Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2025 - 2026 - 2027
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State Rank #38
New Prairie Regional Rank #10
Chesterton Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.2%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Minutemen Classic
Date 8/22 8/29 9/12
Team Rating 537 777 496 495
Team Adjusted Rating 625 496 495
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Minutemen Classic
181  Eavan Daly 12 20:19 20:19 21:03 19:56 19:58
223  Amber Johnson 12 20:32 20:28 20:35 21:46
346  Reese Taylor 9 21:04 21:30 20:06 21:13
372  Sydney Herb 10 21:10 20:19 21:40 21:00
515  Stella Pieters 9 21:35 21:59 21:39 20:43
611  Sophia Swigon 12 21:51 21:48 22:56 20:59
617  Violet Furuness 10 21:53 22:50 21:59 21:29 21:40
740  Beatrix Medved 10 22:16 22:58 22:19 22:18 21:26
752  Caroline Dyer 12 22:18 21:53 23:03 21:57 22:21
871  Emerson Svilar 12 22:37 22:36 22:15 22:33 22:53
1,181  Lily Jobbe 9 23:22 23:28 22:42 23:43
1,183  Lana Braik 11 23:22 23:21 23:09 23:24
Ellie Novotney 9 23:36 23:29 22:55 24:29
Lucy Djurovic 24:03 24:32 24:04 23:18




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.2% 22.6 538 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 9.7 282 0.2 0.4 3.5 21.9 24.8 22.2 14.0 7.7 3.1 1.6 0.5 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.5 101 0.1 1.6 44.0 54.0 0.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eavan Daly 27.0% 148.9 26.9% 27.0%
Amber Johnson 6.4% 163.6 6.3% 6.4%
Reese Taylor 0.2% 209.0 0.0% 0.0%
Sydney Herb 0.2% 194.0 0.0% 0.0%
Stella Pieters 0.2% 222.7 0.0% 0.0%
Sophia Swigon 0.2% 235.0 0.0% 0.0%
Violet Furuness 0.2% 230.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eavan Daly 100% 37.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.9 100.0%
Amber Johnson 100% 45.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 100.0%
Reese Taylor 100% 69.9 100.0%
Sydney Herb 100% 75.1 100.0%
Stella Pieters 100% 98.0 100.0%
Sophia Swigon 100% 111.1 100.0%
Violet Furuness 100% 112.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eavan Daly 11.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 2.3 3.8 4.9 6.0 7.3 7.3 8.2 8.4 8.4 8.7 8.2 7.3 6.0 4.7 3.1 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
Amber Johnson 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.5 3.1 4.5 4.8 6.4 7.4 8.6 9.3 9.9 10.4 9.1 7.4 5.5 3.4 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
Reese Taylor 22.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.7 2.8 3.9 5.6 8.3 11.0 12.6 13.0 13.1 10.7
Sydney Herb 23.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.4 3.5 5.6 7.1 10.0 11.7 14.0 13.9
Stella Pieters 28.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.5 2.3 4.9
Sophia Swigon 31.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6
Violet Furuness 32.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5