Bishop Dwenger
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #15
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #5
West Noble Regional Rank: #3
Northrop Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 16th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 6.4%
Advance to State Finals 77.4%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Guerin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Summit Athletic Conf. Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 299 258 256 275 297 255 316 320 449 316 340
Team Adjusted Rating 258 256 275 275 255 316 305 327 316 340
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Guerin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Summit Athletic Conf. Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
1  Erin Strzelecki 12 17:35 17:51 17:24 18:03 17:33 17:30 17:36 17:52 18:00 17:41 17:53 17:28
147  Katie Woods 10 20:05 18:44 19:56 19:49 20:14 20:00 20:04 20:19 20:09 20:11 20:09 19:59
224  Katie Nix 12 20:25 20:17 20:42 20:14 20:52 20:04 20:17 20:19 20:30 20:33 20:14 20:36
229  Nora Steele 11 20:26 19:08 19:40 19:56 19:45 19:40 21:59 21:04 20:48
237  Anna Morris 12 20:27 20:45 19:58 20:16 20:05 20:18 20:18 20:33 20:24 20:47 20:29 21:14
357  Aileen Delaney 11 20:54 20:30 21:03 20:40 20:40 20:49 20:47 20:35 20:59 22:25
376  Ella Grashoff 10 20:57 21:29 21:26 21:20 21:12 21:19 21:16 21:17 20:43 20:54 21:03 20:42
392  Susie Beeber 12 21:00 20:36 21:10 21:05 20:50 21:04 20:47 21:14 21:05 20:46 20:48 21:40
537  Natalee Vogan 11 21:31 20:56 20:44 21:12 21:34 21:05 21:54 21:47 21:43
672  Tori Rodenbeck 9 21:52 21:41 21:23 21:41 21:56 21:52 22:25 21:57
784  Maria Cavacini 12 22:06 23:35 22:10 21:57 21:43 21:36 22:15 21:55 26:44
1,175  Ruth Wheeler 9 22:55 23:26 23:10 22:43 22:58 22:29 23:33 22:38
1,188  Paige Aselage 10 22:57 21:43 22:06 22:46 22:02 24:54 23:46 22:26 23:15
1,269  Madeline Quinn 11 23:08 23:08
1,336  Marie Johnson 9 23:17 23:36 23:42 23:29 23:43 23:03 23:08 22:57
1,412  Emily Szczepanski 10 23:28 23:28 22:58 23:09 23:17 23:47 24:13
Jackie Miles 11 23:32 23:52 23:55 24:26 24:09 23:35 23:46 22:51 22:54
Julia Schroeder 11 23:36 23:36
Rachel Siela 12 23:50 23:41 23:36 23:17 24:41 24:02 23:49 23:52
Grace McAlary 11 23:52 23:53 23:41 24:02
Kiera Meyer 11 24:41 23:54 25:07 23:34 24:56 24:47 24:45 25:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 77.4% 15.0 375 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.5 3.6 4.9 6.9 8.7 10.5 11.1 9.7 7.0 4.6 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.1
Semi-State 100.0% 5.3 178 1.0 11.3 20.0 25.2 19.9 13.8 7.2 1.5 0.2
Regionals 100.0% 2.9 85 0.0 31.3 43.7 25.0
Sectionals 100% 2.9 77 33.4 44.3 22.3 0.0 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Strzelecki 100% 1.0 79.7 15.0 3.6 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Katie Woods 77.4% 110.9 0.0% 1.9%
Katie Nix 77.4% 138.6 0.0% 0.1%
Nora Steele 77.4% 140.2 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Morris 77.4% 141.5 0.0% 0.1%
Aileen Delaney 77.4% 171.2 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Grashoff 77.4% 174.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Strzelecki 100% 1.0 94.9 5.0 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Katie Woods 100% 37.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.4 100.0% 98.7%
Katie Nix 100.0% 55.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0% 86.2%
Nora Steele 100.0% 57.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0% 84.4%
Anna Morris 100.0% 58.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 82.8%
Aileen Delaney 100.0% 87.8 0.0 0.0% 26.5%
Ella Grashoff 100.0% 90.6 0.0% 21.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Strzelecki 100% 1.0 95.1 4.8 0.1 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Katie Woods 100% 15.2 0.1 0.3 3.0 4.7 8.4 12.0 10.7 9.5 8.6 7.9 5.8 5.2 4.9 3.7 3.4 2.6 2.1 1.6 100.0% 100.0%
Katie Nix 100.0% 23.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.9 3.4 4.1 4.4 5.1 5.9 5.6 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.1 0.0% 99.9%
Nora Steele 100% 24.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.8 2.6 3.5 3.7 3.8 4.6 4.9 5.2 5.2 5.5 5.7 5.5 100.0% 99.9%
Anna Morris 100% 24.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.9 4.3 4.6 4.6 5.0 5.7 5.4 5.4 100.0% 99.8%
Aileen Delaney 100.0% 37.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.0% 93.5%
Ella Grashoff 100.0% 38.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.0% 90.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Strzelecki 1.0 94.9 5.1 0.1 0.0
Katie Woods 13.5 0.1 0.4 3.2 4.7 9.3 13.3 13.5 11.8 10.0 8.6 7.2 5.5 4.1 2.6 1.8 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.3
Katie Nix 19.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 2.8 3.9 4.9 6.6 7.3 8.0 9.1 9.0 7.9 7.7 6.4 5.2 4.4
Nora Steele 19.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.1 4.0 4.8 6.1 6.6 8.0 8.1 8.5 8.2 8.0 6.9 6.4 4.7
Anna Morris 20.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.9 3.0 4.3 5.4 6.6 7.5 8.5 8.3 8.5 7.6 7.2 6.4 5.3
Aileen Delaney 30.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.9 3.5 4.3
Ella Grashoff 31.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.9 3.4