Pre-tourney Rankings
Cincinnati
Big East
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.4#19
Expected Predictive Rating+14.8#19
Pace63.0#290
Improvement+1.1#122

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#20
Improvement+1.7#83

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#18
Improvement-0.6#209
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 1.4% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 82.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.9% n/a n/a
Second Round63.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen28.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight11.1% n/a n/a
Final Four4.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2010 252   Mount St. Mary's W 69-59 97%     1 - 0 +1.2 -4.6 -3.8
  Nov 20, 2010 186   Purdue Fort Wayne W 65-59 94%     2 - 0 +1.7 -2.3 -1.7
  Nov 22, 2010 327   Florida A&M W 76-51 99%     3 - 0 +8.7 -7.8 -7.4
  Nov 24, 2010 265   Savannah St. W 54-41 97%     4 - 0 +3.6 -4.8 -3.8
  Nov 27, 2010 100   Dayton W 68-34 80%     5 - 0 +38.4 +2.1 +3.8
  Dec 01, 2010 113   Wright St. W 77-69 89%     6 - 0 +8.2 +0.5 +0.0
  Dec 04, 2010 328   @ Toledo W 81-47 98%     7 - 0 +23.7 -4.6 -4.1
  Dec 11, 2010 266   Utah Valley W 92-72 97%     8 - 0 +10.6 -4.1 -4.4
  Dec 14, 2010 326   Georgia Southern W 99-54 99%     9 - 0 +28.9 -7.0 -7.2
  Dec 18, 2010 123   Oklahoma W 66-56 84%     10 - 0 +12.8 +1.1 +2.1
  Dec 21, 2010 176   @ Miami (OH) W 64-48 85%     11 - 0 +18.5 +1.3 +2.1
  Dec 23, 2010 279   St. Francis (PA) W 94-58 98%     12 - 0 +25.5 -4.6 -4.4
  Dec 28, 2010 194   DePaul W 76-60 95%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +11.2 -2.2 -1.9
  Dec 31, 2010 52   Seton Hall W 70-53 75%     14 - 0 2 - 0 +23.3 +3.4 +3.8
  Jan 06, 2011 41   Xavier W 66-46 71%     15 - 0 +27.7 +4.1 +4.7
  Jan 09, 2011 28   @ Villanova L 61-72 41%     15 - 1 2 - 1 +4.7 +7.2 +8.1
  Jan 12, 2011 112   South Florida W 74-66 89%     16 - 1 3 - 1 +8.2 +0.4 +0.2
  Jan 15, 2011 15   @ Syracuse L 52-67 30%     16 - 2 3 - 2 +3.8 +9.0 +9.0
  Jan 19, 2011 8   @ Notre Dame L 58-66 27%     16 - 3 3 - 3 +11.9 +9.4 +10.1
  Jan 22, 2011 32   @ St. John's W 53-51 43%     17 - 3 4 - 3 +17.2 +7.1 +8.2
  Jan 26, 2011 70   Rutgers W 72-56 81%     18 - 3 5 - 3 +20.3 +2.3 +2.7
  Jan 29, 2011 17   West Virginia L 55-66 60%     18 - 4 5 - 4 -0.2 +5.0 +5.3
  Feb 05, 2011 4   @ Pittsburgh L 59-71 21%     18 - 5 5 - 5 +9.7 +10.2 +10.9
  Feb 08, 2011 194   @ DePaul W 71-68 86%     19 - 5 6 - 5 +4.5 +1.1 +0.6
  Feb 13, 2011 32   St. John's L 57-59 67%     19 - 6 6 - 6 +6.9 +4.2 +4.5
  Feb 16, 2011 11   Louisville W 63-54 52%     20 - 6 7 - 6 +21.9 +6.4 +7.0
  Feb 19, 2011 86   @ Providence W 93-81 OT 69%     21 - 6 8 - 6 +20.4 +4.4 +4.5
  Feb 23, 2011 22   @ Georgetown W 58-46 39%     22 - 6 9 - 6 +28.2 +7.9 +9.0
  Feb 27, 2011 16   Connecticut L 59-67 56%     22 - 7 9 - 7 +3.9 +5.6 +5.9
  Mar 02, 2011 23   @ Marquette W 67-60 40%     23 - 7 10 - 7 +23.1 +8.3 +8.3
  Mar 05, 2011 22   Georgetown W 69-47 64%     24 - 7 11 - 7 +31.8 +5.2 +5.8
  Mar 09, 2011 112   South Florida W 87-61 83%     25 - 7 +29.4 +2.7 +2.0
  Mar 10, 2011 8   Notre Dame L 51-89 37%     25 - 8 -21.2 +7.4 +7.4
Projected Record 25.0 - 8.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 99.9% 99.9% 5.8 0.1 1.3 35.9 45.5 15.3 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.9%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 5.8 0.1 1.3 35.9 45.5 15.3 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.9%