.0% 4.0%
Nicole Hipskind 2.1% 117.9 2.1% 2.1%
Abby Crothers 0.0% 124.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rose Coman 100% 46.7 100.0% 100.0%
Nicole Hipskind 100% 48.8 100.0% 100.0%
Abby Crothers 100% 63.0 100.0% 100.0%
Madison Allison 100% 70.1 100.0% 100.0%
Gina Waweru 100% 73.1 100.0% 100.0%
Citlali Alcaraz 100% 80.6 100.0% 100.0%
Sarah Thompson 100.0% 81.4 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rose Coman 21.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.6 3.7 5.7 7.0 8.0 9.1 10.6 11.1 12.0 9.7 7.7
Nicole Hipskind 22.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.5 2.8 3.7 5.3 6.5 8.3 9.4 11.1 11.2 11.9 9.9
Abby Crothers 27.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.1 3.7 5.5 7.9
Madison Allison 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.9
Gina Waweru 32.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8
Citlali Alcaraz 38.2
Sarah Thompson 38.7