All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Seymour Invitational |
Scott Hiles Invitational |
Franklin Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Ray Gerkin Invitational |
Batesville Invitational |
Hoosier Hills Conference |
Brown County Sectional |
Columbus North Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/20 |
8/24 |
8/29 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/29 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
| Team Rating |
708 | |
746 |
1,109 |
842 |
804 |
783 |
977 |
949 |
793 |
754 |
844 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
746 |
746 |
842 |
804 |
783 |
721 |
735 |
682 |
651 |
752 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Seymour Invitational |
Scott Hiles Invitational |
Franklin Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Ray Gerkin Invitational |
Batesville Invitational |
Hoosier Hills Conference |
Brown County Sectional |
Columbus North Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| 257 |
Kinsley Folsom |
10 |
20:31 |
20:33 |
20:46 |
20:39 |
20:24 |
20:41 |
20:34 |
20:49 |
20:52 |
20:23 |
20:16 |
20:17 |
| 387 |
Vivienne Siefker |
9 |
21:00 |
|
21:42 |
|
23:17 |
22:29 |
22:07 |
21:12 |
21:07 |
20:33 |
20:38 |
20:58 |
| 450 |
Hayley Harpe |
11 |
21:11 |
|
21:32 |
21:54 |
21:06 |
21:21 |
21:38 |
20:52 |
21:09 |
20:51 |
20:53 |
21:17 |
| 930 |
Lillian Sunbury |
11 |
22:26 |
22:20 |
22:18 |
22:13 |
22:39 |
22:39 |
22:19 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 948 |
Samantha Jacobi |
11 |
22:29 |
22:45 |
21:55 |
|
22:22 |
22:01 |
22:12 |
|
|
22:53 |
22:21 |
23:19 |
|
Grace Lewis |
10 |
24:15 |
23:47 |
24:48 |
25:40 |
25:11 |
25:01 |
25:12 |
24:48 |
23:45 |
24:32 |
24:17 |
23:58 |
|
Eliana Baker |
11 |
25:12 |
25:53 |
23:57 |
25:44 |
25:02 |
25:11 |
25:24 |
25:34 |
25:26 |
25:13 |
24:47 |
25:25 |
|
Savannah Stoffregen |
9 |
26:11 |
|
25:13 |
25:21 |
28:34 |
|
26:06 |
26:49 |
26:27 |
25:37 |
26:22 |
|
|
Caitlin Thomasma |
10 |
27:56 |
27:06 |
28:09 |
27:28 |
27:49 |
28:19 |
27:35 |
28:10 |
27:52 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
15.0 |
380 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
3.1 |
10.9 |
22.5 |
25.7 |
21.9 |
11.4 |
3.0 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.7 |
118 |
|
0.8 |
45.8 |
39.6 |
11.3 |
2.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.3 |
89 |
|
0.1 |
70.6 |
29.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kinsley Folsom |
7.3% |
127.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.3% |
7.3% |
| Vivienne Siefker |
0.1% |
167.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kinsley Folsom |
100% |
43.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Vivienne Siefker |
100% |
65.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Hayley Harpe |
100% |
75.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.8% |
| Samantha Jacobi |
100% |
138.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.3% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kinsley Folsom |
100% |
11.7 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
3.5 |
11.1 |
46.0 |
27.4 |
6.5 |
1.9 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Vivienne Siefker |
100% |
14.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.9 |
13.3 |
26.4 |
19.8 |
14.9 |
9.8 |
5.6 |
3.8 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Hayley Harpe |
100% |
16.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
3.1 |
10.4 |
16.6 |
17.0 |
14.8 |
11.9 |
9.3 |
6.6 |
4.4 |
2.8 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Samantha Jacobi |
100% |
33.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kinsley Folsom |
9.8 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
4.8 |
55.9 |
31.4 |
4.2 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vivienne Siefker |
11.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.5 |
15.7 |
40.2 |
24.3 |
12.1 |
4.8 |
1.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Hayley Harpe |
13.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
4.0 |
16.0 |
30.7 |
26.0 |
15.9 |
6.8 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Samantha Jacobi |
18.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
11.4 |
26.9 |
21.9 |
17.7 |
9.3 |
6.0 |
3.2 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
|
