Centerville
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #95
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank: #30
Rushville Regional Rank: #5
Connersville Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 20th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Jeremy Wright Memorial Hagerstown Invitational Union City Invitational Wayne County Invitational Centerville Bulldog Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational New Haven Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/10 9/19 9/22 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 846 1,006 1,165 1,198 975 938 961 913 1,076 847 827 840
Team Adjusted Rating 965 997 931 975 938 874 913 972 847 827 840
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jeremy Wright Memorial Hagerstown Invitational Union City Invitational Wayne County Invitational Centerville Bulldog Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational New Haven Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
351  Emily Tedder 12 20:53 20:45 20:28 21:54 21:01 20:46 21:09 20:54 20:44 20:46 20:40 21:16
584  Chloe Scales 10 21:34 21:42 22:27 21:42 21:17 21:50 21:46 21:57 22:29 21:13 21:12 21:26
697  Kendra Shipman 9 21:50 23:15 23:33 23:46 23:01 22:36 22:11 21:28 21:57
1,102  Mia Lickfelt 10 22:48 23:11 22:51 22:49 22:52 22:49 22:36 22:53 23:29 22:40 22:46 22:38
1,103  Aubrey Morgan 10 22:48 23:00 22:52 23:27 23:10 23:22 23:01 23:00 22:42 23:28 23:04 23:35 22:32
Journey Cornett 12 23:38 23:23 23:29 24:24 23:29 23:34 23:25 23:27 23:52 23:35 23:29 23:56
Lainey Foster 9 23:45 24:59 23:40 23:39 24:14 24:02 23:18 23:47 23:16
Julie Carter 9 23:59 26:30 24:42 24:26 24:27 24:32 23:44 23:45 23:34 24:08
Ella Claypoole 9 24:15 24:32 25:04 24:07 23:26 24:22
Titi Jarvis 9 25:15 26:40 24:14
Lydia Nevels 12 25:24 23:55 26:05 25:39 25:50 25:26 25:30 25:25 23:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 19.5 557 0.1 1.8 42.8 55.3
Regionals 100% 5.1 141 0.0 25.5 42.4 32.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 48 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Tedder 100% 102.9 98.2%
Chloe Scales 100% 141.1 40.6%
Kendra Shipman 100% 152.4 12.5%
Mia Lickfelt 100% 170.4 0.0%
Aubrey Morgan 100% 170.4 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Tedder 100% 16.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.1 3.5 5.1 6.6 8.7 10.1 11.3 12.1 10.9 8.1 6.0 4.2 3.1 1.9 1.2 1.0 100.0%
Chloe Scales 100% 28.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.9 2.7 3.3 4.1 4.6 4.7 5.4 100.0%
Kendra Shipman 100% 34.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.5 100.0%
Mia Lickfelt 100% 52.0 100.0%
Aubrey Morgan 100% 52.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Tedder 3.0 7.1 16.9 26.8 32.5 14.2 2.3 0.2 0.0
Chloe Scales 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 11.3 29.6 29.2 20.0 6.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kendra Shipman 8.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 6.0 15.5 28.0 39.0 7.3 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Mia Lickfelt 14.2 0.0 0.2 3.6 6.9 9.5 12.4 14.3 15.1 15.1 13.0 9.0 0.9 0.1
Aubrey Morgan 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.6 6.5 9.6 11.7 14.2 15.6 15.2 13.8 8.7 0.8 0.1 0.0