McCutcheon
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #86
New Prairie Semi-State Rank: #21
Harrison (WL) Regional Rank: #5
Harrison (WL) Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 19th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 99.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Fountain Central Grand Prix Maverick Stampede Harrison (WL) Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Harrison (WL) Sectional Benton Central Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 818 850 779 782 820 829 868 794 830
Team Adjusted Rating 790 769 782 788 829 860 781 817
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Fountain Central Grand Prix Maverick Stampede Harrison (WL) Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Harrison (WL) Sectional Benton Central Regional New Prairie Semi-State
354  Ella Kanaby 11 20:54 21:37 20:39 20:54 21:02 20:55 20:53 21:35 20:37 20:47
565  Grace Auckley 12 21:35 22:03 21:39 21:26 21:06 21:30 21:36 21:51 21:22 21:59
854  Kalin Moore 9 22:15 22:19 22:19 22:10 22:08 22:24 22:20 22:17 22:08
882  Olivia Carithers 10 22:18 22:06 22:35 22:58 22:45 21:56 22:08 22:06
932  Samantha Wood 9 22:24 22:33 22:48 21:59
956  Caroline Hanback 11 22:27 21:06 23:18 21:39 21:58 21:58 22:50 22:33 22:37 22:37
1,136  Jordan Wilken 11 22:51 24:07 22:00 22:29 22:36 22:57 23:03 23:06 23:06
1,274  Olivia Smith 11 23:08 23:46 23:02 22:39 23:48
1,363  Mariana French 9 23:20 23:34 23:11 23:17 23:11 23:32
Abigail Fitzmorris 9 23:31 23:21 23:20 23:09 23:29 23:32 23:44 23:58
Madison Gasaway 12 24:03 22:35 23:53 23:26 24:41 24:15
Ashlyn Cheesman 11 24:08 24:21 23:58 24:18 24:09 24:10
Hannah Zubay 11 24:08 24:24 26:38 27:01 26:31 26:06 23:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 99.9% 18.8 467 0.1 0.5 2.7 10.0 22.3 33.7 30.6
Regionals 100% 5.0 133 0.1 1.6 98.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.0 99 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ella Kanaby 100% 68.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Grace Auckley 100% 111.0 100.0% 100.0%
Kalin Moore 99.9% 141.7 22.2% 88.5%
Olivia Carithers 99.9% 144.3 22.2% 83.6%
Caroline Hanback 99.9% 149.6 0.0% 69.6%
Jordan Wilken 99.9% 160.0 0.0% 22.4%
Mariana French 99.9% 167.2 0.0% 1.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ella Kanaby 100% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.4 4.4 5.6 7.1 8.4 8.8 9.4 9.7 9.2 8.4 7.1 5.6 4.1 2.9 2.1 1.4 0.7 100.0%
Grace Auckley 100% 25.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.3 3.0 5.1 6.4 8.4 9.6 11.2 100.0%
Kalin Moore 100% 33.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 100.0%
Olivia Carithers 100% 33.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Caroline Hanback 100% 35.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jordan Wilken 100% 40.9 100.0%
Mariana French 100% 49.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ella Kanaby 12.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.8 4.5 6.8 8.8 10.9 12.3 12.5 13.2 11.9 9.5 3.9 1.1 0.1 0.0
Grace Auckley 17.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.6 7.2 16.4 25.2 28.7 13.5 2.5 0.3 0.0
Kalin Moore 21.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 10.6 23.0 25.0 20.1 11.6 5.2
Olivia Carithers 22.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.3 6.8 17.5 23.5 23.4 16.5 7.4
Caroline Hanback 23.2 0.1 0.3 2.5 7.3 13.2 20.4 27.1 17.6
Jordan Wilken 25.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.8 6.1 17.2
Mariana French 30.3 0.0 0.5