Carmel
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #3
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #2
Noblesville Regional Rank: #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 19.6%
Top 5 at State Finals 94.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Hamilton County Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 9/3 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 155 181 95 167 177 143 252 179 354 188 169 174
Team Adjusted Rating 167 95 145 150 117 150 159 155 165 154 174
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Hamilton County Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
28  Jasmine Klopstad 9 19:01 19:19 18:59 18:56 19:07 18:31 19:12 19:03 19:02
38  Phoebe Bates 12 19:11 17:53 18:17 19:17 19:28
47  Brooke Waldal 11 19:18 19:27 18:56 18:58 19:12 18:51 20:19 19:15 19:26 19:31
50  Brooklynn Edwards 11 19:19 20:33 19:32 19:09 19:17 19:41 19:12 19:27 19:27 19:10 19:14
60  Alivia Romaniuk 10 19:24 19:17 19:33 19:29 19:15 19:05 19:23 19:24 19:32 19:28 19:29
73  Jamie Klavon 10 19:29 18:56 19:32 19:07 19:31 19:36 19:51 19:06 19:47 19:17 19:39
98  Annie Christie 11 19:41 19:53 19:40 19:52 19:10 19:23 20:25
115  Roni Ledezma 11 19:54 19:51 19:54 19:20 19:32 20:02 19:43 20:19 20:08
134  Emily Hand 12 20:01 20:23 18:50 20:16 20:02 20:02 20:01 20:04 19:58 20:23
189  Lilian Rose 10 20:15 20:34 23:07 20:28 20:15 19:48 20:04 20:20 20:14 20:13
212  Lily McAndrews 12 20:22 19:47 20:23 20:03 20:00 21:16
216  Abby Parker 11 20:23 19:16 20:39 20:16 20:16
249  Halle Welch 12 20:31 20:15 20:19 20:36 20:28 20:19 20:37 20:27 20:49
251  Madalyn Sailors 12 20:31 20:52 20:34 20:26 20:43 20:21 20:21 20:36
331  Elle Nichol 12 20:50 20:28 21:41 21:12 20:48 20:47 20:33 20:41
360  Sydney Haines 12 20:55 19:54 21:15 21:17 20:54 21:37 20:29 20:39
373  Evelyn Taller 10 20:57 21:19 21:08 21:05 21:00 21:00 21:00 20:52 20:49
403  Kierstyn Guerrant 12 21:04 20:49 21:08 20:42 21:00 21:23
439  Martha Hunter 12 21:11 20:52 21:20 21:13 20:33 21:42
452  Marianne Cadio 10 21:12 21:01 21:02 21:27 21:23 21:05
499  Savannah Hill 11 21:22 22:33 21:59 20:49 21:29 21:39 21:55 21:04 21:06
530  Evelyn Gordon 9 21:30 21:27 21:15 21:09 22:11 21:57 21:18
575  Mahalet Zeruesenay 11 21:37 21:44 21:49 21:33 21:30 21:58 21:21 21:42 21:39
598  Julia Fisher 10 21:41 21:34 21:33 21:41 21:47 21:49
613  Olivia McKee 10 21:42 21:26 20:58 21:22 21:29 23:28 21:23 22:46 21:35
628  Christina McCollum 9 21:44 21:46 22:08 21:08 22:24 22:30 21:08 21:33
663  Grace Barney 11 21:50 22:38 21:56 21:38 21:39 22:07 23:40 21:44 21:23
678  Tori Manlick 10 21:53 20:27 21:09 21:30 23:30
720  Ellie Marsella 10 21:58 21:54 22:06 21:46 22:10
816  Ria Patel 12 22:11 22:49 22:17 21:55 22:16 22:14 22:26 22:34 21:43
837  Kaitlin Langland 9 22:13 21:41 22:51 22:14 22:36 23:01 21:44 21:54
870  Laura Martens 9 22:17 22:05 22:30 22:21 22:30 22:27 22:11 22:09
892  Paige Ohrvall 12 22:20 23:01 22:43 22:17 22:09 21:55 22:56 21:45 22:50
934  Sophia Turner 10 22:25 23:00 22:05 22:10 22:17 22:38 22:30 22:28 22:40
1,004  Kayla Nelsen 12 22:35 23:42 23:16 22:41 22:27 22:49 22:43 22:28 22:12
1,062  Olivia Kinney 9 22:42 22:28 22:26 22:45 22:29 22:38 22:48 23:28
1,073  Meera Murthy 12 22:43 22:37 22:43 22:53 23:40 22:26 22:31
1,088  Olivia Lafferty 11 22:44 23:17 22:41 22:36 22:46 22:53 22:47 22:32
1,101  Yael Kiser 11 22:46 23:23 22:51 22:41 23:21 22:41 22:51 22:33
1,139  Sophia Hudak 9 22:51 22:55 22:55 22:19 23:53 24:07 21:44 22:45
1,201  Averi Weninger 9 22:59 22:22 23:52 22:37 22:42 23:14 23:26 22:52
1,220  Ella Ohrvall 10 23:02 21:23 23:11 22:44 22:29 23:44 23:07
1,281  Audrey Schuster 10 23:10 23:03 23:01 22:57 23:28 25:00 22:29
1,308  Savannah Paulson 9 23:13 22:39 23:09 22:50 23:56 23:22 23:31 23:04
1,356  Isabel Meyers 10 23:19 22:12 22:45 24:05 23:09 23:12 23:26 22:56 23:57
1,373  Lissa Heber 11 23:21 23:35 23:39 23:44 22:45
1,408  Emily Slade 10 23:27 23:24 22:54 23:05 23:37 23:36 23:55
1,423  Lauryn Forster 11 23:29 23:40 23:41 23:43 23:37 23:08 23:22 23:34
1,425  Darshini Shankar 9 23:29 23:57 23:39 23:40 23:20 23:14
Audrey Kaul 12 23:37 22:33 23:30 23:38 23:39 23:40 23:35 23:47
Grace Miller 10 23:43
Sadee Paulson 9 23:52 23:41 24:12 24:26 24:26 24:28 23:12 23:16
Emma Cappella 11 24:02 23:49 24:53 23:59 24:22 24:11 23:49 23:38
Piper Elling 9 24:10 22:06 25:11
Abby Kaufman 12 24:15 23:24 24:52 24:23 24:36 23:21
Haley Slosman 11 24:16 23:29 23:53 23:44 24:01 24:47 24:23 25:56
