Brebeuf Jesuit
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #4
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #3
Noblesville Regional Rank: #2
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 5th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.3%
Top 5 at State Finals 44.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 93.0%
Advance to State Finals 98.5%
Advance to Semi-State 99.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Circle City Conference THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Marion County Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 197 413 382 257 316 249 404 281 210 239 203
Team Adjusted Rating 309 241 257 242 146 267 281 210 239 203
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Circle City Conference THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Marion County Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
4  Madeline Keller 10 18:14 18:29 18:09 18:14 18:08 18:20 18:08 18:52 18:36 18:26 18:26 18:07
11  Zoe Simmons 12 18:40 18:17 18:21 18:35 18:15 18:29 19:01 18:31 18:55 18:57
86  Kendall Martin 10 19:37 22:17 20:49 21:20 20:51 20:35 20:21 20:03 19:50 19:29
138  Audrey Sloan 9 20:02 19:59 20:11 19:58 19:54 19:18 20:26 20:38 19:59 20:23 19:54
178  Kelly Gardner 12 20:13 19:59 19:47 19:46 19:48 20:16 20:31 20:09 20:28 20:30
668  Maggie Smith 12 21:51 22:03 21:58 21:59 21:37 21:40 21:52 21:55 21:50 22:11
683  Olivia Mulhern 9 21:54 21:43 22:05
722  Bella Stonitsch 11 21:58 22:15 21:56 21:45 22:50 21:58 21:51 21:45 21:49 22:33
1,022  Maya Murthy 10 22:37 22:54 22:44 23:00 23:01 22:08 22:35
1,068  Allison Caffrey 11 22:42 21:10 23:16 21:33 22:46 22:51
1,198  Elizabeth Dolan 9 22:59 22:55 22:21 23:06 23:03 22:54 23:17
1,208  Rachel Moore 12 22:59 21:23 23:04 23:10 22:54 22:48 23:11
1,324  Caroline Potts 11 23:16 23:19 23:43 23:19 22:59
1,405  Skylar Williams 9 23:26 23:29 23:06 23:44
1,427  Kate Crist 11 23:30 21:22 23:33
Sophie Rouch 10 24:01 23:52 24:33 24:19 23:50 23:56 24:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 98.5% 6.2 226 0.3 2.0 6.3 16.1 19.5 18.0 12.5 8.8 5.9 3.7 2.4 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 99.4% 3.4 125 2.5 11.7 45.6 24.8 10.2 3.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.6 87 4.8 51.2 27.1 12.2 4.2 0.5 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.3 50 73.6 19.5 6.3 0.5 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madeline Keller 100% 4.4 1.4 9.7 17.1 16.8 14.1 10.7 7.7 5.8 4.0 2.9 2.5 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Zoe Simmons 99.7% 13.6 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.9 4.4 4.9 5.1 5.7 5.6 5.7 5.3 5.1 4.7 4.8 4.1 3.8 3.6 3.1 3.0 2.6 2.1 2.2 2.1 1.6 82.4% 99.2%
Kendall Martin 98.5% 77.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0% 13.0%
Audrey Sloan 98.5% 111.7 0.0% 0.6%
Kelly Gardner 98.5% 126.8 0.0% 0.1%
Maggie Smith 98.5% 198.5 0.0% 0.0%
Bella Stonitsch 98.5% 199.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madeline Keller 100% 1.1 47.4 22.7 12.1 7.5 4.6 2.5 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Zoe Simmons 100% 5.9 0.7 6.1 9.7 11.2 12.0 11.8 10.3 8.4 7.3 5.7 4.1 3.3 2.4 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Kendall Martin 99.5% 35.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.3 14.0% 88.8%
Audrey Sloan 99.4% 54.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.8% 41.8%
Kelly Gardner 99.4% 62.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 20.9%
Maggie Smith 99.4% 136.6 0.0% 0.0%
Bella Stonitsch 99.4% 142.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madeline Keller 100% 1.0 57.1 27.0 11.3 3.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Zoe Simmons 100% 3.6 1.3 11.2 21.6 26.3 17.4 8.9 5.0 2.9 1.7 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kendall Martin 100% 21.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.7 3.2 3.4 3.8 4.3 4.3 5.8 5.8 6.3 5.9 6.1 5.6 5.7 100.0%
Audrey Sloan 100% 32.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.7 3.0 100.0%
Kelly Gardner 100% 37.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 100.0%
Maggie Smith 100% 72.9 67.4%
Bella Stonitsch 100% 75.2 54.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madeline Keller 1.0 57.7 28.7 11.6 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Zoe Simmons 3.2 1.6 12.8 28.1 41.8 10.0 3.7 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
Kendall Martin 9.7 0.1 1.6 3.8 6.6 10.6 15.4 18.1 14.9 10.7 6.9 4.3 2.7 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Audrey Sloan 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 3.4 6.2 9.0 10.6 10.5 10.2 9.8 8.3 7.5 5.9 4.9 3.5 2.9 1.9 1.5 0.9
Kelly Gardner 17.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 2.7 4.5 6.5 8.0 9.1 9.3 9.0 8.6 8.2 6.9 6.3 4.6 3.6 3.0
Maggie Smith 39.5
Bella Stonitsch 41.4