Alexandria
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #143
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #41
Delta Regional Rank: #7
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Norwell Invitational Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Sheridan Invitational Oak Hill Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Central Indiana Conference Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/18 8/28 8/31 9/10 9/14 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 1,165 1,272 1,257 1,323 1,201 1,121 1,178 1,189
Team Adjusted Rating 1,272 1,257 1,221 1,323 1,155 1,201 1,121 1,178 1,189
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Norwell Invitational Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Sheridan Invitational Oak Hill Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Central Indiana Conference Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
566  Madi Weir 9 21:35 21:36 22:06 23:17 22:44 21:52 22:12 21:25 21:19
926  Lilly Thomas 9 22:24 22:34 22:39 22:49 22:05 22:30 22:29 22:37 22:12 22:02
1,000  Reanna Stinson 10 22:34 21:03 22:37 22:15 23:46 22:52 22:13 22:00 22:29 23:16
Allie Gast 11 23:56 25:07 24:19 23:54 24:04 23:17 23:29 23:25 24:04 24:46
Jordan Bodie 11 25:27 27:16 27:09 26:35 25:19 25:36 25:45 25:04 24:56 25:01
Faith Breese 9 26:45 26:40 26:49
Morgan Long 11 28:02 29:17 27:36 27:36 28:14
Maddie Rowlett 9 28:36 29:16 29:32 28:31 29:12 28:12 28:14 28:10 28:18 29:14




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0% 20.0 523 0.0
Regionals 100.0% 8.1 209 0.0 6.6 31.1 25.3 21.6 15.4
Sectionals 100% 4.5 149 50.7 49.3 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madi Weir 96.3% 120.5 96.2% 96.3%
Lilly Thomas 9.5% 142.5 9.5% 9.5%
Reanna Stinson 2.2% 144.9 2.2% 2.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madi Weir 100% 28.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.7 2.6 100.0% 100.0%
Lilly Thomas 100% 42.1 100.0% 100.0%
Reanna Stinson 100% 45.5 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madi Weir 18.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.5 10.6 50.7 17.2 8.0 4.0 2.1 1.1 0.4
Lilly Thomas 25.3 0.0 0.1 2.1 4.0 5.4 7.5 10.8 14.6
Reanna Stinson 26.7 0.6 1.0 1.9 3.1 5.3 8.3