All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Larry James Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Minutemen Classic |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conference |
| Date | | |
8/22 |
8/29 |
9/12 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
| Team Rating |
398 | |
772 |
504 |
476 |
391 |
404 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
490 |
395 |
400 |
354 |
333 |
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Larry James Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Minutemen Classic |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conference |
| 79 |
Whitney Anderson |
12 |
19:33 |
19:03 |
|
|
|
19:39 |
19:32 |
| 164 |
Eavan Daly |
12 |
20:13 |
20:19 |
21:02 |
19:57 |
19:54 |
|
|
| 216 |
Amber Johnson |
12 |
20:32 |
20:28 |
|
20:36 |
21:41 |
20:18 |
20:09 |
| 255 |
Reese Taylor |
9 |
20:39 |
|
21:29 |
20:07 |
21:08 |
20:06 |
|
| 339 |
Sydney Herb |
10 |
21:04 |
20:19 |
|
21:42 |
20:56 |
20:51 |
21:04 |
| 340 |
Sophia Swigon |
12 |
21:04 |
21:48 |
|
22:58 |
20:54 |
20:55 |
21:06 |
| 393 |
Stella Pieters |
9 |
21:15 |
|
21:58 |
21:41 |
20:39 |
21:34 |
20:07 |
| 531 |
Violet Furuness |
10 |
21:38 |
22:50 |
21:58 |
21:30 |
21:35 |
21:01 |
21:42 |
| 582 |
Beatrix Medved |
10 |
21:46 |
22:58 |
22:18 |
22:19 |
21:22 |
21:33 |
21:19 |
| 653 |
Caroline Dyer |
12 |
21:59 |
21:53 |
23:01 |
21:59 |
22:16 |
21:47 |
21:25 |
| 730 |
Eleanor Steiner |
10 |
22:12 |
22:10 |
|
|
|
|
22:06 |
| 932 |
Emerson Svilar |
12 |
22:42 |
22:36 |
22:14 |
22:35 |
22:48 |
22:29 |
23:22 |
| 1,165 |
Lily Jobbe |
9 |
23:16 |
|
23:27 |
22:43 |
23:37 |
23:30 |
22:52 |
| 1,225 |
Lana Braik |
11 |
23:25 |
23:21 |
23:08 |
23:26 |
|
23:12 |
23:47 |
|
Elizabeth Szevery |
11 |
23:32 |
|
|
24:33 |
23:41 |
23:03 |
23:14 |
|
Ellie Novotney |
9 |
23:36 |
|
23:27 |
22:57 |
24:23 |
26:22 |
|
|
Reagan Ralph |
11 |
24:03 |
|
24:21 |
24:15 |
24:13 |
23:52 |
23:34 |
|
Lucy Djurovic |
10 |
24:13 |
|
24:30 |
24:06 |
23:12 |
24:05 |
24:52 |
|
Vivian Casillas |
9 |
24:14 |
|
24:43 |
24:20 |
|
23:06 |
24:24 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
35.0% |
19.4 |
463 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
4.2 |
5.2 |
6.0 |
6.6 |
5.3 |
1.1 |
0.1 |
|
| Regionals |
100% |
6.0 |
186 |
|
1.6 |
7.2 |
11.5 |
14.7 |
19.4 |
22.7 |
21.0 |
1.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.3 |
67 |
17.5 |
34.8 |
47.0 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Whitney Anderson |
99.4% |
79.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
99.0% |
99.4% |
| Eavan Daly |
50.7% |
138.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24.0% |
36.5% |
| Amber Johnson |
36.0% |
168.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.5% |
6.2% |
| Reese Taylor |
35.2% |
180.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
2.2% |
| Sydney Herb |
35.0% |
213.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Sophia Swigon |
35.0% |
212.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Stella Pieters |
35.0% |
221.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Whitney Anderson |
100% |
14.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
3.2 |
6.1 |
8.1 |
9.0 |
8.6 |
8.8 |
7.8 |
7.6 |
6.9 |
5.8 |
5.4 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Eavan Daly |
100% |
32.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Amber Johnson |
100% |
45.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Reese Taylor |
100% |
51.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sydney Herb |
100% |
72.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sophia Swigon |
100% |
72.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Stella Pieters |
100% |
82.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Whitney Anderson |
1.9 |
26.1 |
26.3 |
21.1 |
12.5 |
6.9 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Eavan Daly |
9.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.4 |
3.3 |
5.8 |
8.6 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.0 |
9.1 |
8.4 |
7.7 |
6.3 |
5.0 |
4.4 |
3.5 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
| Amber Johnson |
14.7 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.8 |
4.5 |
5.7 |
6.8 |
7.8 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.7 |
9.3 |
8.1 |
6.7 |
5.2 |
3.7 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
| Reese Taylor |
17.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
5.3 |
6.4 |
7.3 |
8.4 |
9.1 |
9.9 |
9.2 |
9.4 |
7.5 |
5.3 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
| Sydney Herb |
23.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
5.6 |
7.6 |
8.8 |
10.6 |
11.2 |
10.6 |
| Sophia Swigon |
23.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
3.7 |
5.5 |
7.3 |
9.6 |
10.1 |
10.4 |
10.1 |
| Stella Pieters |
26.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
3.7 |
6.0 |
7.0 |
9.5 |
|