Meredith Steever 11 24:32 25:23 23:42 24:03 26:22 23:54 24:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100.0% 2.7 141 19.6 32.4 25.0 11.9 5.6 3.0 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100.0% 1.6 81 52.1 36.2 8.4 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.1 51 88.8 8.3 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.1 29 94.0 5.9 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Klopstad 100.0% 30.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.1 2.8 2.4 2.8 2.9 2.7 2.8 2.7 0.0% 87.7%
Phoebe Bates 100.0% 41.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.6 0.0% 68.7%
Brooke Waldal 100.0% 50.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.0% 53.6%
Brooklynn Edwards 100.0% 51.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.0% 50.6%
Alivia Romaniuk 100.0% 59.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.0% 39.7%
Jamie Klavon 100.0% 66.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0% 27.1%
Annie Christie 100.0% 82.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 10.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Klopstad 100.0% 12.4 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.3 3.4 4.3 5.8 6.3 7.1 7.8 7.3 7.2 6.4 5.9 5.2 4.6 3.6 3.6 3.0 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.3 1.3 0.0% 99.9%
Phoebe Bates 100% 17.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.7 3.4 4.2 4.5 5.2 5.5 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.4 4.9 4.6 4.1 4.2 3.5 3.2 3.1 100.0% 99.7%
Brooke Waldal 100.0% 21.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.3 3.2 3.8 4.1 4.5 4.6 4.6 5.0 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.3 4.0 3.9 0.0% 99.1%
Brooklynn Edwards 100.0% 22.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.5 2.8 3.4 4.2 3.9 4.2 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.2 3.9 0.0% 98.8%
Alivia Romaniuk 100.0% 25.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.1 2.8 3.0 3.6 3.2 3.5 4.1 4.2 4.2 3.9 4.3 3.9 0.0% 97.7%
Jamie Klavon 100.0% 29.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.0 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.6 3.4 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.9 0.0% 95.5%
Annie Christie 100.0% 38.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.8 0.0% 84.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 6.9 0.2 0.9 2.9 6.6 11.5 15.5 14.2 11.5 8.8 6.8 5.5 4.1 3.2 2.3 2.1 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Phoebe Bates 100% 10.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.6 6.6 8.9 8.8 9.8 9.3 8.2 7.3 6.7 6.0 4.8 3.8 3.6 2.9 2.1 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Brooke Waldal 100% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.7 4.1 5.2 6.5 7.6 8.1 7.7 7.9 6.8 6.7 6.2 5.3 4.7 4.3 3.3 2.4 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.1 100.0%
Brooklynn Edwards 100% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.2 3.8 5.0 6.5 6.8 6.9 7.3 7.5 7.2 6.8 6.3 6.2 5.1 4.2 3.3 3.4 2.3 1.9 1.5 1.2 100.0%
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.7 3.7 4.8 5.5 6.1 6.7 6.8 6.9 7.0 6.8 6.3 5.6 5.2 4.1 3.8 3.0 2.7 2.2 100.0%
Jamie Klavon 100% 17.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.4 3.5 3.9 4.8 5.5 6.4 6.2 6.8 6.9 6.6 6.5 5.7 5.4 4.8 4.1 3.4 100.0%
Annie Christie 100% 22.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.3 2.1 2.7 3.4 3.9 4.7 5.2 5.9 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.1 5.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Klopstad 2.1 17.2 30.8 20.5 12.1 7.7 4.8 2.9 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Phoebe Bates 4.2 3.9 10.8 16.3 16.2 14.1 10.7 8.3 6.2 4.9 2.9 2.3 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Brooke Waldal 6.1 1.1 4.1 8.3 10.8 12.8 12.4 11.3 9.9 8.4 6.5 4.6 3.2 2.5 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Brooklynn Edwards 6.3 0.9 3.4 8.2 9.9 11.6 12.4 11.5 9.5 9.0 7.0 5.7 3.5 2.7 2.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alivia Romaniuk 7.7 0.3 1.7 3.6 6.1 8.1 10.0 11.5 11.8 10.1 9.5 7.1 6.2 4.7 3.5 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Jamie Klavon 9.5 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.9 4.3 6.4 7.9 10.4 10.8 11.1 10.1 8.9 7.2 5.9 5.0 3.1 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
Annie Christie 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.3 3.8 5.8 8.6 9.9 10.7 10.6 10.1 10.0 9.5 5.8 3.8 2.6 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0