All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
11th Hour Meet |
Conference Indiana |
THSB State Preview |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Terre Haute North Sectional |
Bedford North Lawrence Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/20 |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
758 | |
890 |
864 |
731 |
783 |
864 |
731 |
814 |
711 |
735 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
796 |
769 |
731 |
783 |
853 |
731 |
788 |
711 |
728 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
11th Hour Meet |
Conference Indiana |
THSB State Preview |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Terre Haute North Sectional |
Bedford North Lawrence Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 58 |
Lily Barton |
9 |
19:24 |
|
19:43 |
19:37 |
19:27 |
19:37 |
20:15 |
19:26 |
19:56 |
19:28 |
19:10 |
19:22 |
| 275 |
Luka Popoff |
9 |
20:37 |
|
21:40 |
21:25 |
21:10 |
21:29 |
21:16 |
20:36 |
20:31 |
20:16 |
20:26 |
|
| 608 |
Amanda Moore |
12 |
21:43 |
22:10 |
|
|
21:46 |
21:47 |
22:21 |
21:41 |
21:40 |
21:35 |
21:32 |
|
| 1,210 |
Molly Essig |
12 |
23:06 |
|
22:57 |
23:17 |
22:44 |
22:54 |
23:56 |
22:53 |
23:22 |
22:49 |
23:25 |
|
| 1,261 |
Claire Lueking |
9 |
23:14 |
|
23:30 |
22:39 |
22:53 |
22:58 |
|
24:53 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,298 |
Sarah Lonneman |
11 |
23:19 |
22:49 |
|
23:22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,310 |
Kaitlyn Koenig |
10 |
23:20 |
|
23:16 |
24:40 |
22:32 |
22:45 |
22:49 |
24:35 |
24:03 |
23:55 |
23:03 |
|
| 1,364 |
Marianne Glaziner |
10 |
23:25 |
23:16 |
23:31 |
23:30 |
22:58 |
24:17 |
24:10 |
23:02 |
23:41 |
23:06 |
23:21 |
|
|
Maggie Mullican |
11 |
23:31 |
22:33 |
22:46 |
22:56 |
22:47 |
22:59 |
23:25 |
23:44 |
24:20 |
24:10 |
23:43 |
|
|
Polet Horsley |
12 |
24:29 |
|
24:09 |
25:08 |
|
24:36 |
24:50 |
24:04 |
|
|
|
|
|
Macy Crapo |
12 |
24:30 |
|
23:25 |
23:52 |
|
|
25:01 |
25:04 |
|
|
|
|
|
Breanna Smith |
9 |
24:45 |
|
24:30 |
24:45 |
25:31 |
25:20 |
24:40 |
24:01 |
|
|
|
|
|
Marina Velesquez |
11 |
24:54 |
|
24:27 |
25:24 |
24:55 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Emily Wright |
11 |
25:07 |
23:34 |
23:56 |
25:39 |
24:38 |
25:44 |
25:27 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100.0% |
10.7 |
333 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
9.1 |
40.2 |
27.9 |
15.1 |
4.9 |
1.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.0 |
138 |
|
|
0.0 |
96.0 |
4.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.1 |
77 |
|
91.9 |
8.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Barton |
97.1% |
65.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
97.1% |
97.1% |
| Luka Popoff |
0.1% |
140.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Barton |
100% |
12.7 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.4 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
5.0 |
6.6 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
6.7 |
6.2 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Luka Popoff |
100% |
51.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Amanda Moore |
100.0% |
90.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
95.1% |
| Molly Essig |
100.0% |
146.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Claire Lueking |
100.0% |
149.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Sarah Lonneman |
100.0% |
152.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Koenig |
100.0% |
154.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Barton |
100% |
4.6 |
1.8 |
4.9 |
9.3 |
15.7 |
31.6 |
13.7 |
9.2 |
7.0 |
5.3 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Luka Popoff |
100% |
19.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
4.2 |
4.9 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
7.7 |
8.1 |
9.1 |
9.3 |
9.8 |
10.8 |
2.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Amanda Moore |
100% |
28.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
6.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Molly Essig |
100% |
53.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.4% |
| Claire Lueking |
100% |
55.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97.9% |
| Sarah Lonneman |
100% |
57.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.9% |
| Kaitlyn Koenig |
100% |
59.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
94.2% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Barton |
1.4 |
11.5 |
86.0 |
2.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Luka Popoff |
7.6 |
|
|
2.9 |
6.7 |
9.1 |
10.5 |
12.5 |
14.8 |
17.0 |
23.3 |
2.6 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Amanda Moore |
13.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
11.8 |
17.6 |
16.7 |
17.0 |
13.8 |
9.5 |
6.6 |
3.6 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Molly Essig |
26.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
2.8 |
4.6 |
8.0 |
13.3 |
| Claire Lueking |
28.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
2.1 |
3.9 |
6.6 |
| Sarah Lonneman |
29.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
4.3 |
| Kaitlyn Koenig |
30.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
|
