Covington
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank Not in top 195
New Prairie Semi-State Rank: #46
Harrison (WL) Regional Rank: #11
Benton Central Sectional Rank #11
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Fountain Central Grand Prix Harrison 8-Way Charger Classic Fountain-Warren Bi-County Wabash River Conference Benton Central Sectional Harrison Regional
Date 8/18 8/22 9/6 9/13 10/2 10/6 10/13
Team Rating 1,506
Team Adjusted Rating 1,552 1,651 1,630 1,618 1,526 1,412 1,596
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Fountain Central Grand Prix Harrison 8-Way Charger Classic Fountain-Warren Bi-County Wabash River Conference Benton Central Sectional Harrison Regional
1,150  Sara Saligi 12 22:58 23:25 23:42 23:13 22:58 22:45 22:37 22:54
1,265  Reese Noble 11 23:12 21:28 23:28 23:47 23:24 23:00 24:03 22:41 23:40
Bailey Duncan 9 24:46 24:09 26:07 26:58 23:38 24:29 24:53
Grace Wright 9 25:51 26:33 26:41 28:18 26:26 27:37 25:17 26:32
Lillian Ramirez 11 26:50 27:36 28:11 26:01 26:15 28:16
Sierra Fletcher 12 28:26 27:39 28:11 28:55 29:18 28:17
Jessalyn Simpkins 10 28:45 28:31 28:30 28:19 28:30 28:22 29:34 30:10




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 10.0 257 100.0
Sectionals 100% 5.3 145 75.0 25.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sara Saligi 14.5% 163.1 14.5% 14.5%
Reese Noble 2.0% 165.4 2.0% 2.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sara Saligi 100% 42.5 0.1 100.0%
Reese Noble 100% 46.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sara Saligi 16.6 0.5 0.9 1.0 2.3 3.8 5.3 9.9 15.0 18.5 17.3 12.4 6.9 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.5 0.2
Reese Noble 18.7 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.6 5.5 9.6 14.8 19.6 18.7 10.7 6.1 4.5 2.9 1.1