West Noble
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #93
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #28
West Noble Regional Rank: #10
West Noble Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 847 853 1,040 967 926 925 825 759
Team Adjusted Rating 812 1,040 967 926 855 825 759
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
208  Yarency Murillo 12 20:20 20:47 20:24 20:56 20:37 20:37 20:06 20:24 20:00 20:59
742  Megan Wallen 11 22:00 21:00 21:23 22:19 21:39 26:38 22:21 21:38
835  Gabrielle Foreman 12 22:12 22:02 22:23 22:46 22:22 22:08 22:14 21:55 22:04
984  Thalia Parson 11 22:33 22:55 22:23 24:53 23:29 22:35 23:11 22:54 22:10
1,092  Nallely Villalobos 12 22:45 23:08 23:52 23:51 22:56 22:29 22:15 22:26
1,256  Erin Shoemaker 11 23:06 22:10 24:18 23:15 23:47 22:57 23:07 22:35 23:05
Elizabeth Christlieb 9 23:54 23:27 24:02 24:02




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 8.3 216 0.0 0.8 72.5 26.6 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.8 80 12.5 24.2 29.7 33.5 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Yarency Murillo 0.2% 112.0 0.2% 0.2%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Yarency Murillo 94.8% 50.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 94.8% 94.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Yarency Murillo 100% 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 2.0 3.1 4.0 4.9 4.9 5.1 5.8 5.6 5.6 6.0 5.4 5.2 5.1 5.1 100.0%
Megan Wallen 100% 55.3 100.0%
Gabrielle Foreman 100% 58.8 100.0%
Thalia Parson 100% 64.2 99.9%
Nallely Villalobos 100% 67.5 99.1%
Erin Shoemaker 100% 73.2 87.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Yarency Murillo 3.4 27.0 17.1 16.5 14.0 11.8 13.3 0.3
Megan Wallen 12.7 0.9 5.8 10.7 12.9 11.8 11.3 9.4 8.4 8.1 6.5 5.6 3.9 2.1 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.1
Gabrielle Foreman 15.9 0.2 1.0 2.8 4.9 6.6 8.6 8.6 9.2 9.4 9.9 10.0 8.9 7.3 5.0 3.3 1.8 1.3 0.7
Thalia Parson 20.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 2.1 2.7 3.5 4.8 6.6 8.3 10.0 11.5 10.9 9.6 8.3 6.5
Nallely Villalobos 23.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.3 3.5 5.0 6.6 9.3 10.5 10.5 10.6
Erin Shoemaker 29.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.4 3.5 5.1