All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Tim Adams Invitational |
PCC Round Robin #1 |
Kouts Invitational |
PCC Round Robin #2 |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Porter County |
Chesterton Sectional |
New Prairie Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/22 |
8/29 |
9/8 |
9/12 |
9/16 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
10/31 |
| Team Rating |
695 | |
772 |
694 |
682 |
918 |
702 |
649 |
746 |
689 |
644 |
705 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
772 |
694 |
682 |
918 |
702 |
649 |
746 |
689 |
644 |
705 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Tim Adams Invitational |
PCC Round Robin #1 |
Kouts Invitational |
PCC Round Robin #2 |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Porter County |
Chesterton Sectional |
New Prairie Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 97 |
Jody Stump |
10 |
19:41 |
19:21 |
19:26 |
19:28 |
18:54 |
21:48 |
19:26 |
19:28 |
19:49 |
19:31 |
19:42 |
20:07 |
20:00 |
| 473 |
Caroline Steele |
10 |
21:23 |
21:54 |
21:39 |
21:27 |
22:00 |
22:02 |
21:26 |
21:09 |
21:46 |
21:09 |
21:04 |
21:08 |
|
| 487 |
Annabelle Sexton |
9 |
21:26 |
|
21:54 |
21:15 |
21:52 |
22:51 |
21:52 |
20:48 |
21:34 |
21:04 |
21:04 |
22:01 |
|
| 653 |
Wimberley Scott |
9 |
21:54 |
|
22:37 |
22:08 |
21:21 |
22:11 |
21:40 |
22:34 |
21:59 |
22:53 |
22:04 |
21:40 |
|
| 988 |
Amelia Fiocca |
11 |
22:42 |
22:40 |
|
23:14 |
22:50 |
23:52 |
23:14 |
22:43 |
22:52 |
22:21 |
22:19 |
22:27 |
|
| 1,067 |
Courtney Bauer |
10 |
22:55 |
23:17 |
22:41 |
22:43 |
22:27 |
22:14 |
22:44 |
22:19 |
23:17 |
23:16 |
23:28 |
22:57 |
|
| 1,324 |
Ella Compton |
12 |
23:29 |
23:24 |
23:26 |
23:38 |
23:20 |
23:05 |
23:16 |
23:20 |
|
23:50 |
23:37 |
23:18 |
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
14.8 |
404 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.1 |
5.6 |
12.8 |
17.4 |
27.3 |
19.8 |
9.8 |
3.6 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
4.8 |
137 |
|
|
0.2 |
17.2 |
82.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jody Stump |
97.9% |
98.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97.9% |
97.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jody Stump |
100% |
19.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
4.1 |
5.4 |
7.5 |
7.4 |
8.1 |
9.5 |
8.8 |
8.8 |
7.8 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Caroline Steele |
100% |
93.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Annabelle Sexton |
100% |
96.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Wimberley Scott |
100% |
122.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Amelia Fiocca |
100% |
162.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97.8% |
| Courtney Bauer |
100% |
173.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
89.4% |
| Ella Compton |
100% |
194.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
31.1% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jody Stump |
3.6 |
2.2 |
7.4 |
17.9 |
36.8 |
16.3 |
7.7 |
4.7 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Caroline Steele |
27.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
4.4 |
6.6 |
6.7 |
| Annabelle Sexton |
28.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
6.2 |
| Wimberley Scott |
34.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Amelia Fiocca |
41.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Courtney Bauer |
44.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ella Compton |
50.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
