Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #28
New Prairie Semi-State Rank: #4
New Prairie Regional Rank: #2
New Prairie Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 21st place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 61.4%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 399 463 526 363 400 740 383 420 508 440
Team Adjusted Rating 463 417 363 400 411 383 397 387 428
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
34  Bailey Ranta 10 19:09 18:32 18:54 18:48 18:46 19:03 19:09 19:34 19:57
160  Ashley Craycraft 12 20:09 20:39 21:46 21:06 20:23 21:06 20:05 19:53 20:31 19:54
259  Bri Gentry 10 20:35 21:16 21:01 20:17 20:24 20:20 20:36 20:43 20:28 20:56
384  Kayla Kirchner 12 20:59 22:15 21:21 20:59 20:51 20:57
393  Libby Boster 12 21:00 22:07 21:24 21:30 21:15 21:13 21:13 20:58 20:39 21:24
395  Peyton Westphal 12 21:01 22:05 21:05 20:40 20:40 20:53 20:48 21:10 20:59 21:57
447  Ada Brandstetter 10 21:12 21:36 20:49 21:34
475  Kaitlynn Leady 12 21:17 22:30 21:39 21:27 21:10 21:13 21:02 21:13 21:37 21:10
481  Kaitlyn Van Kley 11 21:18 22:20 21:01 21:27 23:25 22:10 21:55 21:45 21:43 21:03
540  Frances Clancy 11 21:31 21:52 20:55 21:56 21:05 20:57 22:05 21:39 21:42
700  Liz Hibshman 10 21:56 23:51 21:57 22:12 21:49 21:47 21:42 22:24
731  Grace Carpenter 9 21:59 21:56 22:58 22:09 21:50 21:45 21:52
775  Nalani Malackowski 11 22:05 20:01 22:37 21:42
851  Catherine White 10 22:15 23:29 23:30 22:50 22:10 21:53 21:54 22:12
1,060  Addison Leady 10 22:41 24:22 23:09 22:20 22:42 22:34 22:51
1,142  Isabella Smith 10 22:51 22:51 22:57 22:56 22:57 23:05 22:34
1,159  Kendra Barbour 22:53 22:54
1,230  Mckenna Handley 10 23:03 24:00 23:22 23:11 23:53 23:13 22:39 22:36
1,289  Emma Brown 10 23:11 22:41 22:47 22:38 23:50 24:15
1,333  Alissa Capehart 10 23:17 23:23 23:22 23:15 22:50 23:44
1,353  Taylor Edwards 11 23:19 21:47 25:46 23:26 22:09
1,385  Kara Haynes 9 23:23 23:24 23:29 23:03 23:15 23:12 24:14
1,421  Morgan Hull 12 23:29 23:30 23:27 22:58 23:25 23:05 24:13 23:47
Jocelyn Mercier 10 23:39 22:35 23:57 23:32 23:46 23:51 23:28 23:34
Abri Rodriguez 10 23:48 24:02 23:38
Charlee Smithart 12 23:49 23:43 23:32 24:13
Coryn Rodriguez 10 23:49 23:20 23:53 23:46 23:56 23:57 23:50 23:45
Maddie Burns 9 25:01 25:49 26:10 23:30 24:18 24:44 26:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 61.4% 20.0 468 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.4 6.0 8.7 10.5 10.8 9.5 5.7 2.2
Semi-State 100% 5.8 191 0.3 2.5 14.9 14.7 14.5 14.6 13.8 12.3 11.2 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.5 76 1.6 50.2 47.9 0.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.5 72 1.9 50.9 47.2 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 99.1% 38.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.9 1.9 2.1 97.7% 98.9%
Ashley Craycraft 61.6% 114.0 0.5% 6.7%
Bri Gentry 61.4% 147.8 0.0% 0.1%
Libby Boster 61.4% 174.3 0.0% 0.0%
Peyton Westphal 61.4% 174.8 0.0% 0.0%
Ada Brandstetter 61.4% 183.6 0.0% 0.0%
Kaitlynn Leady 61.4% 186.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 100% 5.8 0.4 6.6 10.1 11.9 12.1 10.8 9.4 8.3 7.2 5.8 4.5 3.7 2.5 2.0 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Ashley Craycraft 100% 30.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.4 3.2 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.9 100.0%
Bri Gentry 100% 48.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 98.0%
Libby Boster 100% 75.4 0.0 72.5%
Peyton Westphal 100% 75.4 71.8%
Ada Brandstetter 100% 87.9 49.0%
Kaitlynn Leady 100% 93.9 37.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 100% 2.3 10.2 24.6 48.9 11.0 3.3 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Ashley Craycraft 100% 11.2 0.0 1.0 2.9 4.3 5.7 7.1 8.5 9.4 9.4 9.6 8.7 8.2 7.4 6.2 4.4 3.0 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Bri Gentry 100% 18.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.8 2.5 3.5 5.0 5.9 7.6 9.4 10.2 10.6 9.3 7.7 6.2 4.9 3.7 2.6 100.0%
Libby Boster 100% 26.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.4 3.4 4.6 6.1 6.5 6.7 6.7 100.0%
Peyton Westphal 100% 26.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.5 3.6 4.6 5.6 6.3 6.6 6.5 100.0%
Ada Brandstetter 100% 31.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.0 2.7 3.0 4.1 100.0%
Kaitlynn Leady 100% 33.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.1 2.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 2.3 11.1 26.1 46.9 10.9 3.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
Ashley Craycraft 10.1 0.0 1.3 3.1 5.4 7.2 9.5 11.4 11.5 11.6 11.3 9.8 7.6 5.1 2.9 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bri Gentry 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.9 2.1 2.9 5.0 6.7 9.6 12.8 15.0 13.6 11.6 7.6 4.4 3.2 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.3
Libby Boster 21.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.5 4.3 7.1 9.5 10.9 11.2 10.4 9.9 9.1 7.4
Peyton Westphal 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 2.7 4.5 6.8 9.4 10.8 10.2 10.4 9.4 8.7 7.1
Ada Brandstetter 24.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.0 3.5 4.9 6.4 7.8 10.0 10.3 10.0
Kaitlynn Leady 25.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.0 2.9 3.9 6.0 7.2 8.5 9.7