Goshen
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #91
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #26
Elkhart Central Regional Rank: #7
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 27.2%
Advance to Regional 80.6%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Penn Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 837 885 1,058 834 745 851 894 860
Team Adjusted Rating 885 901 834 745 851 894 860
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Penn Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic NIC / NLC Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
297  Sophia Yordy 10 20:42 20:48 20:46 20:41 20:16 20:06 21:45 21:42 20:27 20:32
480  Nataly Esqueda 10 21:18 21:53 22:05 21:09 21:08 21:09 21:41 21:09 21:05
759  Sophia Koshmider 11 22:03 23:39 21:58 22:02 21:41 21:54 21:55 22:08 21:58 23:06
906  Celeste Arroyo 12 22:21 22:27 23:39 23:15 22:49 22:05 22:28 22:14 21:59
1,368  Kassidy Bestul 11 23:20 22:10 23:29 23:54 24:11 22:49 22:30 23:06 24:00
Julie Walton Clark 12 23:48 24:40 24:25 24:41 23:44 25:09 23:24
Lauren Kauffman 10 23:52 23:40 23:54 23:53
Morgan Chupp 12 24:06 24:47 24:43 24:25 23:28 23:57 24:29 23:45 24:17
Lindsey Daniels 10 24:33 24:53 24:29 24:54 24:16
Flor Rangel 11 24:47 26:21 24:06
Mara Schrock 9 24:56 23:27 24:15 25:29 25:01 25:50
Yessie Castillo 12 25:02 25:19 24:38 25:26 25:06 24:53




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 27.2% 18.5 448 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 3.1 4.9 7.8 8.4
Regionals 80.6% 6.0 160 1.5 6.9 18.7 23.1 23.4 6.9
Sectionals 100% 4.3 126 6.1 25.5 24.9 24.0 13.6 5.4 0.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sophia Yordy 99.9% 74.7 99.9% 99.9%
Nataly Esqueda 87.2% 106.8 82.4% 87.0%
Sophia Koshmider 28.0% 132.2 1.1% 4.6%
Celeste Arroyo 27.2% 142.4 0.0% 0.3%
Kassidy Bestul 27.2% 156.8 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sophia Yordy 100% 14.3 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.4 3.9 4.7 5.8 7.6 9.2 10.1 10.7 9.7 8.8 7.7 5.8 4.2 2.3 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.4 100.0% 100.0%
Nataly Esqueda 100% 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.7 5.0 6.1 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.1 6.2 100.0% 100.0%
Sophia Koshmider 95.3% 43.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 75.6% 91.4%
Celeste Arroyo 84.9% 51.6 22.2% 59.0%
Kassidy Bestul 80.6% 66.8 0.0% 0.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sophia Yordy 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 4.7 8.4 11.9 17.6 24.2 15.9 7.3 3.5 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Nataly Esqueda 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.8 6.2 10.3 12.2 12.7 11.6 10.7 10.3 7.4 5.8 3.9 2.9 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.3
Sophia Koshmider 25.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.3 3.9 5.3 7.0 8.2 8.9 9.8
Celeste Arroyo 30.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.9 2.6 3.6
Kassidy Bestul 44.1