Warsaw
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #35
New Prairie Semi-State Rank: #9
Culver Academies Regional Rank: #1
Culver Academies Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 43.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC Culver Academies Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/27 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 428 411 374 739 445 390 417 486 450 455
Team Adjusted Rating 411 374 426 445 390 417 439 450 455
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC Culver Academies Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
95  Wini Barnett 10 19:40 18:53 20:00 19:34 19:55 19:23 19:17 19:55 19:23 20:22
150  Ava Knight 10 20:06 20:32 20:25 20:04 20:22 20:23 20:19 20:10 20:21 19:51
329  Adree Beckham 11 20:49 19:47 20:06 20:32 20:51 20:50 20:50 21:04 21:02
366  Erika Bugg 9 20:56 20:54 20:58 21:04 20:50 21:06 21:03 20:59 20:42
386  Amanda Lusinde 10 20:59 21:18 20:27 25:23 20:48 20:25 20:44 20:51 21:03 22:46
511  Regan Brouwer 10 21:25 22:31 22:21 22:52 23:15 22:38 21:10 21:20 21:37 21:09
518  Mikayla Mimnaugh 9 21:26 20:53 21:52 20:57 21:06 21:55 22:24 21:07
553  Macelyn Marcuccilli 10 21:34 21:34 21:18 21:35 21:24 21:32 21:23 21:26 21:44 22:10
640  Alex Price 9 21:47 22:11 21:15 21:45 22:26 21:25 21:53
950  Whitney Shepherd 11 22:26 22:36 22:25 22:40 22:28 22:16 22:25
1,019  Jadyn Kolesiak 12 22:37 21:26 22:49 21:18 22:25 23:50 23:11
1,058  Hanna Bloemendaal 12 22:41 21:48 20:58 22:02 22:27 22:51 23:24 23:16
1,078  Lillian Boston 11 22:44 22:59 22:36 22:23 23:07 23:06 22:40 22:40
1,234  Amslie Howett 12 23:03 21:16 23:50 23:26 23:50 23:06 23:08 22:33
1,331  Katie Wahl 10 23:17 23:41 23:31 24:10 23:16 22:41 23:05
1,388  Florencia Viera 11 23:24 23:34 23:30 23:21 22:59 24:18 23:14
Josie Niebbia 10 23:38 21:54 23:29 23:59 24:10
Vianey Lucio 12 23:43 23:10 23:14 23:21 25:04 23:47 24:00
Mariana Malagon 10 24:35 21:54 23:55 24:58 25:21 24:46 24:08




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 43.0% 21.1 491 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 2.3 3.9 6.1 7.5 9.1 8.1 3.6
Semi-State 100% 6.7 208 0.1 1.1 6.7 9.6 12.1 13.4 15.0 17.4 20.5 3.1 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 46 99.1 0.9 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 39 98.8 1.2 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wini Barnett 71.9% 76.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.7% 63.0%
Ava Knight 44.0% 106.1 1.8% 8.1%
Adree Beckham 43.0% 161.2 0.0% 0.0%
Erika Bugg 43.0% 168.3 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Lusinde 43.0% 171.4 0.0% 0.0%
Regan Brouwer 43.0% 189.6 0.0% 0.0%
Mikayla Mimnaugh 43.0% 190.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wini Barnett 100% 16.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.6 3.5 3.6 4.5 5.3 5.8 6.9 6.7 6.9 6.9 6.0 6.1 5.3 4.2 4.0 3.3 2.9 1.9 100.0%
Ava Knight 100% 28.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.3 2.4 2.9 3.5 4.1 4.2 4.6 4.3 100.0%
Adree Beckham 100% 62.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Erika Bugg 100% 70.1 100.0%
Amanda Lusinde 100% 74.2 0.0 99.9%
Regan Brouwer 100% 102.1 97.2%
Mikayla Mimnaugh 100% 103.3 96.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wini Barnett 100% 3.2 5.7 12.8 24.1 42.0 10.8 3.3 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Ava Knight 100% 5.4 0.0 0.4 1.6 6.7 30.9 24.2 17.0 10.1 4.8 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Adree Beckham 100% 13.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 3.1 5.5 8.0 9.2 11.1 11.5 11.3 10.3 8.4 7.3 4.7 3.5 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Erika Bugg 100% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 4.0 5.4 7.6 8.9 10.7 11.0 11.0 10.4 8.7 6.7 4.7 3.2 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Amanda Lusinde 100% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.6 4.2 5.7 7.4 9.0 10.2 11.5 10.9 10.0 8.8 6.3 4.7 3.3 1.6 0.9 0.3 100.0%
Regan Brouwer 100% 21.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.8 5.2 6.9 8.8 10.5 12.6 12.7 11.7 8.9 100.0%
Mikayla Mimnaugh 100% 22.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.8 4.6 6.0 8.7 10.7 11.9 12.5 11.6 10.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wini Barnett 3.1 5.5 12.7 25.4 46.7 8.6 1.1 0.1
Ava Knight 4.8 0.1 0.4 1.3 7.5 48.3 35.7 5.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
Adree Beckham 8.4 0.1 2.6 15.8 22.9 22.3 15.4 9.9 5.9 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.0
Erika Bugg 9.4 0.8 6.9 14.3 19.3 19.7 15.9 10.3 6.5 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Amanda Lusinde 10.1 0.4 4.1 10.2 14.9 19.2 18.3 14.0 8.7 5.8 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Regan Brouwer 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 4.2 8.2 12.7 15.4 17.7 16.9 12.6 6.0 2.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
Mikayla Mimnaugh 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.2 7.6 11.2 14.2 17.5 18.1 14.6 6.6 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0