All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Kickoff |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Northwest Crossroads Conf. |
Lowell Last Chance Twilight |
Hebron Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/16 |
8/22 |
9/5 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/6 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
10/31 |
| Team Rating |
497 | |
|
445 |
397 |
414 |
529 |
1,209 |
565 |
1,398 |
578 |
545 |
545 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
|
445 |
397 |
414 |
529 |
479 |
565 |
497 |
575 |
510 |
545 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Kickoff |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Northwest Crossroads Conf. |
Lowell Last Chance Twilight |
Hebron Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 3 |
Karina James |
11 |
18:03 |
18:05 |
18:03 |
18:08 |
18:13 |
18:14 |
18:15 |
|
19:07 |
|
18:23 |
18:22 |
18:17 |
17:55 |
| 271 |
Reilly Boyer |
10 |
20:34 |
20:13 |
20:27 |
20:40 |
20:29 |
20:20 |
20:24 |
20:10 |
20:37 |
|
21:12 |
20:43 |
20:39 |
|
| 336 |
Megan Kaczur |
12 |
20:48 |
20:46 |
|
20:30 |
20:06 |
20:14 |
20:54 |
|
21:17 |
|
21:31 |
20:44 |
20:44 |
|
| 358 |
Megan Brandon |
11 |
20:54 |
22:02 |
20:39 |
20:57 |
20:34 |
20:47 |
21:00 |
|
21:02 |
|
20:47 |
20:59 |
21:03 |
|
| 990 |
Payton Boyer |
9 |
22:34 |
|
|
21:51 |
21:51 |
21:54 |
22:59 |
|
22:42 |
|
|
|
23:30 |
|
| 1,024 |
Bella Medina |
11 |
22:38 |
22:29 |
|
22:18 |
22:07 |
|
|
|
22:43 |
|
22:36 |
|
23:10 |
|
| 1,250 |
Olivia Decker |
10 |
23:07 |
20:50 |
|
22:34 |
|
|
|
|
23:05 |
|
23:11 |
23:09 |
23:18 |
|
|
Morgan Myers |
9 |
23:50 |
|
|
24:36 |
24:40 |
23:56 |
23:41 |
23:42 |
|
23:26 |
23:47 |
|
|
|
|
Laurin Marsh |
12 |
24:08 |
|
|
26:41 |
|
24:21 |
|
24:03 |
|
23:38 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarrah Krusza |
11 |
24:09 |
|
|
24:21 |
24:41 |
24:30 |
|
23:47 |
|
23:46 |
|
24:16 |
|
|
|
Abagail Pflughoeft |
9 |
24:38 |
|
|
25:34 |
25:21 |
24:47 |
|
24:36 |
|
24:04 |
|
24:30 |
|
|
|
Alycia Ramos |
10 |
24:49 |
|
|
|
|
24:47 |
|
25:12 |
|
24:29 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jenna James |
12 |
24:49 |
|
23:36 |
|
|
24:56 |
|
|
|
25:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gabby Morache |
9 |
24:50 |
|
|
|
|
24:08 |
25:09 |
24:17 |
|
25:53 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
10.8 |
275 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
2.0 |
3.8 |
7.1 |
11.2 |
16.1 |
19.4 |
18.3 |
14.7 |
6.1 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.9 |
79 |
0.3 |
10.0 |
89.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.9 |
49 |
7.5 |
92.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Karina James |
100% |
3.6 |
8.9 |
14.6 |
17.0 |
14.9 |
11.9 |
8.0 |
5.7 |
4.7 |
3.5 |
2.4 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Reilly Boyer |
0.1% |
119.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Karina James |
100% |
1.0 |
87.0 |
10.5 |
2.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Reilly Boyer |
100% |
52.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Megan Kaczur |
100% |
68.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Megan Brandon |
100% |
75.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Payton Boyer |
100% |
153.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.9% |
| Bella Medina |
100% |
155.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.0% |
| Olivia Decker |
100% |
162.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Karina James |
100% |
1.0 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Reilly Boyer |
100% |
10.4 |
|
0.3 |
1.9 |
3.1 |
4.9 |
6.1 |
6.9 |
7.3 |
7.8 |
8.6 |
8.6 |
8.6 |
8.7 |
7.3 |
6.0 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Megan Kaczur |
100% |
14.6 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.5 |
7.6 |
8.8 |
8.7 |
9.3 |
8.7 |
7.9 |
5.9 |
4.8 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Megan Brandon |
100% |
16.3 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
4.7 |
5.7 |
7.6 |
8.3 |
9.4 |
9.4 |
9.8 |
8.5 |
7.1 |
5.4 |
4.1 |
3.4 |
2.5 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Payton Boyer |
100% |
39.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bella Medina |
100% |
40.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Olivia Decker |
100% |
47.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Karina James |
1.0 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Reilly Boyer |
5.2 |
|
0.9 |
11.9 |
14.7 |
18.2 |
19.9 |
13.7 |
9.2 |
5.4 |
2.8 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Megan Kaczur |
7.7 |
|
0.1 |
1.7 |
3.5 |
6.9 |
11.2 |
15.2 |
15.5 |
14.2 |
11.1 |
8.3 |
4.7 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Megan Brandon |
8.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
3.4 |
6.6 |
10.6 |
13.5 |
15.6 |
14.3 |
11.7 |
7.7 |
5.7 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
1.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Payton Boyer |
24.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
4.4 |
7.0 |
10.2 |
12.9 |
17.1 |
| Bella Medina |
25.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
7.8 |
10.4 |
15.4 |
| Olivia Decker |
29.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
|
