Lakewood Park Christian
Boys - Girls
2025 - 2026 - 2027
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State Rank #159
New Haven Regional Rank #35
West Noble Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Taylor Opener Barron Classic Manchester Invitational Wildcat/Jackson Invitational
Date 8/20 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12
Team Rating 1,333 1,286 1,338 1,315
Team Adjusted Rating 1,419 1,286 1,338 1,315 1,305
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Taylor Opener Barron Classic Manchester Invitational Wildcat/Jackson Invitational
683  Lucy Navrotsky 12 22:05 22:41 22:41 21:31 21:48 22:06 22:00
1,198  Noelle Garmenn 10 23:24 24:01 24:04 23:20 23:42 22:47 22:37
Sarah Smith 11 23:37 22:37 22:39 23:16 24:02 24:19 23:50
Alayna Ledgerwood 9 24:11 24:26 23:54 24:11
Kate Miller 9 25:38 28:00 25:45 25:26 25:11 26:00
Naomi Esslinger 11 27:26 25:29 28:04 26:03 28:17 27:13 27:51
Tori Jones 12 28:42 30:22 28:52 27:40 28:29 27:30 29:03




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 7.9 216 1.2 6.7 92.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucy Navrotsky 100% 118.4 100.0% 100.0%
Noelle Garmenn 94.8% 191.4 86.8% 34.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucy Navrotsky 25.7 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.1 4.1 8.4 20.6
Noelle Garmenn 40.2