All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Harvey Circle City Conference |
Hamilton County Championship |
THSB State Preview |
Indiana All-Catholic Championship |
Flashrock Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
North Central JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/19 |
8/29 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
10/3 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
| Team Rating |
436 | |
371 |
373 |
474 |
440 |
359 |
473 |
|
550 |
476 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
371 |
373 |
474 |
408 |
359 |
419 |
|
550 |
476 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Harvey Circle City Conference |
Hamilton County Championship |
THSB State Preview |
Indiana All-Catholic Championship |
Flashrock Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
North Central JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| 61 |
Paige Schemanske |
11 |
19:26 |
19:02 |
19:03 |
19:13 |
19:32 |
19:42 |
19:15 |
19:13 |
|
19:18 |
19:49 |
19:42 |
| 68 |
Ellie Schroeder |
11 |
19:30 |
19:25 |
19:23 |
19:22 |
19:44 |
19:20 |
19:39 |
19:19 |
|
19:54 |
19:32 |
19:22 |
| 273 |
Bea Perez |
9 |
20:40 |
|
21:02 |
20:21 |
20:20 |
20:17 |
20:07 |
|
|
21:22 |
21:19 |
|
| 484 |
Lucia Perez |
12 |
21:20 |
20:38 |
21:25 |
21:16 |
22:01 |
|
21:01 |
21:28 |
|
21:25 |
21:11 |
|
| 525 |
Raegan Bohbrink |
9 |
21:26 |
|
21:00 |
22:08 |
21:27 |
21:12 |
20:54 |
21:34 |
|
22:22 |
21:20 |
|
| 601 |
Isabelle Museck |
11 |
21:40 |
20:29 |
20:36 |
20:59 |
22:00 |
21:53 |
21:44 |
21:19 |
|
22:47 |
|
|
| 1,038 |
Nicole Powers |
10 |
22:46 |
22:45 |
22:35 |
23:21 |
22:56 |
22:07 |
22:41 |
22:31 |
|
23:24 |
|
|
| 1,045 |
Delaney Klee |
9 |
22:47 |
|
22:53 |
25:03 |
22:33 |
22:33 |
22:37 |
|
22:47 |
|
|
|
| 1,225 |
Kaleigh Falimirski |
11 |
23:10 |
23:35 |
|
23:41 |
22:50 |
23:32 |
21:47 |
23:46 |
|
|
|
|
|
Kinley Callahan |
9 |
23:43 |
|
23:41 |
24:08 |
23:12 |
23:44 |
23:55 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Audrey Darland |
10 |
23:49 |
22:17 |
23:09 |
24:10 |
23:46 |
23:15 |
22:41 |
24:42 |
25:36 |
|
|
|
|
Marian Grskovich |
10 |
23:54 |
22:33 |
26:13 |
23:23 |
23:22 |
23:52 |
24:19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amanda Schafer |
12 |
23:57 |
22:12 |
23:40 |
26:05 |
25:00 |
25:18 |
23:53 |
22:53 |
22:42 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
5.7 |
141 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
30.6 |
69.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Paige Schemanske |
35.8% |
50.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
35.8% |
35.8% |
| Ellie Schroeder |
26.5% |
52.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
26.5% |
26.5% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Paige Schemanske |
97.8% |
27.6 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
97.8% |
97.8% |
| Ellie Schroeder |
96.8% |
30.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
96.8% |
96.8% |
| Bea Perez |
0.6% |
62.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.6% |
0.6% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Paige Schemanske |
100% |
16.3 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
3.3 |
5.1 |
5.5 |
5.9 |
6.7 |
7.3 |
7.2 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
5.6 |
4.2 |
5.0 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
2.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Ellie Schroeder |
100% |
17.8 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
6.8 |
6.0 |
5.7 |
6.7 |
6.3 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Bea Perez |
100% |
50.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Lucia Perez |
99.4% |
64.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.4% |
99.4% |
| Raegan Bohbrink |
97.7% |
67.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97.7% |
97.7% |
| Isabelle Museck |
85.6% |
71.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
85.6% |
85.6% |
| Nicole Powers |
0.1% |
84.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Paige Schemanske |
10.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
4.3 |
7.2 |
9.0 |
11.0 |
10.6 |
9.5 |
8.1 |
7.3 |
6.4 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
| Ellie Schroeder |
11.3 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
3.2 |
5.8 |
6.9 |
9.5 |
10.3 |
9.1 |
8.6 |
7.0 |
7.1 |
5.2 |
4.4 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
| Bea Perez |
34.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
| Lucia Perez |
40.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Raegan Bohbrink |
41.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Isabelle Museck |
43.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nicole Powers |
49.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
