Fremont
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #159
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #47
West Noble Regional Rank: #15
West Noble Sectional Rank #15
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 14.4%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Jeremy Wright Invitational Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19
Team Rating 1,225 1,166 1,252 1,318 1,305
Team Adjusted Rating 1,166 1,252 1,318 1,305
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jeremy Wright Invitational Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional
477  Grace Schmucker 12 21:17 21:07 21:47 21:01 21:06 21:29 20:59 21:13 21:46
929  Natalie Gochenour 9 22:24 22:13 23:10 23:39 22:43 22:50 21:55 22:52
Katie Berlew 11 23:33 25:01 22:15 23:10 23:36 23:35 25:06
Makayla Gumbel 9 23:48 24:35 24:06 24:54 24:34 24:18 23:16 24:09
Autumn Chilenski 10 26:21 24:28 25:22 26:28 27:23 26:07




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 14.4% 10.0 263 0.1 14.3
Sectionals 100% 6.2 151 14.4 51.1 34.4 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Grace Schmucker 2.7% 93.0 2.7% 2.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Grace Schmucker 100% 45.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Natalie Gochenour 100% 62.1 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Grace Schmucker 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.3 72.3 15.4 4.9 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Natalie Gochenour 18.9 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.6 3.5 4.2 4.6 6.3 7.8 8.8 10.0 10.8 9.4 7.7 6.5 4.8 3.5