F.J. Reitz
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #129
Brown County Semi-State Rank: #27
Pike Central Regional Rank: #9
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Dennis Bays Warrior Invite THSB State Preview Heritage Hills Invitational Crawford County Invitational Lincoln Trails Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conf. Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 1,080 1,047 1,164 1,035 907 1,048 1,097 1,166
Team Adjusted Rating 1,047 1,164 1,035 907 1,048 1,097 1,166
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Dennis Bays Warrior Invite THSB State Preview Heritage Hills Invitational Crawford County Invitational Lincoln Trails Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conf. Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
525  Mackenzie Groben 12 21:29 20:56 21:23 21:23 20:49 20:18 21:41 21:50 21:57 22:01
828  Taylor Vogt 9 22:12 22:20 22:53 22:51 22:56 22:00 22:16 22:29 21:49 22:56
1,262  Mei Yanagisawa 11 23:07 25:24 23:14 23:00 23:23 23:13 22:31 22:37 23:03 24:02
1,376  Hannah Bryan 12 23:22 23:52 24:08 22:54 22:45 23:20 23:21 23:31
Mallory Sibbitt 9 23:39 22:51 23:51 23:35 23:30 23:18 23:24 24:19 23:56
Taylor Willett 9 23:41 24:31 23:12
Adison Fuller 9 23:55 25:47 24:58 25:19 23:45 23:23
Grace Paul 12 24:36 26:34 25:03 25:30 24:46 24:12 24:29 24:21
Ella Talley 11 25:14 26:41 24:36 25:08 25:28 25:30
Eva Kremer 9 26:02 25:50 26:01 24:51 27:49




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.5% 19.7 451 0.0 0.1 0.4
Regionals 100% 8.2 168 0.5 2.8 12.8 42.9 40.9 0.2
Sectionals 100% 3.9 93 9.9 90.0 0.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mackenzie Groben 99.7% 81.5 99.7% 99.7%
Taylor Vogt 52.0% 113.0 51.8% 52.0%
Mei Yanagisawa 0.5% 141.2 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Bryan 0.5% 147.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mackenzie Groben 100% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.6 5.6 7.8 11.5 18.9 18.8 12.1 7.3 4.2 2.8 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 100.0%
Taylor Vogt 100% 26.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.6 4.4 5.1 6.3 5.7 6.3 6.7 100.0%
Mei Yanagisawa 100% 48.4 0.0 100.0%
Hannah Bryan 100% 52.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mackenzie Groben 8.2 0.2 0.5 1.3 4.4 11.9 27.2 27.9 17.1 7.5 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Taylor Vogt 12.4 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.4 11.9 24.5 19.9 13.7 9.3 6.5 4.0 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.1
Mei Yanagisawa 21.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.6 4.2 6.5 11.1 16.0 16.8 15.6 15.4 7.2
Hannah Bryan 23.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.8 3.2 6.0 9.7 14.8 18.3 28.4