Pre-tourney Rankings
Northeast
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
109 Wagner 0.0%   25 - 6 15 - 3 25 - 6 15 - 3 +4.1      +1.0 142 +3.1 84 72.2 69 +6.3 83 +4.0 2
148 Robert Morris 0.0%   24 - 10 13 - 5 24 - 10 13 - 5 +1.4      +1.4 133 0.0 171 63.6 266 +4.0 112 -0.3 4
160 Quinnipiac 0.0%   18 - 13 10 - 8 18 - 13 10 - 8 +0.5      0.0 169 +0.6 152 69.3 124 -1.3 185 -4.0 7
162 LIU Brooklyn 100.0%   15   25 - 8 16 - 2 25 - 8 16 - 2 +0.4      +3.8 73 -3.4 271 86.3 2 +4.1 109 +8.2 1
227 St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0%   15 - 15 12 - 6 15 - 15 12 - 6 -3.4      -4.1 281 +0.7 148 73.7 45 -4.3 239 +0.2 3
229 Central Connecticut St. 0.0%   13 - 16 10 - 8 13 - 16 10 - 8 -3.7      -2.9 251 -0.8 196 71.5 79 -5.1 247 -3.3 6
246 Sacred Heart 0.0%   14 - 18 8 - 10 14 - 18 8 - 10 -4.9      -0.4 181 -4.5 284 69.4 122 -5.3 251 -6.4 8
291 Monmouth 0.0%   12 - 20 10 - 8 12 - 20 10 - 8 -7.7      -4.2 282 -3.6 273 75.0 35 -5.9 260 -3.2 5
298 Mount St. Mary's 0.0%   8 - 21 6 - 12 8 - 21 6 - 12 -8.6      -6.0 301 -2.6 255 61.7 296 -10.2 307 -10.3 9
312 St. Francis (PA) 0.0%   6 - 23 5 - 13 6 - 23 5 - 13 -11.0      -5.5 294 -5.5 313 63.4 268 -12.6 320 -12.1 10
337 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0%   3 - 26 2 - 16 3 - 26 2 - 16 -15.5      -10.7 340 -4.9 295 70.1 110 -17.9 335 -17.2 11
339 Bryant 0.0%   2 - 28 1 - 17 2 - 28 1 - 17 -15.8      -6.7 310 -9.1 339 66.6 191 -20.2 342 -22.4 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Wagner 2.0 100.0
Robert Morris 3.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 5.0 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 1.0 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 4.0 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 5.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 8.0 100.0
Monmouth 5.0 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 9.0 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 10.0 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 11.0 100.0
Bryant 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Wagner 15 - 3 100.0
Robert Morris 13 - 5 100.0
Quinnipiac 10 - 8 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 16 - 2 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 12 - 6 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 10 - 8 100.0
Sacred Heart 8 - 10 100.0
Monmouth 10 - 8 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 6 - 12 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 5 - 13 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 2 - 16 100.0
Bryant 1 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wagner
Robert Morris
Quinnipiac
LIU Brooklyn 100.0% 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn
Central Connecticut St.
Sacred Heart
Monmouth
Mount St. Mary's
St. Francis (PA)
Fairleigh Dickinson
Bryant


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 2.8 84.4 12.7
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 100.0% 0.6% 99.6% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 99.6% 1.0 0.4 99.6 0.0
2nd Round 4.7% 0.0 95.3 4.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0