Union County
Boys - Girls
2025 - 2026 - 2027
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State Rank Not in top 185
Franklin Community Regional Rank #35
Rushville Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Jeremy Wright Invitational Rushville Invitational Union City Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Union County Columbus North Invite Bulldog Memorial Invitational XC Town Twilight Tri-Eastern Conference Rushville Sectional Franklin Community Regional
Date 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/15 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 1,491 1,370
Team Adjusted Rating 1,581 1,505 1,469 1,479 1,370 1,534 1,488 1,552 1,567
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jeremy Wright Invitational Rushville Invitational Union City Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Union County Columbus North Invite Bulldog Memorial Invitational XC Town Twilight Tri-Eastern Conference Rushville Sectional Franklin Community Regional
789  Madelyn Carrell 9 22:14 21:47 21:51 21:37 21:55 21:28 22:02 23:02 22:21 23:44 23:14 22:59
1,005  Kelsey Dare 10 22:44 22:19 23:07 22:47 22:28 22:26 22:09 22:27 22:43 22:43 22:46 23:02 22:58
Henley Paddock 10 24:27 22:50 25:22 24:58 25:23 24:41 24:10 24:22 24:35 24:42 23:58 24:02 24:25
Samantha West 12 26:41 27:11 27:26 27:20 27:07 25:48 26:51 26:31 26:41 26:17 26:14
Isabelle (Belle) Cearley 9 28:11 29:59 28:02 27:38 28:23 28:02 28:07 27:39 28:07 28:58




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 5.8 179 0.1 0.5 18.7 80.3 0.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madelyn Carrell 100% 125.0 100.0% 100.0%
Kelsey Dare 100% 146.5 100.0% 99.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madelyn Carrell 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 4.9 11.2 21.6 20.7 16.2 11.5 6.2 3.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Kelsey Dare 18.8 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.8 6.8 10.7 16.0 15.9 15.0 13.5 9.4 6.0 1.7 0.6