Manchester
Boys - Girls
2025 - 2026 - 2027
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State Rank #107
New Haven Regional Rank #23
Manchester Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Dave Stookey Invitational Manchester Invitational Maconaquah Invitational
Date 8/16 9/5 9/12
Team Rating 1,098 1,200 1,230 1,250
Team Adjusted Rating 1,200 1,032 1,072
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Dave Stookey Invitational Manchester Invitational Maconaquah Invitational
759  Emersyn Sarber 10 22:19 23:24 21:54 21:54 22:32
853  Rachel Steely 12 22:35 21:55 22:59
877  Lilly Miller 9 22:37 22:34 22:39 22:32
1,038  Tenley Metzger 9 23:01 24:08 22:54 22:33
Ainsley Metzger 9 23:34 24:31 22:57 23:28
Ashley Angle 26:54 25:36 27:26 27:06
Maggie Akins 12 27:49 27:22 26:29 28:22 29:11
Haruka Yokoyama 11 28:25 27:44 28:53
Pia Putz 11 29:49 28:47 30:36




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 7.1 214 0.0 88.8 10.3 0.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emersyn Sarber 100% 131.8 100.0% 97.5%
Rachel Steely 100% 147.0 100.0% 81.5%
Lilly Miller 100% 150.6 100.0% 75.2%
Tenley Metzger 98.6% 173.5 92.7% 17.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emersyn Sarber 36.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3
Rachel Steely 40.0 0.0 0.0
Lilly Miller 40.6 0.0
Tenley Metzger 45.7