Southport
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #72
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #23
Ben Davis Regional Rank: #6
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Richmond Invitational Columbus North Classic Conference Indiana Golden Bear Invitational Marion County Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/18 9/1 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 780 717 689 992 942 814 834 762 905
Team Adjusted Rating 717 689 832 793 814 834 762 905
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Richmond Invitational Columbus North Classic Conference Indiana Golden Bear Invitational Marion County Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
255  Adrianna Frederick 11 20:39 21:42 20:05 20:07 20:28 20:30 20:56 21:20 20:40 20:44
327  Nicole Manning 11 20:54 21:12 20:41 20:24 21:07 21:03 20:43 20:27 21:30 21:40
566  Kayden Casey 11 21:40 20:45 21:40 21:17 22:22 21:29 21:34 21:27 21:34 22:05
609  Bella Green 11 21:46 20:35 21:05 21:01 22:28 22:53 21:24 22:15
Micah Ellyson 10 23:46 22:30 24:10 24:32 24:52 24:31 25:01 24:32 23:22 24:26
Cecelia Dunn 10 24:05 26:03 24:40 23:56 23:40 23:33 24:17 24:17
Kiara Moore 11 24:45 24:33 24:53 26:30 25:23 24:12 25:35 25:11
Megan Frank 11 24:58 22:46 24:22 25:28
Modupe Awosanya 9 25:40 25:39
Lyndsay Valadez 12 25:46 25:41 27:37 25:50 25:07
Ernestine Hursey 12 26:15 25:36 27:05




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 15.8 443 0.1 0.4 4.0 9.7 19.2 42.2 17.9 6.2 0.6
Regionals 100% 5.3 163 0.1 66.0 33.5 0.5
Sectionals 100% 3.0 110 99.2 0.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Adrianna Frederick 100% 75.1 99.0%
Nicole Manning 100% 86.3 90.3%
Kayden Casey 100% 123.7 10.5%
Bella Green 100% 127.9 5.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Adrianna Frederick 100% 20.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 4.6 5.5 6.1 7.7 9.1 8.5 8.2 8.2 7.2 6.3 5.1 100.0%
Nicole Manning 100% 25.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.5 3.9 5.3 4.7 5.9 6.5 6.2 6.7 100.0%
Kayden Casey 100% 40.9 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Bella Green 100% 42.6 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Adrianna Frederick 13.4 0.7 2.6 6.0 15.7 18.0 17.5 15.1 12.1 6.8 3.6 2.1
Nicole Manning 15.9 0.3 1.1 3.2 6.4 9.9 14.6 16.6 17.0 17.9 12.3 0.9
Kayden Casey 20.3 0.1 0.5 2.0 6.4 31.9 29.7 16.3 9.3 2.9 1.0
Bella Green 21.0 0.1 0.7 3.2 18.5 26.4 25.5 17.1 6.3 1.6