Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisville
Big East
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.1#11
Expected Predictive Rating+15.3#15
Pace70.1#119
Improvement+1.3#114

Offense
Total Offense+8.0#13
Improvement-1.2#238

Defense
Total Defense+8.1#10
Improvement+2.5#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 1.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 9.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 95.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round83.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen55.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight26.9% n/a n/a
Final Four12.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.0% n/a n/a
National Champion2.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2010 51   Butler W 88-73 82%     1 - 0 +21.5 +3.2 +3.8
  Nov 20, 2010 288   Jackson St. W 62-45 99%     2 - 0 +5.9 -5.9 -4.5
  Nov 22, 2010 271   Chattanooga W 106-65 98%     3 - 0 +31.1 -4.1 -4.2
  Nov 27, 2010 78   Marshall W 80-66 89%     4 - 0 +16.9 +1.5 +2.0
  Dec 01, 2010 285   Florida International W 92-55 99%     5 - 0 +26.1 -5.1 -4.3
  Dec 04, 2010 292   South Alabama W 97-70 99%     6 - 0 +15.7 -5.1 -5.1
  Dec 08, 2010 142   San Francisco W 61-35 94%     7 - 0 +24.6 -0.6 +0.6
  Dec 11, 2010 26   UNLV W 77-69 73%     8 - 0 +17.6 +5.1 +4.9
  Dec 14, 2010 109   Drexel L 46-52 92%     8 - 1 -5.7 -0.6 +0.7
  Dec 18, 2010 267   Gardner-Webb W 78-49 98%     9 - 1 +19.4 -4.5 -3.8
  Dec 22, 2010 221   @ Western Kentucky W 114-82 92%     10 - 1 +32.0 +1.2 +0.1
  Dec 27, 2010 256   Morgan St. W 104-74 98%     11 - 1 +21.1 -3.4 -4.3
  Dec 31, 2010 7   Kentucky L 63-78 60%     11 - 2 -1.4 +6.5 +6.4
  Jan 05, 2011 52   Seton Hall W 73-54 82%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +25.3 +3.5 +3.8
  Jan 09, 2011 112   @ South Florida W 86-77 82%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +15.6 +4.1 +2.9
  Jan 12, 2011 28   @ Villanova L 74-88 51%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +1.7 +7.6 +7.5
  Jan 15, 2011 23   Marquette W 71-70 73%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +10.8 +4.4 +5.5
  Jan 19, 2011 32   St. John's W 88-63 76%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +33.9 +4.9 +5.0
  Jan 22, 2011 86   @ Providence L 67-72 77%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +3.4 +3.8 +4.4
  Jan 26, 2011 17   West Virginia W 55-54 69%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +11.8 +4.8 +6.0
  Jan 29, 2011 16   @ Connecticut W 79-78 2OT 42%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +19.3 +8.9 +9.4
  Jan 31, 2011 22   @ Georgetown L 59-62 50%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +13.2 +7.6 +8.5
  Feb 05, 2011 194   DePaul W 61-57 96%     18 - 5 7 - 3 -0.8 -2.4 -2.2
  Feb 09, 2011 8   @ Notre Dame L 79-89 OT 35%     18 - 6 7 - 4 +9.9 +10.0 +9.5
  Feb 12, 2011 15   Syracuse W 73-69 64%     19 - 6 8 - 4 +16.5 +6.6 +6.1
  Feb 16, 2011 19   @ Cincinnati L 54-63 48%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +7.6 +7.8 +8.4
  Feb 18, 2011 16   Connecticut W 71-58 66%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +24.9 +6.1 +6.5
  Feb 22, 2011 70   @ Rutgers W 55-37 70%     21 - 7 10 - 5 +28.6 +4.8 +6.7
  Feb 27, 2011 4   Pittsburgh W 62-59 OT 53%     22 - 7 11 - 5 +18.4 +7.1 +8.4
  Mar 02, 2011 86   Providence W 87-60 90%     23 - 7 12 - 5 +29.0 +1.3 +1.9
  Mar 05, 2011 17   @ West Virginia L 70-72 46%     23 - 8 12 - 6 +15.2 +8.6 +8.5
  Mar 10, 2011 23   Marquette W 81-56 62%     24 - 8 +38.0 +6.7 +7.4
  Mar 11, 2011 8   Notre Dame W 83-77 OT 47%     25 - 8 +22.8 +8.4 +8.6
  Mar 12, 2011 16   Connecticut L 66-69 54%     25 - 9 +12.1 +7.4 +7.6
Projected Record 25.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.5 1.0 8.1 39.5 46.4 4.9 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.5 1.0 8.1 39.5 46.4 4.9 100.0%