Wheeler
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #21
New Prairie Semi-State Rank: #3
Chesterton Regional Rank: #3
New Prairie Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 22nd place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 3.6%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Wheeler Bearcat Invitational GSSC Championship Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Greater South Shore Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 354 284 311 456 300 498 473 622 384 356 424 384
Team Adjusted Rating 284 311 456 300 358 329 445 384 356 424 384
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Wheeler Bearcat Invitational GSSC Championship Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Greater South Shore Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
45  Hailey Orosz 12 19:13 18:47 18:31 18:38 18:45 19:08 19:42 20:22 19:59 19:54 19:05
86  Emma Hellwege 11 19:43 19:26 18:42 18:50 19:15 19:28 19:55 20:01 20:00 19:34 19:37 20:41 19:57
272  Lucca Okeley 9 20:34 20:16 20:29 21:33 20:26 20:39 20:28 20:22 20:28 20:37 20:44
296  Elise Byers 9 20:40 20:24 20:40 21:17 20:28 20:40 20:30 20:35 20:31 20:42 20:56
341  Emily Enright 10 20:49 21:35 20:59 20:59 21:30 20:24 20:40 20:28 21:50 20:56 20:39 20:45 20:49
602  Dottie Heuring 12 21:36 21:58 21:37 22:46 22:06 22:08 22:53 22:57 22:38 21:27
830  Sarah Gerbick 12 22:10 23:34 23:02 23:02 22:23 21:59 22:04 23:46 22:57 22:04 21:54 22:42
Shelby Stevens 12 23:40 23:36
Kendall Lutz 11 23:44 23:23 23:43 24:02 23:22 23:43 23:16 26:31
Emily Gaylord 12 23:48 22:01 23:54 23:57 24:16 24:05 24:07 23:35 22:02




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 18.5 435 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.9 3.0 3.4 4.5 5.4 6.3 6.8 7.9 9.7 10.2 11.0 11.9 10.9 3.5
Semi-State 100% 4.6 172 4.4 9.8 15.3 20.1 20.2 13.8 8.4 4.6 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.7 75 6.4 18.8 73.1 1.7 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.7 74 6.0 19.0 72.9 2.1 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hailey Orosz 100% 46.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 95.4%
Emma Hellwege 100% 80.8 0.0 0.0 45.2%
Lucca Okeley 100% 152.1 0.0%
Elise Byers 100% 159.2 0.0%
Emily Enright 100% 169.1 0.0%
Dottie Heuring 100% 195.4 0.0%
Sarah Gerbick 100% 204.7 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hailey Orosz 100% 8.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.4 7.7 10.8 13.2 13.3 12.0 10.3 8.0 6.4 4.3 3.6 2.3 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Emma Hellwege 100% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.1 4.3 6.0 7.1 8.8 8.3 8.8 7.9 7.7 6.1 5.0 4.4 3.2 2.8 2.4 1.9 100.0%
Lucca Okeley 100% 53.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 99.8%
Elise Byers 100% 59.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 99.5%
Emily Enright 100% 70.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.1%
Dottie Heuring 100% 117.3 38.6%
Sarah Gerbick 100% 142.8 2.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hailey Orosz 100% 4.5 1.2 4.7 13.1 20.3 21.2 19.4 14.1 4.2 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Emma Hellwege 100% 8.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.3 5.7 13.1 24.6 19.7 12.7 8.3 5.1 3.0 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lucca Okeley 100% 20.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.5 3.5 4.3 4.9 6.0 6.8 7.3 7.3 7.2 7.4 7.4 7.0 5.9 100.0%
Elise Byers 100% 22.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.4 3.2 4.5 4.8 5.5 6.5 7.4 7.3 7.8 7.7 7.3 100.0%
Emily Enright 100% 25.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.9 2.3 2.9 3.5 4.8 5.2 5.8 7.2 7.6 100.0%
Dottie Heuring 100% 36.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Sarah Gerbick 100% 45.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hailey Orosz 4.5 1.4 4.6 13.4 20.6 21.8 19.8 15.0 2.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Emma Hellwege 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 5.9 15.9 37.6 17.6 8.7 5.1 2.9 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Lucca Okeley 18.1 0.0 0.8 1.5 2.7 3.4 4.3 6.1 6.8 7.9 8.0 8.0 8.6 8.7 8.3 7.3 5.9 4.8 3.4
Elise Byers 19.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.7 2.7 3.8 5.0 6.0 6.5 7.3 8.1 8.9 9.1 9.5 9.0 7.7 5.3
Emily Enright 22.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.5 3.3 4.3 5.4 7.0 8.2 9.6 10.9 12.0 10.7
Dottie Heuring 30.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8
Sarah Gerbick 36.3