Guerin Catholic
Boys - Girls
2025 - 2026 - 2027
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State Rank #8
Shelbyville Regional Rank #2
Noblesville Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 8th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 16.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 89.0%
Advance to State Finals 99.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Taylor Opener Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Catholic Invitational
Date 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12
Team Rating 193 820 191 166 1,395
Team Adjusted Rating 194 191 166 193
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Taylor Opener Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Catholic Invitational
16  Lilly Higgins 10 18:23 18:25 18:16
19  Chloe Tragesser 10 18:29 19:07 18:32 18:20 18:18
41  Maddy Higgins 10 19:01 19:00 18:57
149  Brinna Wolf 12 20:10 20:08 20:14 19:58
229  Claire Flannagan 12 20:33 20:27 20:31 20:40
230  Jillian Tichenor 10 20:34 20:24 20:31 20:44
265  Taylor Tragesser 11 20:42 20:46 20:51 20:44 20:16
390  Elly Rodgerson 12 21:16 21:31 21:01 21:14
609  Kara Van Woerkom 12 21:51 21:44 21:56 21:40 21:59
660  Caroline Ford 12 22:02 21:58 22:02 22:09 21:59
Mallory Watson 9 23:54 22:59 24:31 24:07 23:47
Sydney Turner 12 24:26 24:29 24:00 24:28 24:39
Ellie Parks 12 25:18 25:38 25:04 25:15
Elizabeth Hein 11 25:22 25:39 26:42 25:01 24:37
Rainn Ballard 11 25:26 25:24 25:47 25:09
Joss Kramer 9 25:40 25:49 25:46 25:40 25:25
Ella Klinker 9 25:43 25:24 26:11 25:37
Madeline Krupinski 11 25:45 25:49 25:47 25:41 25:43
Maria Otte 11 26:20 27:02 25:57 26:06 26:21
Jacklyn Gould 9 27:02 27:02 27:34 27:16 26:08




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 99.8% 7.7 251 0.1 0.4 1.7 5.1 9.2 14.9 18.0 18.3 13.2 8.3 5.0 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.3 100 12.8 59.6 19.3 6.1 2.0 0.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.3 65 10.2 57.9 26.3 5.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lilly Higgins 100% 15.8 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.5 3.6 3.9 4.8 5.1 4.9 5.6 5.5 5.3 6.2 5.1 4.9 4.3 4.8 3.8 3.4 2.8 2.8 2.6 100.0% 100.0%
Chloe Tragesser 100% 19.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.1 1.4 2.1 3.1 3.2 4.0 3.8 4.9 4.5 4.4 5.3 4.8 4.7 4.7 3.9 4.4 3.6 3.2 3.4 100.0% 100.0%
Maddy Higgins 100% 41.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.3 100.0% 99.9%
Brinna Wolf 99.8% 146.9 0.0% 16.6%
Claire Flannagan 99.8% 187.9 0.0% 1.1%
Jillian Tichenor 99.8% 189.8 0.0% 0.9%
Taylor Tragesser 99.8% 200.9 0.0% 0.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lilly Higgins 100% 4.1 0.3 13.6 17.2 17.1 15.7 11.9 9.3 6.2 3.8 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Chloe Tragesser 100% 5.4 0.1 5.5 10.1 13.8 14.2 15.4 12.8 9.8 6.8 5.0 2.8 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Maddy Higgins 100% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.4 6.5 8.0 9.6 8.9 8.9 8.6 7.7 7.6 5.4 5.1 3.5 3.2 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.0 0.7 100.0%
Brinna Wolf 100% 38.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 100.0%
Claire Flannagan 100% 51.7 100.0%
Jillian Tichenor 100% 52.4 100.0%
Taylor Tragesser 100% 57.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lilly Higgins 3.7 0.4 14.3 20.1 22.5 21.4 13.8 5.0 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
Chloe Tragesser 4.6 0.1 6.0 11.5 17.6 23.1 24.2 10.5 4.7 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
Maddy Higgins 8.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.9 17.2 19.9 21.1 15.5 11.0 6.2 3.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Brinna Wolf 20.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.1 2.5 3.7 5.0 5.9 7.0 8.1 8.5 9.5 9.8 10.4 9.0 7.5
Claire Flannagan 26.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.3 2.3 3.6 4.4 6.8 8.7
Jillian Tichenor 26.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.1 2.8 4.5 6.4 8.1
Taylor Tragesser 28.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.7 2.7 4.3