Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2025 - 2026 - 2027
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State Rank #23
New Prairie Regional Rank #5
Chesterton Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 49.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational New Prairie Kickoff Classic Eagle Classic Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference
Date 8/22 9/8 9/12 9/26 10/3
Team Rating 379 343 356 473 531
Team Adjusted Rating 343 951 329 410 393
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational New Prairie Kickoff Classic Eagle Classic Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference
127  Hannah Haring 11 20:01 20:14 19:59 24:35 19:50 20:08 19:54
169  Natalie White 11 20:16 21:02 19:57 19:52 20:10 20:45
190  Evie Fortney 10 20:24 20:51 20:10
225  Natalie Williams 11 20:33 20:36 20:09 24:35 20:10 21:12
238  Natascha Lepinasse 12 20:36 21:07 20:53 25:07 20:25 20:27 20:30
310  Paige Clancy 11 20:56 20:15 20:42 24:45 20:53 21:28 20:47
907  Aubrey Forsythe 9 22:39 22:43 22:30
921  Eshaal Ali 12 22:41 22:41 22:59 25:07 22:20 22:39
1,049  Poppy Payne 9 23:01 25:52 22:48 23:08
1,178  Reagan Rex 10 23:18 22:03 23:27
1,206  Kate Meyer 11 23:23 23:24 23:07 23:26
Grace Basich 12 23:45 25:05 23:45 25:43 23:33 24:05 23:14
Julia Fox 12 24:03 24:45 23:32
Elisabeth Koehnen 11 24:58 25:11 24:41
Adriana Perez 11 25:04 25:24 24:20 25:42 24:40
Charlotte Ellis 10 25:53 22:30 26:46 26:14
Julia Whitenack 11 26:02 26:48 24:26 26:16 29:01
Isabel Torres 11 26:59 27:35 25:43 27:11 26:57




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 49.7% 19.3 460 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.8 4.8 5.5 7.2 7.9 8.9 7.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 5.5 175 3.8 11.8 16.4 17.8 18.2 17.2 14.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.0 63 30.8 35.4 33.5 0.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Haring 76.7% 123.3 53.6% 66.3%
Natalie White 56.6% 144.5 13.6% 26.9%
Evie Fortney 51.6% 158.5 3.9% 13.3%
Natalie Williams 50.0% 175.1 0.6% 4.5%
Natascha Lepinasse 49.8% 179.7 0.2% 2.9%
Paige Clancy 49.7% 207.4 0.0% 0.1%
Aubrey Forsythe 49.7% 245.6 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Haring 100% 26.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.9 2.3 3.3 3.3 3.5 4.6 4.8 4.5 5.6 5.7 100.0%
Natalie White 100% 34.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.8 2.8 100.0%
Evie Fortney 100% 39.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.2 100.0%
Natalie Williams 100% 46.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Natascha Lepinasse 100% 48.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Paige Clancy 100% 65.1 100.0%
Aubrey Forsythe 100% 152.4 99.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Haring 6.2 0.9 2.6 5.2 10.5 14.2 14.1 13.5 9.8 8.9 6.5 5.0 3.5 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Natalie White 9.9 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.5 5.8 7.9 10.2 10.5 10.1 9.3 9.4 8.4 6.0 5.4 4.0 2.5 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Evie Fortney 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.4 2.8 3.8 5.3 6.1 7.9 9.4 9.9 10.0 9.1 8.8 6.4 5.4 4.8 3.1 1.9 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.2
Natalie Williams 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 2.0 2.8 3.8 5.4 6.1 8.0 9.1 9.1 9.3 9.6 8.4 7.4 5.4 3.5 3.0 1.9 1.3 1.0
Natascha Lepinasse 16.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.0 3.7 5.5 5.7 7.5 8.6 9.5 9.4 9.7 8.9 7.3 5.2 3.8 3.0 1.6 1.4
Paige Clancy 21.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.2 1.7 3.0 3.7 5.0 7.5 9.1 10.7 10.0 10.4 8.8 8.0
Aubrey Forsythe 40.9