Bloomington North
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #10
Brown County Semi-State Rank: #2
Bedford North Lawrence Regional Rank: #1
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 9.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 57.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Bloomington North Early Bird Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Conference Indiana Culver Academies Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Bedford North Lawr. Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 9/28 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 265 211 270 247 224 293 303 269 261 270
Team Adjusted Rating 211 270 247 224 293 302 269 261 270
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Bloomington North Early Bird Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Conference Indiana Culver Academies Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Bedford North Lawr. Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
79  Quinn Wilson 12 19:34 20:04 19:40 20:25 20:33 20:38 20:08 20:09 19:44 19:36 19:25
81  Bea Cakmak 10 19:34 19:26 19:21 19:36 19:33 19:05 19:25 19:46 19:39 19:39 19:57
99  Abbey Armstrong 12 19:41 19:32 19:24 19:17 19:26 19:15 20:23 20:02 20:01 19:39 19:37
153  Avery Njau 10 20:07 22:06 20:58 20:45 20:29 19:57 19:57 19:47 19:58 20:05
159  Olivia Kaiser 11 20:08 20:02 19:54 20:21 19:58 19:58 20:09 20:07 20:18 20:06 20:22
163  Mya Hagerty 12 20:10 18:37 19:39 19:31 19:43 21:28 20:30 20:14 20:08
193  Mackenzie Carver 12 20:16 20:05 19:50 20:29 20:00 20:19 20:27 20:08 19:59 20:35 20:23
200  Rachel Allison 9 20:19 19:39 20:36 19:57 20:42 20:06 20:47
223  Melissa Mahaffey 10 20:24 20:16 19:59 21:10 21:19 19:44 20:45 19:58
626  Ava Mattox 12 21:44 22:07 22:01 21:29 21:50 21:30
777  Isabel Schneider 10 22:05 22:08
891  Mikalah Wiles 9 22:20 23:13 22:45 22:00 22:04 22:17




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 10.1 295 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.2 5.4 7.3 9.6 10.4 10.5 9.4 9.1 8.1 7.1 5.9 4.6 3.3 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100% 2.1 87 17.6 62.9 14.9 4.1 0.5
Regionals 100% 1.2 38 85.2 13.7 1.0
Sectionals 100% 1.1 30 86.1 13.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Quinn Wilson 100% 73.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 95.0%
Bea Cakmak 100% 73.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 94.2%
Abbey Armstrong 100% 83.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 88.3%
Avery Njau 100% 117.8 36.1%
Olivia Kaiser 100% 120.5 31.8%
Mya Hagerty 100% 122.4 29.6%
Mackenzie Carver 100% 130.8 17.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Quinn Wilson 100% 10.4 1.0 3.9 4.4 4.9 6.0 6.6 6.5 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.3 6.2 5.9 4.7 3.8 3.3 3.1 2.4 1.9 1.5 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.6 100.0%
Bea Cakmak 100% 10.6 0.8 3.4 4.3 4.6 5.4 6.1 6.6 6.7 7.4 7.3 6.8 5.5 6.0 4.9 3.9 3.7 3.1 2.6 2.2 1.5 1.4 1.1 1.1 0.8 100.0%
Abbey Armstrong 100% 13.4 0.3 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.6 4.6 5.2 6.3 6.2 6.6 6.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.0 4.7 3.4 3.3 3.2 2.5 2.0 1.9 1.6 100.0%
Avery Njau 100% 27.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.4 3.0 3.3 3.2 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.7 100.0%
Olivia Kaiser 100% 29.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.3 4.0 100.0%
Mya Hagerty 100% 30.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.8 100.0%
Mackenzie Carver 100% 35.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.5 2.0 1.8 2.2 2.7 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Quinn Wilson 100% 3.1 26.0 23.0 16.6 11.3 7.0 5.3 3.9 2.5 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Bea Cakmak 100% 3.2 23.8 22.0 17.7 11.2 7.8 5.4 3.9 2.8 1.8 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Abbey Armstrong 100% 4.5 10.3 14.5 17.7 14.1 11.2 8.2 6.5 5.0 3.9 2.7 2.2 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Avery Njau 100% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 3.8 4.8 5.6 6.5 7.1 7.5 7.8 8.1 7.6 7.5 6.4 5.8 4.8 4.1 3.0 2.6 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.3 100.0%
Olivia Kaiser 100% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.0 3.8 4.9 5.5 6.5 6.6 7.9 8.0 7.7 7.4 7.5 6.2 6.0 5.0 3.7 2.9 2.2 1.4 1.0 0.5 100.0%
Mya Hagerty 100% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.7 3.7 4.2 5.2 5.4 6.8 6.9 7.9 7.7 7.8 7.3 6.7 6.0 5.4 4.4 3.2 2.8 1.8 1.1 0.7 100.0%
Mackenzie Carver 100% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.2 2.8 3.6 4.5 5.7 5.6 7.2 7.8 8.7 7.9 7.6 7.5 6.1 6.3 5.2 3.6 2.2 1.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Quinn Wilson 2.8 28.7 25.4 18.9 11.6 7.0 4.1 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bea Cakmak 2.9 26.1 25.6 19.6 12.0 7.6 4.7 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Abbey Armstrong 4.0 10.7 17.1 22.3 18.6 11.7 8.1 5.8 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Avery Njau 9.2 0.1 0.2 1.1 3.9 7.4 9.2 11.5 14.1 14.3 12.8 10.4 7.5 4.4 2.5 0.9
Olivia Kaiser 9.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 3.2 6.2 8.8 10.6 12.4 14.2 13.7 11.8 8.7 5.3 2.9 1.3
Mya Hagerty 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.8 5.5 7.3 9.4 11.9 13.5 14.1 13.1 10.2 6.2 3.6 1.5 0.0
Mackenzie Carver 11.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.5 4.0 5.7 8.5 11.1 13.8 15.8 14.9 11.6 7.6 3.6 0.1