West Lafayette
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #20
New Prairie Semi-State Rank: #6
Harrison (WL) Regional Rank: #1
Harrison (WL) Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 20th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 2.8%
Advance to State Finals 79.5%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Harrison Invitational Lafayette City/County Harrison Invitational Ben Davis Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier Conference Harrison Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/23 8/30 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 332 423 554 407 315 364 326 421 379 391 317 339
Team Adjusted Rating 423 449 407 315 359 326 390 343 391 317 339
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Harrison Invitational Lafayette City/County Harrison Invitational Ben Davis Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier Conference Harrison Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
91  Mary Schultz 10 19:39 20:12 20:08 20:08 19:34 19:42 19:39 20:23 20:09 20:19 19:53 19:55
105  Caroline Jordan 9 19:47 21:27 21:17 21:27 20:32 20:19 20:02 20:22 20:03 20:01 19:44 19:39
174  Bella Garcia 9 20:11 21:08 21:17 21:08 20:31 20:54 20:04 20:20 19:56 20:30 19:56 20:30
231  Emma Tate 10 20:29 20:35 20:30 20:54 20:30 20:14 20:36 20:23 20:44 20:21 20:24
263  Ellie Tate 10 20:35 21:53 20:40 20:40 20:33 20:28 20:46
274  Claudia Li 12 20:37 20:40 20:24 20:59 20:24 19:54 20:08 20:29 21:13 20:46 20:28
300  Abby Hummels 11 20:40 20:21 20:31 20:54 20:31 20:15 20:40 20:26 20:45 20:24 21:02 20:51
319  Sarah Greenwell 10 20:44 20:27 20:54 20:59 20:54 20:21 21:05 21:05 20:51 21:05
551  Mackenzie Marks 12 21:34 21:51 21:58 21:55 21:58 22:09 21:55 21:44 22:04 21:25 21:47
561  Ellie Haq 9 21:35 22:15 21:39 22:15 21:44 21:20 21:24 21:44 21:28
763  Itoro Udo-Imeh 11 22:09 21:15 21:52 22:01 21:52
1,084  Lauren Thomas 10 22:49 20:41
Isabel PeraitaGomez 10 23:36 24:29 23:17 23:29
Claudia Fuentes 9 24:21 24:16 24:38 24:16 24:51 24:29 24:14




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 79.5% 17.9 427 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.9 2.4 3.8 4.3 5.9 6.1 6.9 7.3 7.8 7.9 7.7 6.9 5.7 2.5
Semi-State 100% 4.7 161 4.8 10.7 16.3 17.4 16.3 14.0 9.7 6.6 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 36 99.1 0.9
Sectionals 100% 1.0 21 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mary Schultz 82.8% 90.1 0.0 16.1% 40.3%
Caroline Jordan 81.9% 93.2 0.0 11.7% 35.7%
Bella Garcia 79.5% 131.9 0.0% 2.3%
Emma Tate 79.5% 149.9 0.0% 0.2%
Ellie Tate 79.5% 157.1 0.0% 0.1%
Claudia Li 79.5% 159.2 0.0% 0.1%
Abby Hummels 79.5% 163.3 0.0% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mary Schultz 100% 21.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.7 3.6 4.1 4.5 5.4 5.5 6.1 5.7 6.1 5.6 5.5 5.1 4.6 100.0%
Caroline Jordan 100% 22.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.3 2.6 4.0 4.2 4.7 5.0 5.4 5.8 6.0 5.5 5.2 5.0 4.7 100.0%
Bella Garcia 100% 39.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.8 100.0%
Emma Tate 100% 54.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Ellie Tate 100% 61.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Claudia Li 100% 63.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Abby Hummels 100% 68.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mary Schultz 100% 3.3 2.0 15.2 24.6 28.6 20.8 5.7 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Caroline Jordan 100% 3.5 1.6 12.2 22.1 29.1 23.9 7.0 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Bella Garcia 100% 6.8 0.1 0.4 2.4 8.0 24.6 18.4 13.3 9.8 7.0 4.7 3.8 2.7 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Emma Tate 100% 10.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 4.7 8.7 10.2 10.8 10.3 9.5 8.4 7.8 6.7 5.6 4.4 3.7 2.7 1.9 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Ellie Tate 100% 12.5 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.6 6.0 7.2 8.1 8.8 8.9 8.6 8.6 7.4 7.3 6.2 5.1 4.0 2.7 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Claudia Li 100% 12.9 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.4 5.2 6.6 7.6 8.6 9.2 8.5 8.6 8.0 7.5 6.4 5.7 4.6 3.3 2.3 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Abby Hummels 100% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.3 4.5 5.9 7.2 7.9 8.3 8.1 8.7 9.1 8.2 7.1 5.4 4.8 3.3 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mary Schultz 1.0 51.8 38.6 6.8 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Caroline Jordan 1.2 42.3 45.6 8.6 2.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Bella Garcia 3.6 0.5 3.9 32.4 21.8 14.9 10.0 6.9 4.1 2.7 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Emma Tate 6.5 0.0 0.2 5.4 10.7 13.5 13.6 12.9 12.4 10.4 7.8 6.3 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Ellie Tate 8.1 0.0 0.0 1.8 5.4 8.0 9.8 11.1 12.3 12.5 11.8 10.8 8.7 5.2 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Claudia Li 8.5 0.0 1.5 4.4 6.5 8.5 10.6 12.5 12.7 12.6 12.0 9.6 5.7 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0
Abby Hummels 9.5 0.0 0.6 2.3 4.2 6.2 8.1 10.1 11.6 13.5 14.3 14.0 9.6 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0