St. Joseph's
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #100
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #30
Elkhart Central Regional Rank: #8
Riley Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 3.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Ox Bow Early Bird Invite NIC Stomp Northwood Invitational South Bend City Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/5 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19
Team Rating 879 925 904 868 912 933 897 946 870 882 845
Team Adjusted Rating 829 863 868 912 888 852 946 870 882 845
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Ox Bow Early Bird Invite NIC Stomp Northwood Invitational South Bend City Elkhart/St. Joe County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional
582  Alexis Kintzele 11 21:37 21:32 21:48 21:52 21:38 21:26 24:28 21:54 21:20 21:14 21:29
726  Ava Rousseve 9 21:59 23:10 22:25 22:25 22:03 21:41 21:52 22:16 21:59 21:36
808  Maeve Kearney 11 22:10 21:38 21:47 22:08 22:15 22:24 22:09 22:21 22:16
885  Libby Kearns 12 22:19 22:51 22:33 22:09 22:18 21:53 22:46 22:16 22:30 22:18
919  Katie Lavelle 10 22:23 21:49 22:16 22:59 22:02 22:30 23:42 21:42 22:36 22:17 22:26 22:13
1,046  Tess Collins 9 22:40 23:40 22:30 22:25 22:37 22:33 22:32 22:48 22:40 22:53
1,128  Maeve O'Shaugnessy 12 22:50 22:50 23:18 23:16 23:29 22:54 23:11 23:08 22:27
1,255  Margaret Hopkins 9 23:06 21:41 21:57 23:13 23:04 25:41
Ellen Lavelle 12 23:30 21:56 23:12 23:15 22:56 23:02 23:35 24:00 23:15 23:57 24:05
Grace Yuhas 10 23:32 22:37 23:19 23:26 24:02 23:08 24:35 23:17
Bridget Stockrahm 12 24:23 24:14 24:41 24:01 24:35 24:49 24:09
Olivia Miller 12 26:12 23:57 24:40 26:47




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 3.8% 19.5 477 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5
Regionals 100% 7.6 181 0.2 0.7 2.8 7.2 17.8 71.1 0.2
Sectionals 100% 3.0 100 3.4 96.5 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alexis Kintzele 47.5% 118.3 45.4% 47.1%
Ava Rousseve 9.1% 127.7 5.5% 6.8%
Maeve Kearney 4.7% 132.5 1.0% 1.4%
Libby Kearns 3.9% 137.8 0.2% 0.2%
Katie Lavelle 3.8% 140.5 0.0% 0.1%
Tess Collins 3.8% 148.0 0.0% 0.0%
Maeve O'Shaugnessy 3.8% 152.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alexis Kintzele 100% 32.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.6 3.2 100.0%
Ava Rousseve 100% 42.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Maeve Kearney 100% 47.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Libby Kearns 100% 51.5 100.0%
Katie Lavelle 100% 53.3 0.0 100.0%
Tess Collins 100% 59.5 100.0%
Maeve O'Shaugnessy 100% 62.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alexis Kintzele 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 5.5 7.1 7.5 8.5 9.5 10.0 11.0 11.1 11.3 9.3 4.4 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1
Ava Rousseve 18.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.3 3.0 4.6 7.0 9.6 14.8 19.3 13.6 9.4 4.9 3.4 2.1 1.3
Maeve Kearney 20.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.4 4.2 7.3 12.1 17.6 14.5 11.9 8.6 6.3 4.6
Libby Kearns 22.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.9 5.8 10.0 12.9 13.4 12.2 10.8 8.8
Katie Lavelle 23.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 3.7 6.6 10.2 12.4 12.5 11.6 10.4
Tess Collins 27.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.8 4.8 6.8 8.4
Maeve O'Shaugnessy 29.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.7 3.8