Jasper
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #30
Brown County Semi-State Rank: #6
Crawford County Regional Rank: #2
Jasper Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 21st place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.3%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Forest Park Ranger Race North Harrison Invitational Tri-County Invitational Eagle Classic Pike Central Invitational Jasper Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conf. Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/16 8/20 9/3 9/8 9/12 9/26 9/29 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 401 384 354 505 454 430 411 581 575 611 455 409 403
Team Adjusted Rating 384 354 444 409 430 411 475 472 464 455 409 403
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Forest Park Ranger Race North Harrison Invitational Tri-County Invitational Eagle Classic Pike Central Invitational Jasper Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conf. Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
27  Andi VanMeter 11 18:48 19:08 18:44 18:49 18:52 18:44 18:47 19:04 19:25 19:15 19:00 18:45 18:55 18:40
97  Kelsea Skorge 12 19:47 21:20 19:55 19:49 19:50 19:34 19:45 19:55 20:15 19:50 20:25 19:53 19:52 19:39
140  Ally Wigand 10 20:04 19:24 19:42 20:02 19:22 19:32 19:46 20:44 20:45 20:26
461  Amanda Schnell 12 21:13 21:34 21:06 20:57 21:52 21:59 21:53 21:20 21:31 21:49 21:21 21:19 20:58 21:16
597  Ari Wiseman 9 21:35 21:49 21:15 21:48 22:05 21:59 21:53 21:58 22:16 21:20 21:27
793  Emma Schipp 9 22:05 22:11 22:24 22:36 23:38 22:39 21:37 21:53 21:56 22:40 21:49 21:49 22:19
932  Kate Jerger 9 22:26 23:50 22:32 23:19 22:20 23:13 22:11 22:17 22:08 22:56 22:03 22:34 22:41
Kalen Jochum 12 24:14 24:05 23:18 24:13 23:50 24:31 24:14 24:07 25:01
Lydia Grow 12 24:19 23:45 24:56 24:58 26:44 23:55 22:44
Niya Zazzetti 10 24:32 23:01 24:43 24:51 25:57 23:29 24:21




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 19.2 443 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.7 3.2 4.4 6.4 8.1 11.1 12.1 13.5 13.6 12.5 9.3 2.2
Semi-State 100% 5.7 188 0.0 0.6 3.0 26.7 66.5 2.7 0.4 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.0 50 1.0 99.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 28 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andi VanMeter 100% 25.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.8 3.3 3.7 3.5 3.6 100.0%
Kelsea Skorge 100% 86.0 87.6%
Ally Wigand 100% 109.0 57.2%
Amanda Schnell 100% 185.2 0.0%
Ari Wiseman 100% 195.1 0.0%
Emma Schipp 100% 203.6 0.0%
Kate Jerger 100% 207.0 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andi VanMeter 100% 3.5 4.1 12.3 22.3 21.8 15.9 9.9 5.7 3.5 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kelsea Skorge 100% 20.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.8 3.8 4.7 4.7 5.2 5.2 5.9 5.4 5.5 4.9 5.5 4.9 4.5 100.0%
Ally Wigand 100% 28.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.9 1.8 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.8 4.6 4.9 100.0%
Amanda Schnell 100% 78.0 100.0%
Ari Wiseman 100% 99.5 99.2%
Emma Schipp 100% 125.6 74.8%
Kate Jerger 100% 138.2 30.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andi VanMeter 100% 1.0 57.0 36.0 5.2 1.5 0.3 100.0%
Kelsea Skorge 100% 5.4 0.4 5.5 10.1 19.1 39.7 17.5 5.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 100.0%
Ally Wigand 100% 6.8 0.4 1.4 4.1 13.1 36.7 25.1 11.1 5.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Amanda Schnell 100% 16.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 3.2 5.5 7.9 10.6 11.2 11.3 10.6 10.4 9.2 6.8 4.5 2.7 1.9 0.9 100.0%
Ari Wiseman 100% 21.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 2.0 3.1 4.8 6.5 9.1 11.5 12.0 11.6 11.0 8.4 100.0%
Emma Schipp 100% 29.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.5 3.9 5.2 100.0%
Kate Jerger 100% 35.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andi VanMeter 1.0 97.3 2.7
Kelsea Skorge 2.5 20.0 66.3 13.0 0.7 0.1
Ally Wigand 3.4 2.0 15.5 75.5 5.9 1.0 0.1
Amanda Schnell 8.1 0.0 2.3 7.2 17.1 21.6 18.7 19.4 8.8 3.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Ari Wiseman 11.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.9 8.2 13.2 24.1 19.7 13.7 7.6 4.4 2.0 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Emma Schipp 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 4.4 9.0 12.6 13.9 13.5 11.4 10.8 7.9 6.1 4.4 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.0
Kate Jerger 20.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.2 4.3 6.6 9.3 10.4 11.9 14.4 14.5 14.2 5.5 2.3