Rushville
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #59
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #19
Rushville Regional Rank: #2
Connersville Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 15th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Rushville Invitational Union City Invitational CougarPalooza Invitational Whiteland Invitational South Dearborn Invitational Connersville Invitational Eastern Indiana Athletic Conference Batesville Invitational Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/27 9/3 9/7 9/10 9/17 9/20 9/24 9/27 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 655 600 649 612 652 635 723 623 726 763 653 729
Team Adjusted Rating 600 649 612 652 635 676 623 726 763 653 729
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Rushville Invitational Union City Invitational CougarPalooza Invitational Whiteland Invitational South Dearborn Invitational Connersville Invitational Eastern Indiana Athletic Conference Batesville Invitational Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
414  Charity Griffith 10 21:05 21:18 20:51 20:45 20:51 21:25 21:03 20:43 21:03 20:45 21:33 21:12 21:23
450  Morgan Adkins 9 21:11 21:16 21:13 21:24 21:16 21:11 21:06 21:05 21:05 20:51 21:07 21:27
451  Kayla Fogg 12 21:11 21:22 20:36 21:22 20:09 20:36 21:00 21:57 20:57 21:31 21:44 21:21 21:23
498  Shannon Dougherty 10 21:22 21:45 21:02 20:57 20:59 21:17 21:06 21:24 21:06 21:56 21:45 21:23 22:04
677  Brandi Adkins 12 21:54 22:46 22:01 22:20 22:29 22:06 22:04 21:59 22:37 23:00 21:38 21:38
1,223  Arielle Ordas 12 23:08 23:17 23:39 23:03 23:02 23:02 24:08 22:42 22:56 23:06 22:37 23:38 23:09
Macey Orme 12 24:12 24:16 24:09 24:35 23:54 24:22 24:32 24:31 24:38 23:47 24:04




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 15.4 424 0.0 0.3 1.4 8.6 51.1 24.9 11.2 2.5 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.0 61 0.5 98.3 1.3
Sectionals 100% 1.0 29 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Charity Griffith 100% 102.8 100.0%
Morgan Adkins 100% 107.4 100.0%
Kayla Fogg 100% 107.5 100.0%
Shannon Dougherty 100% 115.1 99.9%
Brandi Adkins 100% 136.1 83.1%
Arielle Ordas 100% 165.6 0.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Charity Griffith 100% 9.4 0.0 1.5 3.5 6.8 14.4 17.8 17.0 13.2 10.1 6.6 4.3 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Morgan Adkins 100% 10.6 0.5 1.4 3.4 7.6 12.3 14.9 16.3 14.7 10.9 7.1 4.5 2.8 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kayla Fogg 100% 10.6 0.6 1.5 3.2 7.4 12.6 15.4 15.7 13.8 11.4 7.3 4.5 2.7 1.7 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Shannon Dougherty 100% 13.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.8 3.4 5.9 9.2 13.8 15.7 14.2 11.6 7.9 5.7 3.9 2.2 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Brandi Adkins 100% 21.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.5 4.0 5.5 6.3 7.6 7.9 7.7 8.5 7.3 7.1 7.0 100.0%
Arielle Ordas 100% 47.6 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Charity Griffith 3.1 6.3 40.4 26.1 16.1 7.6 2.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
Morgan Adkins 4.0 2.9 21.4 25.9 25.5 16.5 5.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kayla Fogg 4.0 2.7 21.0 27.3 24.7 16.0 6.1 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Shannon Dougherty 5.4 0.4 4.7 10.4 20.2 35.8 17.8 6.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Brandi Adkins 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.6 7.0 16.3 17.6 16.9 14.4 13.2 7.1 3.9 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Arielle Ordas 18.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.8 3.7 7.2 14.9 22.9 20.6 14.0 8.4 4.0 1.1 0.3