Avon
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #35
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #14
Ben Davis Regional Rank: #4
South Putnam Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating THSB State Preview Avon Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight South Putnam Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 9/1 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 495 424 494 516 906 487 476 561
Team Adjusted Rating 424 494 516 495 487 476 561
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating THSB State Preview Avon Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight South Putnam Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
192  Isabella Wall 10 20:23 19:47 19:46 19:51 20:23 20:37 20:36 20:38
266  Lauren Myers 12 20:43 20:22 20:31 20:38 20:50 20:24 20:46 21:00
311  Clare Wigger 9 20:51 21:17 20:52 21:00 20:25 20:47 20:53
346  Katie Risner 11 20:58 20:54 20:39 21:23 20:57 21:49 20:37 21:26
371  Elizabeth Myers 12 21:04 21:11 20:38 21:09 21:13 20:46 20:57 21:40
467  Juliana Wall 10 21:22 21:15 21:32 21:18 21:23 21:40 21:21 21:12
505  Maya Abramson 11 21:30 21:52 21:05 21:43 21:28 21:13 21:48
718  Kayla Logeais 10 22:01 22:11 22:10 22:08 21:35
730  Jaiden Davis 9 22:03 22:30 21:38
862  Brooke Paul 10 22:21 21:48 22:33 22:49 21:51 22:21
899  Kylie Nabb 9 22:26 22:34 22:14 22:31
1,078  Alicja Stoppel 10 22:50 22:16 22:57 22:39 23:17
1,125  Emma Carew 9 22:56 22:47 22:54 22:39 23:22
1,159  Kate Steiner 11 22:58 22:59 22:59 23:00 22:57
1,233  Victoria Wendt 12 23:08 23:34 22:45 23:51 22:47
Lizzy Maharas 9 23:53 23:39 24:07 23:29 24:12
Corrine O'Neil 11 24:08 23:58 24:17




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 11.4 317 0.1 1.0 6.0 47.9 42.2 2.4 0.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.9 103 2.1 9.3 88.5 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.9 47 11.7 88.3 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isabella Wall 100% 62.3 100.0%
Lauren Myers 100% 76.8 97.4%
Clare Wigger 100% 83.6 93.8%
Katie Risner 100% 89.9 87.1%
Elizabeth Myers 100% 95.2 78.2%
Juliana Wall 100% 110.0 41.3%
Maya Abramson 100% 115.6 26.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isabella Wall 100% 15.9 0.1 0.2 2.1 4.4 7.5 11.9 12.2 13.5 12.7 8.5 6.9 6.4 4.0 3.2 2.1 1.4 1.1 100.0%
Lauren Myers 100% 21.3 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 3.4 3.9 6.5 6.4 8.9 8.4 8.0 8.7 6.7 6.7 6.1 100.0%
Clare Wigger 100% 24.7 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 1.6 1.8 3.3 4.1 5.5 7.0 6.7 7.2 6.7 7.7 100.0%
Katie Risner 100% 27.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.5 1.7 2.7 3.6 4.5 6.2 6.0 6.3 100.0%
Elizabeth Myers 100% 29.5 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.4 2.4 1.9 2.9 4.3 4.8 100.0%
Juliana Wall 100% 35.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.8 100.0%
Maya Abramson 100% 37.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isabella Wall 4.7 0.1 5.1 23.2 31.1 20.8 10.2 4.5 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.2
Lauren Myers 7.4 0.3 1.9 7.9 14.5 18.6 17.0 12.4 10.9 6.1 4.6 2.6 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1
Clare Wigger 9.1 0.1 0.5 2.1 7.3 11.1 13.5 13.8 13.6 11.2 9.2 6.3 5.0 2.9 1.4 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
Katie Risner 10.7 0.4 2.5 5.4 9.0 11.3 11.9 13.4 11.4 10.7 7.9 5.8 4.4 2.8 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1
Elizabeth Myers 12.4 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.3 4.9 6.4 9.1 10.2 11.5 12.5 10.8 10.3 7.8 4.5 4.3 2.0 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1
Juliana Wall 16.4 0.4 0.6 1.4 2.3 4.0 5.9 8.9 10.2 11.4 12.0 11.1 9.9 8.0 5.4 4.5 2.2 1.2 0.6
Maya Abramson 18.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.9 2.3 4.6 5.6 8.0 9.9 12.6 12.1 11.8 9.6 9.3 6.1 2.4 1.4