Harrison (WL)
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #29
New Prairie Semi-State Rank: #5
Harrison (WL) Regional Rank: #2
Harrison (WL) Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 23rd place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 71.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Crown Point Invitational Harrison 8-Way Maverick Stampede Harrison (WL) Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Harrison (WL) Sectional Benton Central Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 8/27 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 399 503 456 778 503 379 423 527 463 388 390
Team Adjusted Rating 384 456 582 461 379 423 429 463 388 390
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Crown Point Invitational Harrison 8-Way Maverick Stampede Harrison (WL) Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Harrison (WL) Sectional Benton Central Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
144  Caitlin Williams 10 20:03 20:32 20:51 19:51 20:34 20:26 19:49 20:09
157  Mackie McCartney 11 20:08 20:46 20:08 20:28 21:10 19:47 20:07 19:58 20:36 20:14 20:14 19:59
218  Emma Beimfohr 10 20:23 21:04 20:00 20:33 21:37 20:42 20:06 20:37 20:24 20:38 20:20 20:15
295  Jaylie Lohmeyer 10 20:42 21:54 22:27 22:06 21:09 20:50 20:52 21:13 20:27 20:51
341  Adina Miller 12 20:52 20:59 20:23 20:41 21:00 22:37 20:43
431  Nicole Nagel 12 21:09 21:08 20:57 20:53 21:39 21:04 21:03 20:50 21:06 21:02 23:36
694  Dana Frohberg 9 21:55 22:10 22:11 21:58 21:35 22:03
698  Alex Kerkhove 10 21:56 22:12 21:12 21:22 22:20 21:33 22:29 22:09 22:06
770  Abby Screen 12 22:04 22:14 22:22 21:38 22:01 21:51 21:32 21:52 21:50 22:25 22:22 22:54
774  Alicia Zeh 12 22:05 21:57 21:37 21:51 22:20 22:00 21:47 22:24 22:20
1,181  Erin Beimfohr 10 22:55 23:13 22:41 23:03 23:01 22:58
1,315  Natalie Casas 9 23:15 23:49 23:25 22:56 23:07 23:22
1,335  Lexi Flynn 11 23:17 23:10 23:16 23:08 23:44
1,415  Hunter Bender 9 23:28 23:25 23:25 23:29 23:37
Elliott Lareau 11 23:39 23:21 23:23 23:56




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 71.0% 20.7 486 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 2.2 3.3 5.2 7.1 8.6 10.2 11.8 12.1 7.8
Semi-State 100% 5.3 183 0.5 3.6 18.8 18.3 16.1 13.7 12.2 9.8 6.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.0 48 2.7 96.9 0.5
Sectionals 100% 2.0 39 3.2 96.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caitlin Williams 71.4% 107.9 1.4% 11.3%
Mackie McCartney 71.1% 113.4 0.5% 6.8%
Emma Beimfohr 71.0% 134.6 0.0% 1.0%
Jaylie Lohmeyer 71.0% 157.5 0.0% 0.0%
Adina Miller 71.0% 167.9 0.0% 0.0%
Nicole Nagel 71.0% 182.4 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Kerkhove 71.0% 198.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caitlin Williams 100% 27.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.6 4.1 4.2 4.6 4.8 5.2 100.0%
Mackie McCartney 100% 29.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.5 2.3 2.8 3.3 2.9 3.6 3.9 4.6 100.0%
Emma Beimfohr 100% 39.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.3 100.0%
Jaylie Lohmeyer 100% 54.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Adina Miller 100% 65.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Nicole Nagel 100% 85.2 100.0%
Alex Kerkhove 100% 126.6 98.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caitlin Williams 100% 5.6 0.2 1.1 2.7 7.6 22.4 26.2 19.7 11.2 5.2 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Mackie McCartney 100% 6.2 0.1 0.5 1.6 4.5 15.3 23.7 22.7 15.7 8.5 3.8 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Emma Beimfohr 100% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 5.6 11.5 19.1 21.6 15.0 9.4 6.1 3.9 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jaylie Lohmeyer 100% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.1 7.8 11.8 13.5 12.8 11.7 9.8 8.5 6.3 4.5 3.5 2.4 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Adina Miller 100% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.3 4.4 7.2 9.1 10.2 11.3 10.8 10.2 8.5 7.4 5.9 4.4 2.7 2.2 1.3 0.8 0.3 100.0%
Nicole Nagel 100% 19.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.6 3.6 4.9 7.2 8.7 9.6 10.5 10.9 9.3 8.0 6.9 5.7 4.5 100.0%
Alex Kerkhove 100% 29.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.6 3.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caitlin Williams 4.0 0.8 2.7 9.7 35.6 27.6 14.1 5.9 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mackie McCartney 4.6 0.3 1.4 6.2 24.7 31.1 20.1 9.2 4.0 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Emma Beimfohr 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.4 9.6 22.6 24.4 16.5 9.7 6.4 3.5 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1
Jaylie Lohmeyer 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.8 7.8 13.6 15.1 14.5 13.5 12.0 8.8 6.2 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.1
Adina Miller 11.7 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.9 8.7 11.2 12.6 14.0 14.7 13.1 10.2 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
Nicole Nagel 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 3.8 5.6 9.8 12.9 18.4 21.3 14.2 7.7 2.8 0.3 0.0
Alex Kerkhove 19.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.9 7.5 17.9 37.6 15.9 8.3 5.2 2.8 1.0