Twin Lakes
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #54
New Prairie Semi-State Rank: #14
Harrison (WL) Regional Rank: #3
Benton Central Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 14th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Taylor University Invitational Harrison Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier Conference Benton Central Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 639 578 690 607 705 767 653 579 636 631
Team Adjusted Rating 578 690 607 705 767 653 579 636 631
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Taylor University Invitational Harrison Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier Conference Benton Central Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
43  Maggie Gutwein 10 19:07 18:55 18:59 18:57 18:49 18:50 19:17 19:18 19:04 19:25 19:29 19:09
265  Allyssa Fanning 10 20:35 19:57 20:15 20:39 20:43 20:33 20:46 20:49 20:39 20:34
478  London Griesey 10 21:18 20:55 21:26 21:55 21:13 21:25 21:52 21:07 21:00 21:14 21:11
822  Kaylan Howard 9 22:18 21:51 22:30 21:57 23:14 23:42 22:26 21:40 22:10 22:08
992  Madeline Scott 9 22:38 22:30 23:01 22:39 22:41 22:46 22:41 22:23 22:32 22:36
Makhiya Scanlon 11 25:05 23:46 24:25 25:05 25:34 25:58 24:56 25:12 24:46 24:58




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 14.0 371 0.2 3.2 15.7 20.1 23.4 20.4 11.1 4.6 1.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.2 101 0.3 78.6 18.9 2.2
Sectionals 100% 2.0 50 0.3 99.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maggie Gutwein 99.0% 40.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.6 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.9 99.0% 99.0%
Allyssa Fanning 0.1% 134.0 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maggie Gutwein 100% 8.4 0.3 1.2 2.8 5.3 7.0 8.5 9.4 10.9 10.7 10.4 9.4 6.6 5.2 3.6 2.5 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Allyssa Fanning 100% 62.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
London Griesey 100% 112.7 90.8%
Kaylan Howard 100% 150.8 3.4%
Madeline Scott 100% 157.6 0.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maggie Gutwein 100% 1.0 82.3 12.9 3.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 100.0%
Allyssa Fanning 100% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 3.4 5.5 6.3 6.6 7.3 7.9 7.5 7.4 7.7 7.5 6.8 6.4 5.7 4.6 3.2 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.3 100.0%
London Griesey 100% 24.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.8 2.8 4.9 6.2 8.6 9.2 10.0 10.3 100.0%
Kaylan Howard 100% 37.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Madeline Scott 100% 43.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maggie Gutwein 1.0 84.2 13.1 2.7
Allyssa Fanning 4.3 0.1 1.5 39.2 26.6 16.6 9.4 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0
London Griesey 9.7 0.0 0.9 2.6 6.0 11.2 16.2 19.7 17.8 21.1 4.2 0.3 0.0
Kaylan Howard 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 10.1 23.9 23.7 18.3 11.0 6.6 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Madeline Scott 17.5 0.0 0.6 3.3 7.7 13.0 17.3 17.7 15.1 11.8 7.7 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1