Gibson Southern
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #123
Brown County Semi-State Rank: #25
Pike Central Regional Rank: #7
South Knox Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 18.1%
Advance to Regional 99.8%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Alan Hopewell Classic Heritage Hills Invitational South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/18 8/31 9/5 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 1,032 1,035 1,076 1,076 1,058 977 1,017 1,057
Team Adjusted Rating 1,035 1,076 NEI 1,065 1,058 977 1,017 1,057
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Alan Hopewell Classic Heritage Hills Invitational South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
682  Ashley Evetts 11 21:53 21:59 22:02 22:00 21:49 22:08 21:58 21:55 21:42 21:42 22:03
819  Olivia Pennington 10 22:11 22:18 21:50 22:21 NEI 22:11 21:38 22:09 22:13 22:41 22:26
848  Taylor Hart 10 22:14 22:19 22:22 21:56 22:32 22:59 21:35 21:48 22:44
976  Raegan Heldt 11 22:30 22:55 22:53 22:53 22:25 23:04 22:17 22:17 22:20 22:30
Clara Pohl 12 24:22 24:56 24:26 24:23 24:28 24:29 24:04
Helen Kiesel 10 24:38 23:58 25:19 24:42 24:10 24:37 25:19 24:32
Keelyn Wilkerson 9 24:49 24:12 25:18 24:27 24:07 25:09 25:47
Blair Rexing 11 25:57 30:57 25:00 24:59 25:50 27:38




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 18.1% 19.3 440 0.1 0.7 1.8 6.2 9.3
Regionals 99.8% 6.7 151 0.1 18.1 24.8 32.2 16.6 8.0 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.8 96 0.0 37.5 45.2 17.1 0.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashley Evetts 90.5% 100.6 88.4% 90.2%
Olivia Pennington 57.4% 112.9 47.9% 54.3%
Taylor Hart 47.6% 115.3 36.0% 43.5%
Raegan Heldt 23.3% 125.7 6.4% 11.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashley Evetts 100% 20.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 3.3 7.0 10.6 12.8 11.6 10.3 8.5 7.5 5.7 4.6 100.0% 100.0%
Olivia Pennington 100% 25.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.9 3.1 4.8 5.7 6.2 6.9 6.8 7.0 100.0% 100.0%
Taylor Hart 100% 27.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.0 4.6 4.8 5.6 6.2 6.2 100.0% 100.0%
Raegan Heldt 100% 34.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.2 1.8 2.2 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashley Evetts 9.7 0.6 1.2 3.4 32.8 17.5 12.4 9.5 7.2 5.0 3.5 2.3 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Olivia Pennington 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.9 8.6 9.2 9.8 10.6 9.5 9.3 8.0 7.5 6.4 5.2 4.0 2.7 2.2 1.3 0.9 0.5
Taylor Hart 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.6 7.6 7.9 8.7 9.5 9.0 8.4 8.2 7.2 6.2 5.5 4.6 3.0 2.0 1.4 0.8
Raegan Heldt 19.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 2.1 2.9 3.7 5.0 6.4 7.6 7.7 8.4 9.0 9.8 9.4 8.6 6.6 4.7