Norwell
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #37
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #9
Marion Regional Rank: #1
Bellmont Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.5%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Norwell Invitational Huntington North Invitational Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational New Haven Classic NE8 Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 454 617 679 475 590 446 516 478 479 505 474 437
Team Adjusted Rating 453 488 475 590 446 473 478 479 489 474 437
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Norwell Invitational Huntington North Invitational Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational New Haven Classic NE8 Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
32  Sarah Mahnensmith 11 19:07 19:44 18:36 18:33 18:51 18:57 19:12 18:54 19:01 19:26 19:17 19:51 19:11 19:15
69  Sydney Lambert 12 19:28 18:51 19:29 18:43 19:03 19:46 19:35 19:42 20:06 19:18 19:23 19:26
110  Lauren Bales 11 19:50 20:10 20:07 20:07 19:51 21:32 19:59 20:20 19:56 19:55 19:47 19:57 19:35
647  Addison Dirig 11 21:48 23:00 21:33 21:59 22:02 22:06 21:50 21:40 21:39 21:26 21:53 21:52 21:57
786  Kiley Crow 11 22:07 22:33 22:33 22:31 23:02 22:02 22:32 22:29 21:53 21:51
1,044  Maeli Cassel 10 22:39 22:44 23:11 25:13 24:34 22:59 22:49 22:42 22:32 22:22 23:24 22:23
1,410  Paige Cox 11 23:28 24:00 22:22 23:00 23:18 23:29 23:35 23:56 22:57 23:37 23:22 23:36 24:17
1,417  Maddy Reinhard 9 23:28 23:00 23:31 22:20 23:36 22:59 24:05 23:27 24:24
Allie Shepard 9 24:04 24:19 24:14 24:11 24:50 23:49 24:24 23:45 23:25 24:10




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.5% 15.5 381 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 8.8 258 0.0 0.5 3.9 21.1 59.5 14.6 0.4 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.6 65 43.6 55.3 1.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 46 98.8 1.1 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Mahnensmith 97.2% 35.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.3 97.2% 97.2%
Sydney Lambert 62.9% 59.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 62.7% 62.9%
Lauren Bales 10.0% 78.4 0.0 9.5% 9.9%
Addison Dirig 0.5% 189.7 0.0% 0.0%
Kiley Crow 0.5% 193.7 0.0% 0.0%
Maeli Cassel 0.5% 200.7 0.0% 0.0%
Paige Cox 0.5% 204.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Mahnensmith 100% 13.4 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.7 2.7 3.9 4.2 5.0 5.7 6.7 7.8 7.6 7.9 7.7 7.0 6.7 5.1 4.2 3.4 3.1 2.1 2.0 1.3 0.8 100.0%
Sydney Lambert 100% 21.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.3 2.8 3.8 4.4 5.3 6.0 6.2 6.5 7.1 7.2 7.3 6.8 6.6 100.0%
Lauren Bales 100% 29.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.6 3.7 4.2 5.3 100.0%
Addison Dirig 100% 129.4 82.8%
Kiley Crow 100% 140.6 44.7%
Maeli Cassel 100% 151.5 2.6%
Paige Cox 100% 160.1 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Mahnensmith 100% 3.5 2.7 9.9 19.9 35.1 27.9 4.3 0.3 0.0 100.0%
Sydney Lambert 100% 5.3 0.1 0.3 1.6 6.2 23.5 58.8 8.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lauren Bales 100% 6.6 0.0 0.1 1.5 9.2 62.7 18.7 5.5 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Addison Dirig 100% 24.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.2 5.0 7.2 9.0 10.4 10.2 9.2 100.0%
Kiley Crow 100% 30.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.3 3.2 4.5 100.0%
Maeli Cassel 100% 40.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 94.5%
Paige Cox 100% 52.5 16.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Mahnensmith 1.7 20.6 44.2 30.6 4.4 0.2 0.0
Sydney Lambert 3.3 0.8 5.4 23.8 60.4 8.4 1.1 0.1
Lauren Bales 4.6 0.1 1.3 9.2 62.8 19.7 5.7 1.0 0.1 0.0
Addison Dirig 14.9 0.0 0.5 2.3 6.3 11.2 13.7 18.8 16.0 12.0 8.0 4.9 3.0 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
Kiley Crow 18.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.9 5.9 9.3 12.7 14.1 12.4 12.1 9.0 7.1 4.9 3.0 2.0
Maeli Cassel 25.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 3.0 4.5 6.5 8.6 9.4 9.7
Paige Cox 38.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1